Sentences with phrase «higher than his prediction»

Also, sea level rise is almost 80 per cent higher than some predictions, says co-author Tim Lenton at the University of East Anglia in Norwich, UK.

Husain and the institute's scientists found that from 1964 to 2010, soot emissions were four times higher than the predictions of the field's leading model.

Notice that from 2003 to 2010, the observations are higher than prediction, then lower than prediction — but overall OHC (actually OHCA, ocean heat content anomaly) has been pretty close to its predicted values.

The real crime rates in Fairfax County Virginia were up to 50 % higher than his predictions (no entry for academic fraud Mr. Cuchinelli).

Godsoe compared last year's predictions with the final results for the year and noted that listings and sales were down, as predicted, but the average sale price rose eight percent, which was considerably higher than the prediction of slightly above the rate of inflation.

Not exact matches

The Duetsche Bank predictions came supported with charts and statements that show Canada's housing market is valued 35 % higher than the median house price (when compared to median household income) and 91 % when compared to average rental rates.

«They're very closely aligned with our forecasts,» said Brett House, the deputy chief economist at Scotiabank, where the prediction for Canada is one - tenth of a percentage point higher than what the IMF projects.

Pipeline operator Enbridge Inc. saw increases in the shipment of crude oil across its Mainland system, earning 61 cents per share — an average of 5 cents higher than analyst predictions.

Net earnings more than doubled year - on - year to $ 242 - million, or $ 0.28 a share, beating both the average analyst prediction of $ 0.11 a share, and the highest analyst estimate of $ 0.18 a share, according to Thompson Reuters data.

Overall, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of social media based prediction was higher than 7.

With flooding continuing in Houston, plus more than a foot of rain likely still to come through Friday, predictions of damage have ranged as high as $ 100 billion, and Wall Street and Washington are braced for the repercussions of the costliest U.S. natural disaster since Hurricane Sandy in 2012.

While far less than predicted in a study for the Mail on Sunday, this is still far higher than previous predictions.

Long - term data from a wind farm at San Gorgonio, California, confirmed his earlier model predictions: surface temperatures behind the wind turbines were higher than in front during the night, but as much as 4 °C lower by day.

«All three predictions were met: facial traits are more variable and less correlated than other traits, and the genes that underlie them show higher levels of variation,» Nachman said.

There are also a few high profile cases, such as Sandy, where the European group made more accurate predictions than the American GFS.

When they compared the isotope predictions with the weather - station data, the measured ratios in northern latitudes tended to be higher than expected, the team reports tomorrow in Nature.

Temperature rise is higher than diffusion prediction, and in microelectronics, you don't want that to happen,» says Professor Gang Chen, head of the Department of Mechanical Engineering at MIT.

The Met Office Hadley Centre (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research) climate change model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater than B1).

A good example is if you try and fit a normal distribution to 10 data values using a flat prior for the variance... the final variance estimate you get is higher than anything that any of the standard methods will give you, and is really just nonsense: it's extremely biased, and the resulting predictions of the normal are much too wide.

The team found the predictions with the new shielded model of PAHs came in at the same value that Simonich measured on the mountain - four times higher than the previous model, which was considerably off the mark.

Early predictions are that caloric cooling systems could result in as much as a 30 percent higher efficiency than currently available vapor - compression products.

In addition, the variance of our value - added measure is significantly higher within higher - poverty schools than in lower - poverty schools, even after we control for the experience level and other observable characteristics of teachers within each school, which supports the second prediction.

I worry that the latest 2017 «it» schools as promoted by themselves or their districts may be more like the collective high school predictions about post-high school life than some definitive objective measure of the schools that will deliver consistent results for kids.

The nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's Office hasn't changed its prediction from last fall that final revenues for this year will be higher than Brown projected, and many districts are hedging their bets, counting on the LAO's analysis.

Some of this research involves predictions shared with UCAS or exam boards, and in both cases there are reasons why teachers might veer higher than they really think.

