Not exact matches
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Freshening of the ocean can result from numerous factors — the melting of
ice, freshwater
discharge from rivers, or increased precipitation at
high latitudes.
We have fairly
high confidence that we observe the history of Heinrich events (huge
discharges of
ice - rafted debris from the Laurentide
ice sheet through Hudson Bay that are roughly coincident with large southern warming, southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone, extensive sea
ice in the north Atlantic, reduced monsoonal rainfall in at least some parts of Asia, and other changes), and also cold phases of the Dansgaard / Oeschger oscillations that lack Heinrich layers and are characterized by muted versions of the other climate anomalies I just mentioned.
More problematic, if
discharge proves to significantly exceed recharge, then estimates of contributions from other sources such as melting
ice and thermal expansion may be too
high.
In the Arctic, there has been increased Eurasian river
discharge to the Arctic Ocean, and continued declines in the
ice volume of Arctic and sub-Arctic glaciers and the Greenland
ice sheet (very
high confidence).
In the future,
high - end estimates of
ice discharge and regional effects, such as local thermal expansion and coastal subsidence, place the upper limits of relative sea - level rise for the Netherlands at 0.65 to 1.3 m by 2100, excluding gravitational effects.
Including the effects of physical mechanisms that can quickly increase
ice sheet
discharge significantly raises sea level rise projections under
high - emission scenarios.
The modest increase in
ice discharge over the past 7 years is contrasted by
high rates of
ice sheet mass loss and distinct spatial patters of elevation lowering.
We see that the new estimate is about 60 %
higher than the old standard estimate, and also a lot
higher than the AR4 attempt at including rapid
ice sheet
discharge.
The water most likely came from melting of the
ice sheet — rather than an
ice - dammed lake bursting or glacial lake drainage — as the
high discharge was maintained for so long, Forster said.