The stochastic discount factor is time varying and by just the right amount to explain the variance in returns (and
the high volatility of the stock market).
Not exact matches
Actual results, including with respect to our targets and prospects, could differ materially due to a number
of factors, including the risk that we may not obtain sufficient orders to achieve our targeted revenues; price competition in key
markets; the risk that we or our channel partners are not able to develop and expand customer bases and accurately anticipate demand from end customers, which can result in increased inventory and reduced orders as we experience wide fluctuations in supply and demand; the risk that our commercial Lighting Products results will continue to suffer if new issues arise regarding issues related to product quality for this business; the risk that we may experience production difficulties that preclude us from shipping sufficient quantities to meet customer orders or that result in
higher production costs and lower margins; our ability to lower costs; the risk that our results will suffer if we are unable to balance fluctuations in customer demand and capacity, including bringing on additional capacity on a timely basis to meet customer demand; the risk that longer manufacturing lead times may cause customers to fulfill their orders with a competitor's products instead; the risk that the economic and political uncertainty caused by the proposed tariffs by the United States on Chinese goods, and any corresponding Chinese tariffs in response, may negatively impact demand for our products; product mix; risks associated with the ramp - up
of production
of our new products, and our entry into new business channels different from those in which we have historically operated; the risk that customers do not maintain their favorable perception
of our brand and products, resulting in lower demand for our products; the risk that our products fail to perform or fail to meet customer requirements or expectations, resulting in significant additional costs, including costs associated with warranty returns or the potential recall
of our products; ongoing uncertainty in global economic conditions, infrastructure development or customer demand that could negatively affect product demand, collectability
of receivables and other related matters as consumers and businesses may defer purchases or payments, or default on payments; risks resulting from the concentration
of our business among few customers, including the risk that customers may reduce or cancel orders or fail to honor purchase commitments; the risk that we are not able to enter into acceptable contractual arrangements with the significant customers
of the acquired Infineon RF Power business or otherwise not fully realize anticipated benefits
of the transaction; the risk that retail customers may alter promotional pricing, increase promotion
of a competitor's products over our products or reduce their inventory levels, all
of which could negatively affect product demand; the risk that our investments may experience periods
of significant
stock price
volatility causing us to recognize fair value losses on our investment; the risk posed by managing an increasingly complex supply chain that has the ability to supply a sufficient quantity
of raw materials, subsystems and finished products with the required specifications and quality; the risk we may be required to record a significant charge to earnings if our goodwill or amortizable assets become impaired; risks relating to confidential information theft or misuse, including through cyber-attacks or cyber intrusion; our ability to complete development and commercialization
of products under development, such as our pipeline
of Wolfspeed products, improved LED chips, LED components, and LED lighting products risks related to our multi-year warranty periods for LED lighting products; risks associated with acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures or investments generally; the rapid development
of new technology and competing products that may impair demand or render our products obsolete; the potential lack
of customer acceptance for our products; risks associated with ongoing litigation; and other factors discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended June 25, 2017, and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
Stocks are falling as traders worry about rising interest rates, and
volatility as measured by the VIX has jumped to its
highest since the
market turmoil
of August 2015.
Although value
stocks typically hold up better in times
of volatility, this bull
market has been exceptionally smooth — up until the last year, that is — and favored
high - growth momentum
stocks, which tend to have more expensive valuations.
The most recent such crisis, and the continued
volatility of the
markets, means
stock in the views
of NYU professor Nouriel (Dr. Doom) Roubini has never been
higher.
The
market volatility index, otherwise known as the VIX and even better known as the fear gauge — a measure
of the expected
volatility of U.S.
stocks — has surged to the
highest level in more than two years.
The determination
of Albertsons» majority owner, private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP, to carry out the IPO despite
volatility in the
stock markets underscores its confidence that it can fetch a
high valuation for Albertsons.
The
stock market opened way down, continuing last Friday's selloff, though it has climbed back since the open — implying the return
of volatility — as skittish investors continue to fear the sequence I describe in this AM's WaPo: tight labor
market, wage pressures,
higher interest rates, inflation, lower profit margins.
