Since 1993, an even
higher sea level trend of about 2.8 mm / yr has been measured from the TOPEX / POSEIDON satellite altimeter.
Not exact matches
If those
trends continue, it puts the world on track for the
highest predicted rises in temperature and
sea level.
Given the previous
sea -
level trend estimate of about 1.5 mm / y, there is a gap that requires either that these two components both be at the
high end of projections or that there is a significant contribution from Antarctica and / or Greenland.
They find it to be biased
high, although the obtained
sea level trend in this case is lower than in the real Church & White reconstruction and fully encompasses the hypothetical «true» range.
-- It is very likely that average
sea level rise will contribute to upward
trends in extreme
sea levels in extreme coastal
high water
levels.
WMO will issue its full Statement on the State of the Climate in 2017 in March which will provide a comprehensive overview of temperature variability and
trends,
high - impact events, and long - term indicators of climate change such as increasing carbon dioxide concentrations, Arctic and Antarctic
sea ice,
sea level rise and ocean acidification.
Some researchers have argued that the
higher trends from the satellite measurements proves that there has been an «acceleration» in
sea level rise, e.g., Church & White, 2006 (Abstract; Google Scholar access) or Cazenabe & Nerem, 2004 (Abstract; Google Scholar access).
Short period
trends of acceleration in mean
sea level after 1990 are evident at each site, although these are not abnormal or
higher than other short - term rates measured throughout the historical record.»
In contrast, while many African countries experience a similar
trend in rapid urban coastal growth, the
level of economic development is generally lower and consequently the capacity to adapt is smaller Coastal industries, their supporting infrastructure including transport (ports, roads, rail and airports), power and water supply, storm water and sewerage are highly sensitive to a range of extreme weather and climate events including temporary and permanent flooding arising from extreme precipitation,
high winds, storm surges and
sea level rise.
It could even go as low as 50 % FIRST the synchronized lunar and planet cycles will both be descending down to the driest part of their cycles in 2019/20 (this only occurs once every 297 years in Australia) SECOND Antarctic
sea ice extent has been
trending up to now be at record
high levels for the last 34 years.
The
trend in greater
sea level variability means that many Pacific Island communities should expect not only more frequent and prolonged drops in
sea level, but also more frequent
high sea level events.
The GMST and AMO
trends shown in Figure 6 show a low in the 1960s and
high in the 1990s, suggestive of a 60 - year oscillation, as reported for the global mean
sea level by Chambers et al. (2012).
Keeling was a joke, in less than two years of «data gathering» he claimed to have shown a
trend and concluded that man - made
levels were rising — pretending to be measuring «pristine background
levels of carbon dioxide» from the top of the world's
highest active volcano, surrounded by active volcanoes on top of a great hot spot creating volcanoes in warm
seas rocked by thousands of earthquakes every year.
The uncertainty in the global mean
sea level trend is estimated to be of ± 0.5 mm / yr in a confidence interval of 90 % (1.65 sigma), whereas the uncertainty of the regional mean
sea level trends is of the order of 2 - 3 mm / yr with values as low as 0.5 mm / yr or as
high as 5.0 mm / yr depending on the region considered (Legeais et al., 2018, under review).
If the
trend continues, the total
sea level rise could be twice as
high as previous projections by 2100.
It looks more likely that
sea level from the gauges have been rising at 1.8 mm / yr (with a few times when it goes off -
trend like in the 1960s,
higher, and especially the early 1990s, lower.
Kolker and Hameed gathered long - term data regarding the Icelandic Low and the Azores
High to capture variation and
trend in atmospheric «Centers of Action» associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation which is regarded as «One potential driver of Atlantic Ocean
sea level.»
Twentieth century
sea level trends, however, are substantially
higher that those of the last few thousand years.
Although the calculations of 18 - year rates of GMSL rise based on the different reconstruction methods disagree by as much as 2 mm mm yr - 1 before 1950 and on details of the variability (Figure 3.14), all do indicate 18 - year
trends that were significantly
higher than the 20th century average at certain times (1920 — 1950, 1990 — present) and lower at other periods (1910 — 1920, 1955 — 1980), likely related to multidecadal variability.The IPCC AR5 found that it is likely that a
sea level rise rate comparable to that since 1993 occurred between 1920 and 1950.
When comparing the ancient past with the modern 15 - site gauge per century
trend of the last 30 years, it would take some 2,500 years to reach the 6 - meter
higher sea levels recorded approximately 125,000 years ago at a much lower CO2
level.
Here's a particularly
high - quality, long,
sea -
level measurement record, at a tectonically stable location, with a very typical
trend, juxtaposed with CO2:
Higher levels of
sea salts favor reduction processes and thus GEM destruction in the snow interstitial air (30), but no long - term
trends have been reported for
sea salt impurities deposited on the Greenland ice sheet during the last century (33).
In light of
trends showing a likely 3 °C or more global temperature rise by the end of this century (a figure that could become much
higher if all feedback processes, such as changes of
sea ice and water vapor, are taken into account) that could result in
sea level rises ranging from 20 to 59 cm (again a conservative estimation), Hansen believes it is critical for scientists in the field to speak out about the consequences and rebuke the spin offered by pundits who «have denigrated suggestions that business - as - usual greenhouse gas emissions may cause a
sea level rise of the order of meters.»