If you're referring to modern sensitivity, Steven, I would agree because it is so strongly influenced by
the high rate of global warming, creating a huge gap between theoretical and observed sensitivity.
Not exact matches
«
Global warming and climate change... increase the renewal and wear
rates of lubrication materials, as well as the possibility
of track twisting and buckling,» said Kaewunruen in an earlier paper with Lei Wu, who is currently working on the Kuala Lumpur - Singapore
High Speed Railway.
With these scenarios in mind, the researchers identified what measures can be taken to slow the
rate of global warming to avoid the worst consequences, particularly the low - probability
high - impact events.
For example, if your assignment is to explore the main cause
of global warming, your thesis statement can be the following: The
high rate of chemical emissions into air is the main cause
of global warming.
By 2100, the ocean uptake
rate of 5 Gt C yr - 1 is balanced by the terrestrial carbon source, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations are 250 p.p.m.v.
higher in our fully coupled simulation than in uncoupled carbon models2, resulting in a
global - mean
warming of 5.5 K, as compared to 4 K without the carbon - cycle feedback.
«Since the AR4, there is some new limited direct evidence for an anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation, including a formal detection and attribution study and indirect evidence that extreme precipitation would be expected to have increased given the evidence
of anthropogenic influence on various aspects
of the
global hydrological cycle and
high confidence that the intensity
of extreme precipitation events will increase with
warming, at a
rate well exceeding that
of the mean precipitation..
«The tentacles
of the
global warming hoax are everywhere,» said a foaming Sydney shock - jock Alan Jones on his
high -
ratings radio show.
Several
of the most disconcerting atmospheric problems include smog and air pollution, which are responsible for a
higher incidence
of respiratory diseases and death; acid rain, which contaminates numerous other ecosystems such as watersheds and forests; and finally, one particularly serious issue, climate de-stabilization caused by the accelerated
rate of global warming.
However, because
of the
high global warming potential
of methane (CH4, the major component
of NG), climate benefits from NG use depend on system leakage
rates.
Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most
of Australia over the coming decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise at
high rates, 19 more severe droughts are projected for eastern Australia in the first half
of this century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb
global warming emissions, most regions
of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture at almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to change rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22
Brazil, for example, has reduced its deforestation - related emissions by two - thirds in just six years, and Indonesia, a large emitter
of global warming pollution because
of high rates of deforestation, has pledged to cut overall emissions by more than 25 percent by 2020.
I guess Fitzpatrick hit a nerve when he alluded to dedicated apologizers
of global warming alarmism may be showing the The Dunning — Kruger effect... a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly
rating their ability much
higher than average.
Clouds are one
of the big unknowns about
global warming as they can have a range
of effects,
warmer temperatures caused by
global warming will result in
higher rates of evaporation and therefore will result in
higher cloud cover.
This is based on the
high correlation (r = 0.88)
of the observed
Global Mean Temperature Anomaly (GMTA) to be represented by cyclic global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown
Global Mean Temperature Anomaly (GMTA) to be represented by cyclic
global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown
global mean temperature pattern with an overall linear
warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as shown below:
At current production
rates,
high - carbon tar sands oil and its byproducts throw off enough greenhouse gas emissions to mark Canada as an obstacle to stopping
global warming short
of catastrophic levels.
As has been shown repeatedly, first in the Hockey Stick, and subsequently in any published science on
Global Warming, if it appears in the recent past warming was higher than today, or warming rates were higher than the CO2 age, it's merely a matter of finding the right science that proves it is
Warming, if it appears in the recent past
warming was higher than today, or warming rates were higher than the CO2 age, it's merely a matter of finding the right science that proves it is
warming was
higher than today, or
warming rates were higher than the CO2 age, it's merely a matter of finding the right science that proves it is
warming rates were
higher than the CO2 age, it's merely a matter
of finding the right science that proves it is wrong.
Despite a record (or near record, depending on who you ask)
high for
global temperatures in 2010, the general
rate of warming over the past decade and half (going on two decades) is generally less than it was expected to be.
In addition, there are no guarantees that the current
rate will be maintained, since many studies have shown the likelihood
of a
higher rate of sea level rise as
global warming continues.
The new analysis reveals that
global trends in recent decades are
higher than reported in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and the central estimate for the
rate of warming during the first 15 years
of the 21st century is at least as great as the last half
of the 20th century.
Novelist Michael Crichton, in State
of Fear, ends with an appendix comparing the theory
of global warming to the theory
of eugenics — the belief, prominently promoted by Nazis, that the gene pool
of the human species was degenerating due to
higher reproductive
rates of «inferior» people.
Simply stated: the IPCC predicted that if human emissions
of CO2 kept growing in a business - as - usual (BAU) manner, the world would experience a
high likelihood
of global warming acceleration - to a per century
rate of 2.8 °C.
A (2) Modern
warming, glacier and sea ice recession, sea level rise, drought and hurricane intensities... are all occurring at unprecedentedly
high and rapid
rates, and the effects are globally synchronous (not just regional)... and thus dangerous consequences to the
global biosphere and human civilizations loom in the near future as a consequence
of anthropogenic influences.
It was between 10 and 100 times more costly to try to make
global warming go away today than to let the
warming occur — even if the
warming were at the
rate predicted by the IPCC, and even if the cost
of inaction was as
high as the Stern Report had imagined — and to concentrate on focused adaptation when and where and only if and only to the extent that might be necessary.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set
of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will
warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production
of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The
rate of rise
of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the
rates of change
of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate
of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5)
global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use
of fossil fuels at projected
rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a
high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The
global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity
of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's
rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
Confirming all four hypotheses, the regression analyses showed that greater expertise, more liberal ideology, greater perceived consensus, and lower perceived conflict each predicted
higher levels
of certainty
global warming was occurring,
higher likelihood
of viewing it as mostly human caused, and greater
ratings of future harm.
«With
global temperatures
warmer now than they were at the beginning
of the last century, that means our temperatures are
warmer too, which increases the
rate of evaporation and increases the demands on water, increases the stress on the water supply, and also leaves us more susceptible to breaking the
high - temperature record, which we've been doing lately,» Nielsen - Gammon said.
If you believe, as I do, that radiative forcing tends to cause
global mean temperature increase, then it is a contradiction to believe that future
rates of warming will be
higher when increases
of radiative forcing are slower than they were in the past.
In fact, if we continue on our current path
of high heat - trapping emissions, the region is projected to see forest fires during June and July at two to three times its current
rate.2, 6 Some 1 billion metric tons
of organic matter and older - growth trees could burn7, 15 — accelerating the release
of stored carbon and creating a dangerous
global warming amplification or feedback loop.5, 14
An organic carbon decomposition model, calibrated with laboratory incubations, indicates a greater production
rate of CO2 - C equivalents from waterlogged (compared to drained) permafrost soils, when the
higher global warming potential
of methane is factored in.
Global warming is now accelerating the
rate of sea level rise, increasing flooding risks to low - lying communities and
high - risk coastal properties whose development has been encouraged by today's flood insurance system.
Such
rates of sea level change have occurred many times in Earth's history in response to
global warming rates no
higher than those
of the past 30 years.
The mean spatial patterns
of change, normalized against the
global rate of warming, are generally similar in
high - end and «non-
high-end» simulations.
«Too expensive to act»: Some contrarians admit that
global warming exists, is caused by humans, and indeed has harmful effects, but assert that it is too expensive to mitigate
global warming (they ignore the principle
of risk management, use economic scenarios that ignore benefits
of new technologies, assume a
high «discount
rate», and ignore devastating future economic costs
of unbridled
global warming).