They also developed new rules, known as circuit breakers, allowing exchanges to halt trading temporarily in instances
of exceptionally large price declines.12 For example, under current rules, the New York
Stock Exchange will temporarily halt trading when the S&P 500 stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods of high market volatility.&r
Stock Exchange will temporarily halt trading when the S&P 500
stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods of high market volatility.&r
stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods
of high market volatility.»
A sudden fear
of surging inflation and
higher interest rates helped ignite the past week's stomach - churning
stock market losses and violent bouts
of volatility.
Among them are factors I've discussed at length elsewhere — a weaker U.S. dollar, a steadily flattening yield curve, heightened
market volatility, overvalued U.S.
stocks, expectations
of higher inflation, trade war jitters, geopolitical risks and more.
But this unexpectedly sanguine report was a reminder that the beginning
of a Fed tightening cycle could be near, and the subsequent selloff is a clear sign that the U.S.
market is vulnerable to
higher volatility in the near term, even though we like the long - term prospects
of stocks.
This absolutely could go sidewise: Zillow is already being hammered in the
stock market — investors aren't generally fans
of high - margin companies entering low - margin businesses, with huge amounts
of volatility risk to boot.
Is outperformance
of low -
volatility stocks just a manifestation
of the value premium (outperformance
of stocks with
high book - to -
market ratios compared to
stocks with low book - to -
market ratios)?
, San - Lin Chung, Chi - Hsiou Hung and Chung - Ying Yeh examine the predictive power
of investor sentiment for different kinds
of stocks during bull (low -
volatility, expansion) and bear (
high -
volatility, recession) equity
market regimes.
Higher oil prices would reinforce current
market trends based on reflation: rising long - term bond yields and a shift out
of perceived safer assets — bond proxies and low -
volatility stocks — and into cyclical assets such as EM.
Of course with this ETF, or any other similar investment, we are trading off security provided in savings accounts with a higher price volatility of a stock marke
Of course with this ETF, or any other similar investment, we are trading off security provided in savings accounts with a
higher price
volatility of a stock marke
of a
stock market.
Higher interest rates, increased inflation, and stronger
market volatility are some
of the reasons that investors should eye the
stock market warily in 2018.
Dividend
stocks are enticing to investors during periods
of volatility because in such a
market they tend to perform well relative to more growth - oriented or
higher - risk equities.
Notwithstanding episodic spikes,
stock market volatility was surprisingly low during much
of 2016 given unusually
high uncertainty.
Merging the world
of high - finance and
high - art, Artemis Capital Management is proud to present a creative visualization
of stock market volatility over the last two decades.
The appeal increases when you consider that dividend - growth companies tend to be
of higher quality and lower
volatility than the broader
stock market.
The is what the
market believes the future
volatility of the
stock will be, and the
market expresses it's opinion by increasing (
higher volatility) or decreasing (lower
volatility) the premium
of the option.
For the Dow Jones Industrial Average, since 1926, the odds
of a 10 % correction happening are 1 in 3 — they are par for the course when it comes to the
stock market's value proposition (which is that the price for
higher returns is
higher volatility).
The is what the
market believes the future
volatility of the
stock will be, and the
market expresses it's opinion by increasing (
higher volatility) or decreasing (lower
volatility) the premium
of the option.
History shows that times
of high market volatility are good times to be in growth investments such as dividend - paying
stocks.
Finally, as we see
higher levels
of stock market volatility,
high yield
volatility is likely to rise as well.
Putting your money to risk with
higher volatility and ups and downs
of the
stock market can lead faster depletion
of your funds.
For example, if you have a very
high tolerance for risk — perhaps you have a spouse with a full pension so you're less concerned about
stock market volatility — you might increase the level
of equity you hold in your retirement savings.
That's the crux
of the problem Ayres and Nalebuff identify: you either have lots
of time and little money to take advantage
of the
higher returns on
stocks, or you have lots
of money and little time to ride out the
volatility of the equity
market.
