In the US, rates were much lower in 2002 - 03 than in 1999 - 2000, but we certainly didn't have
higher equity valuations in 2003 than in 2000.
Not exact matches
For one, investors are going to have to get comfortable taking on more risk
in their
equity portfolios by buying stocks at
higher valuations.
Asia and Latin America are not risk - free, but «there seems to be sense
in buying
equities in these regions on similar or lower
valuations than their counterparts
in the developed world given that dividend growth is likely to be superior, given
higher economic growth potential.»
During the economic boom a decade ago when private
equity firms were enjoying sky
high valuations, they also took money from sovereign wealth funds
in Abu Dhabi, Kuwait, Singapore, and China.
The bearish sentiment
in Asia followed a softer lead from Wall Street, which has led a global
equities rally over the past year thanks to strong world growth fueling
higher corporate earnings and stock
valuations.
«The current
equity market
valuation is certainly stretched
in historical terms but it does not appear unreasonable based on the
high level of corporate profitability,» he said.
Valuations in equity markets have been
high and can't be justified by company fundamentals, Allianz CEO Oliver Bate said.
«
Equity markets have really been buoyant for a long time now and
valuations are extremely
high,
higher than you can actually justify based on fundamentals,» Allianz Chief Executive Oliver Bate told CNBC Saturday at the China Development Forum
in Beijing.
The determination of Albertsons» majority owner, private
equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP, to carry out the IPO despite volatility
in the stock markets underscores its confidence that it can fetch a
high valuation for Albertsons.
yields will hit the
highs on close end of the day...
equity markets setting up to be slammed tomorrow maybe but today they have run over weak shorts
in the face of rates... the federal reserve see's this and again will wonder if they are behind on hikes, strong data, major expansion
in credit, lack of wage growth rising bond yields and ballooning debt... rates will go much
higher and
equities will have revelations as to what that means for
valuations
Equities really have had the best of all worlds these past few years, with earnings growth
in the double digits and financial conditions remaining very accommodative, despite the recent rise
in both short - and long - term interest rates.1 The combination of rising earnings growth and benign financial conditions is a powerful set of tailwinds which usually drives stock
valuations higher.
These behavioral finance influences can skew a portfolio's overall allocations toward an overemphasis of potentially
higher - yielding
equities that
in some instances may represent more downside risk than upside potential at current
valuation levels.
«M&A activity globally is very
high, which is common
in the late stages of an
equity bull market as both private
equity and corporate owners look to cash
in on rich
valuations,» Lait explains.
«Many participants reported that their contacts had taken the previous month's turbulence
in stride, although a few participants suggested that financial developments over the intermeeting period highlighted some downside risks associated with still -
high valuations for
equities or from market volatility more generally,» the minutes said.
One challenge to our growth investing strategy
in 2018 may be the
high level of investor skepticism surrounding current
valuations for US
equities in general, and for technology
in particular.
But private
equity valuations are too
high now, and the government doesn't want foreigners
in the distressed real estate market.
The impact of a stronger dollar is likely to remain a hurdle for earnings, but U.S.
equities are also contending with
high relative
valuations and a likely increase
in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed)
in the second half of this year.
Our view for broader and stronger economic growth this year, with only slightly
higher interest rates from current levels, is favorable for
equity valuations — especially after the latest decline
in equity prices.
Of course, that final line — that there is a new,
higher «equilibrium
valuation of
equities» — is surely to remind some market historians of Irving Fisher's famous line that stocks had reach a new «permanently
high plateau» on the eve of the 1929 stock market crash which ushered
in the Great Depression.
Some members of the FOMC apparently «commented that the recent decline
in equity prices needs to be viewed
in the context of overall
valuation levels, which they saw as relatively
high, and a couple noted that volatility had begun to subside,» according to the Fed's minutes.
Now, as many investors worry about a global growth slowdown, rising rates and
higher volatility
in U.S.
equity markets, dividend growers offer potential opportunities due to their healthy balance sheets, as well as better
valuations, and lower volatility.
Putting aside the performance of bonds during the bear market beginning
in 1980 (both because the starting yields on Treasuries were so
high but also because the bear market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels of
valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a portfolio during
equity bear markets.
These nearly zero interest rates is what drove many U.S. and European fixed income investors towards
higher income opportunities
in their own home countries — so, they bought more
equities, REITs and dividend growth stocks over the last 5 years, driving up
valuations (though the February correction has brought back some sanity.)
Bottom line: U.S.
equities are the least dirty shirt of global
equity markets, although
high valuations keep our return expectations
in check.
