Sentences with phrase «highest warming predictions»

Kevin Hamilton, who co-authored the report, warns: «If our model results prove to be representative of the real global climate, then climate is actually more sensitive to perturbations by greenhouse gases than current global models predict, and even the highest warming predictions would underestimate the real change we could see.»

Not exact matches

The researchers used long - term genetic monitoring data coupled with high - resolution climate and stream temperature predictions to assess whether climate warming enhances interactions between native and nonnative species through hybridization.

October 26, 2007, Prediction of Global Warming High May Be Impossible, by Karen Hopkins.

A significant aspect of the forecast is an exuberant prediction for strengthening of the current El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm phase and its accompanying interaction with the Pacific - North American mode at higher latitudes.

In light of this prediction and global climate model forecasts for continued high - latitude warming, the ice sheet mass budget deficit is likely to continue to grow in the coming decades.

The political «solution» is: Unsupported claims of large aerosol increases which allows the fiction of the a high climate sensitivity to be maintained, leading to alarming and false predictions of catastropic future warming.

Difference between nighttime lows and daytime highs decreasing — no they aren't Warming of the planet since 1880 — same trend since LIA 40 % rise in Atmospheric CO2 since ~ 1800 — has little effect Underlying physics of the Greenhouse effect — you don't appear to understand them, and neither do modellers, which is why their predictions have been so wrong

So, the scientific thread of albedo prediction from optical depth, Van de Hulst, Sagan and Pollack [Venusian runaway global warming], Lacis and Hansen is wrong., the crutch for the high CO2 - AGW hypothesis is taken away, CO2 probably loses AGW monopoly via «polluted cloud heating».

On the topic of the 2400 year solar cycle, the paper suggests that the sun will enter a 370 year period of high activity between AD2242 and AD2610, like that of the Roman Warming Period, consistent with JPL angular momentum data and your predictions of solar activity for the next 1000 years.

«Predictions of warming - induced war more likely to result in higher military $ $ $ than lower fossil - fuel emissions» [link]

-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.

Whether it's global warming, cooling, the ozone hole, acid rain, or any of the other myriad climate doomsday predictions (which NEVER come true) the proposed «solution» is always the same: More money and more power for politicians, and higher taxes and less freedom for ordinary people.

The fact that the actual measured planetary warming is less than the lowest IPCC model prediction warming and is found only at high latitudes (which is not predicted by the IPCC models) logically supports the assertion that the planet's response to a change in forcing is to resist the change (negative feedback, planetary clouds in the tropics increase reflecting more sunlight in to space) rather than to amplify the change (positive feedback) due increased water vapour in the atmosphere.

Consistent with the previous analyses at Skeptical Science, RFC12 finds that the climate models used in the IPCC 2001 Third Assessment Report (TAR) and 2007 Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) predicted the ensuing global surface warming to a high degree of accuracy, while their central sea level rise predictions were too low by about 60 %.

Using temperature readings from the past 100 years, 1,000 computer simulations and the evidence left in ancient tree rings, Duke University scientists announced yesterday that «the magnitude of future global warming will likely fall well short of current highest predictions.»

Much of the recent discussion of climate sensitivity in online forums and in peer - reviewed literature focuses on two areas: cutting off the so - called «long tail» of low probability \ high climate sensitivities (e.g., above 6 C or so), and reconciling the recent slowdown in observed surface warming with predictions from global climate models.

Myron Ebell: «The predictions made at the beginning of the era of global warming alarm have so far proven to be wildly inaccurate and they've all been much higher than predicted.

By then, annual CO2 emissions from the US and EU will be somewhat reduced (my prediction, based on recent trends), CO2 emissions from industrializing nations will be higher, alternative sources of energy will be cheaper; and we'll have 20 more years of experience with the natural disasters that will recur dramatically with or without global mean warming or cooling.

If the actual data to be plotted does not show rapid and unprecedented warming in the late 20th century, then why would the statistical science of climate model prediction give us high CO2 sensitivity and doomsday predictions for the middle / end of this century?

They are referring to a 1971 article written by climatologist Stephen Schneider, in which he did, indeed, make that prediction; however, as he himself now acknowledges, new evidence soon followed its publication that suggested that 1) the cooling impact of aerosols was not nearly as high as originally estimated and 2) there were many other gases in the atmosphere, including methane, CFCs and ozone, that had the same warming effect as carbon dioxide.

Future warming is likely to be on the high end of predictions says Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research who has been a lead author for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

A general prediction of global warming does not just suggest that there will be an average higher world temperature.

The Last Interglacial was also a period with higher global sea - level and a corresponding reduction in ice sheet area and volume, which are consistent with IPCC predictions for responses to future global warming.