Trading penny
stocks takes an incredible amount
of knowledge and experience as their
higher levels
of volatility and
market movement make them an extremely risky investment.
Is the inclusion
of 100 - day Historical
Volatility (ranking from high to low) the volatility of the overall market regime or the stocks you are selecting
Volatility (ranking from
high to low) the
volatility of the overall market regime or the stocks you are selecting
volatility of the overall
market regime or the
stocks you are selecting, or both?
Periods
of low
volatility often coincide with
higher levels
of valuation, and that sort
of low economic variability can help to generate
stock market bubbles.
The
market volatility index, otherwise known as the VIX and even better known as the fear gauge — a measure
of the expected
volatility of U.S.
stocks — has surged to the
highest level in more than two years.
Global
stock markets have had tremendous
volatility over that period
of time, but they are generally
higher than they were back then.
Apart from general
market risk, security risk, the lack
of liquidity at times and
higher volatility associated with mid caps
stocks could affect the fund and its performance.
Of course, right now I have a few high weighted stocks that need to be pruned back, but given the current volatility of the market these days, that won't be happening any time soo
Of course, right now I have a few
high weighted
stocks that need to be pruned back, but given the current
volatility of the market these days, that won't be happening any time soo
of the
market these days, that won't be happening any time soon.
The appeal increases when you consider that dividend - growth companies tend to be
of higher quality and lower
volatility than the broader
stock market.
Is outperformance
of low -
volatility stocks just a manifestation
of the value premium (outperformance
of stocks with
high book - to -
market ratios compared to
stocks with low book - to -
market ratios)?
Given the current low interest - rate environment, adding a
high - yield allocation to your core bond portfolio or investing in a multisector bond fund may help increase your investment income — just remember that many
of these types
of funds still come with the potential for significant
volatility, particularly during times
of heightened economic and / or
stock market volatility.
A paper titled Country and Sector Drive Low -
Volatility Investing in Global Equity
Markets finds that a portfolio
of low - risk
stocks formed from the cap - weighted MSCI World Index has a return that is
higher than that
of the index itself.
By adding a bit
of historically highly volatile and
high performing emerging
market stocks, we can hope to boost the return by almost 1 % while hardly increasing the
volatility.
While direct investing can take a bit more effort, the payoff could be
higher returns and some insulation from the
volatility of the
stock market.
They also developed new rules, known as circuit breakers, allowing exchanges to halt trading temporarily in instances
of exceptionally large price declines.12 For example, under current rules, the New York
Stock Exchange will temporarily halt trading when the S&P 500 stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods of high market volatility.&r
Stock Exchange will temporarily halt trading when the S&P 500
stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods of high market volatility.&r
stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods
of high market volatility.»
Each factor criteria is established at the top 30 %
of book - to -
market (value),
highest past 12 - 1 month return (momentum), past - 36 month total -
volatility (low
volatility) among approximately 800 large liquid
stocks to avoid the liquidity issues associated with looking at a basket
of liquid small and micro-caps.
Low
volatility stocks tend to trade at a discount to the broad
market and,
of course, to
high volatility stocks; the magnitude
of the discount is highly variable, 2 but the low
volatility effect has nonetheless been durable (see Table 1).
But this unexpectedly sanguine report was a reminder that the beginning
of a Fed tightening cycle could be near, and the subsequent selloff is a clear sign that the U.S.
market is vulnerable to
higher volatility in the near term, even though we like the long - term prospects
of stocks.
Multi-cap Investments include exposure to all
market caps, including small and medium capitalization («cap»)
stocks that generally have a
higher risk
of business failure, lesser liquidity and greater
volatility in
market price.
Investors systematically overpay for
high -
volatility,
high - beta
stocks because they like the thrill (kind
of like gambling or buying a lotto ticket) leaving a large swath
of the
market undervalued and underowned.
As a form
of risk control, the portfolio construction process is designed to penalize
high volatility in
stocks and avoid excessive concentration in single sectors
of the
market.