Outside of a brief episode
in late 1929 and the period from February 1997 to August 2001, US
equity valuations have never been
higher than they are today.
It's definitely very
high - risk, but if you can pick successful startups before their
valuation shoots up, get some
equity, help them succeed, and they eventually go public or get acquired, you can stand to bring
in some big returns.
A trio of articles covers
high year - to - date returns,
valuations and, consequently, increased risk of small - cap
equities, especially those with growth characteristics and
in the technology sector.
Now, as many investors worry about a global growth slowdown, rising rates and
higher volatility
in U.S.
equity markets, dividend growers offer potential opportunities due to their healthy balance sheets, as well as better
valuations, and lower volatility.
Equities are currently the third
highest in valuation terms we have ever seen.
With
high market
valuations and an ever - lasting bull market, one might get scared to invest
in equities (stocks) and stay on the sidelines.
Robust consumer spending is typically a friendly factor for the
equity market, and may provide a reason to maintain
equity exposure,
in my view, despite
high equity valuations seen over the past year and the lack of any significant market correction.
Investors seek more risk
in equities as bond yields get low... And
higher equity valuations make bond investors believe it's just as safe as it was before when both debt and
equity valuations were lower (and objectively less risky).
In this age of ultra-low interest rates and sky -
high equity valuations, cheapness is nearly a forgotten concept.
When everyone believes
in the inevitability of stocks, à la «Dow 36,000» (we'll get there by 2025 or so),
equity valuations are
high, past
equity performance has probably been great, and the future
equity premium is small — think 1929, 1972, August 1987 and February 2000.
Higher numbers of mature working - age adults (ages 40 — 60) go hand in hand with higher equity valuation levels and lower y
Higher numbers of mature working - age adults (ages 40 — 60) go hand
in hand with
higher equity valuation levels and lower y
higher equity valuation levels and lower yields.
Lower rates do not always and everywhere imply
higher equity valuations — see Japan over the past 25 years — two bear markets of 60 % each
in a ZIRP environment.
Equity valuations are now extremely high, with global equity markets having added close to US$ 9.5 tn in market capitalisation over the course of
Equity valuations are now extremely
high, with global
equity markets having added close to US$ 9.5 tn in market capitalisation over the course of
equity markets having added close to US$ 9.5 tn
in market capitalisation over the course of 2018.
In the current environment of rising interest rates, lower costs, and higher loan growth, we believe earnings and equity valuations for the banking sector should recover in earnes
In the current environment of rising interest rates, lower costs, and
higher loan growth, we believe earnings and
equity valuations for the banking sector should recover
in earnes
in earnest.
It seems to me hard to believe strongly
in both ideas at the same time (
high valuation, leveraged
equity investments).
That's because when stocks have
high multiples and tight spreads, there's little upside
in holding them (future return has been brought forward to today) but there's lots of downside due to their
equity valuations tendency to mean revert.
Some like Rebetez would have liked to see a value screen for U.S.
equities, given the
high valuations that have arisen
in the Trump rally.
Dividend Growth Investor: My understanding is Japanese
equities traded at sky
high valuations and ultra low dividend yields
in the 80s.
In contrast, the impact of an increase in inflation expectations has a more muted impact on equity valuations as the impact of the higher cost of capital is offset by higher nominal earnings growt
In contrast, the impact of an increase
in inflation expectations has a more muted impact on equity valuations as the impact of the higher cost of capital is offset by higher nominal earnings growt
in inflation expectations has a more muted impact on
equity valuations as the impact of the
higher cost of capital is offset by
higher nominal earnings growth.
When an assets
valuation is
high (i.e.
equities in 2000) my target
equity allocation would be lower than normal.
When an assets
valuation is low (i.e.
equities in March of 2009) my target
equity allocation would be
higher than normal.
Putting aside the performance of bonds during the bear market beginning
in 1980 (both because the starting yields on Treasuries were so
high but also because the bear market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels of
valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a portfolio during
equity bear markets.
That said, the risk premium factor shows that the largest gains tend to come
in the southwest quadrant: low
equity valuations and
high Baa bond yields, which is a perfect set - up for mean reversion.
In addition to limited investment alternatives, low interest rates and
high equity valuations make contributing to a 529 plan today unappealing to me.
The outcome is so binary,
in hindsight an
equity valuation will be far too low, or
high... I often notice that the market / investors can ignore debt for long periods of time — i.e. they value a company almost exactly like its debt free peer.
David Kostin, Goldman Sachs» chief U.S.
equity strategist, explained that investor demand for «value» has been so pervasive that low -
valuation stocks had outperformed
higher valuation peers by 12 percent
in 2013.