That's higher than the federal government's March budget projections of $ 29.4 billion this year and $ 29 billion next year — predictions that each included $ 6 - billion cushions for risk.

I like being sharp rather than fuzzy, but I hate making sharp predictions if I know that the probability of my being wrong is high.

If they make an incorrect prediction and interest rates shoot up higher than the rate they have loaned money at, then they end up losing money on the loan overall.

* Most of our major cities are under increasingly severe water restrictions and the prediction is that many towns will run our of water or have to pay significant pumping and carting costs in the coming year unless we get significantly higher than average rains (e.g see here).

My eyes are more trained on the high end predictions, than low end (worse) predictions.

It is perhaps inevitable that novel prediction methods that appear to «go against the mainstream» are going to be higher profile than they warrant in retrospect — such is the way of the world.

But hey, if we're going to play this game, then here's my prediction: global temperature will be 0.28 °C colder than today and sea levels will be 93.7 mm higher.

f) for much of human history temperatures were much higher than the IPCC predictions for 2100.

Scientific predictions of climate change for the next couple centuries, when we already know that CO2 and water vapor will be high, involves much less uncertainty than prediction of climate change when CO2 and water vapor are low.

They maintain that the actual forcings (which includes things other than just CO2) are closest to Hansen's scenario B. Remember this wasn't an exercise in predicting future CO2, methane, solar, volcanic, etc. forcings, but a prediction of what could happen under some hypothetical «high», «medium» and «low» forcing scenarios.

Although their prediction skill is lower than for mean quantities, this fact is often compensated by their higher relevance for the user and their reliability.

Kevin Hamilton, who co-authored the report, warns: «If our model results prove to be representative of the real global climate, then climate is actually more sensitive to perturbations by greenhouse gases than current global models predict, and even the highest warming predictions would underestimate the real change we could see.»

The prediction for September 2011 is 257,947 km2, which is slightly higher than average.

The prediction for the Kara - Barents Sea based on April MYI area, 1.49 ± 0.11 * 106 km2, is slightly higher than 2006.

«Predictions of warming - induced war more likely to result in higher military $ $ $ than lower fossil - fuel emissions» [link]

The IPCC 2007 Fourth Assessment of climate change science concluded that large reductions in the emissions of greenhouse gases, principally CO2, are needed soon to slow the increase of atmospheric concentrations, and avoid reaching unacceptable levels.However, climate change is happening even faster than previously estimated; global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions, Arctic sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted, and the rise in the sea level has become more rapid.

As the adjacent chart by expert Bob Tisdale reveals, the NASA climate model prediction for ocean heat content (OHC) is robustly higher than actual measurements of OHC since 2003.

Today, it's stagnant − and the predictions are that, by 2050, average temperatures will be 5 % higher than they are now.

-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.

That's five times higher than previous predictions.

The fact that the actual measured planetary warming is less than the lowest IPCC model prediction warming and is found only at high latitudes (which is not predicted by the IPCC models) logically supports the assertion that the planet's response to a change in forcing is to resist the change (negative feedback, planetary clouds in the tropics increase reflecting more sunlight in to space) rather than to amplify the change (positive feedback) due increased water vapour in the atmosphere.

BMA is a statistical procedure that infers consensus predictions by weighing individual predictions based on their probabilistic likelihood measures, with the better performing predictions receiving higher weights than the worse performing ones.

«Since the weather prediction model simulated the frequency and timing of summer precipitation more reliably than the global model, its daily high temperature predictions for the future are also believed to be more accurate,» added co-author Leonard Druyan, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University.

(formerly known as anonymous) Coby, thanks for the prompt answer on the other thread re higher confidence for future predictions than for past observations (I haven't expressed that well, but I got your gist).

The season, which begins Wednesday and ends November 30, «will most likely be near - normal,» but this year's predictions have higher levels of uncertainty than usual.