We have assumed that home prices will increase at
the historical average growth rate over the past 20 years.
Not exact matches
World
growth will remain low on
average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued for a while longer so as to impose no constraint on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime of negative real interest
rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk of a eurozone collapse is off the table for now; finally, stock markets should continue to perform better than expected, even though the four - year old cyclical bull market is long by
historical standards.
Finally, if we assume a sustained explosion in productivity
growth to 2.8 % annually, joining the highest quintile of
historical U.S. productivity
growth rates for any 8 - year period, and assuming an unemployment
rate of just 4 % in 2024, the result would still be real U.S. GDP
growth averaging just 3.2 % annually over the next 8 years.
To project future years, the
average growth rate for child benefits in recent years was used, based on
historical data from Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) and the Public Accounts.
This leaves roughly 1.4 % of
historical long - term returns which can be attributed to past expansion in the Price / Earnings multiple (i.e. over the past 50 years, prices have grown somewhat faster than the 5.7 %
average rate of earnings
growth).
Those expectations are based on analysis of
historical precedence, including the
average market gains in the third year of the presidential election cycle, strong momentum, earnings
growth, seasonal trends, accelerating economic
growth, and the normal market performance around the first Fed
rate hike.
My problem is that when i look for stocks i set very strict parameter rules like: — minimum dividend
growth rate of 7 - 10 % in last years 10, 5 years
average —
historical stocks that increased dividend at least for the last 15 years or paid historically (like BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA)-- very low debt — low payout ratio — historically (long term) stock price has been increasing etc...
Shares of 3M are trading above its
historical average P / E, but this is warranted based on the company's earnings
growth rate going forward.
By taking the
historical average dividend
growth rate for at least five years, you have a baseline to go off of to increase or decrease your forecasted dividend
growth rate.
High
growth stocks are categorized by a significantly above -
average historical earnings
growth rate, coupled with a forecast for significantly above -
average growth going forward.
Emerson is A
rated, offers an above -
average current yield of 3.8 %, and is expected to return to
historical earnings
growth levels in the future.
This is assuming the earnings
growth rate going forward is 7.2 percent (i.e., comparable to its long - term
historical average of 7.41 percent) and interest
rates remain at the current all - time low levels.
The projected 10 - year
rate of return (calculated using the current price and the projected price in 10 years based on the sustainable
growth rate, projected book value per share and earnings per share, and
historical average price - earnings ratio) is greater than or equal to 15 %
This leaves roughly 1.4 % of
historical long - term returns which can be attributed to past expansion in the Price / Earnings multiple (i.e. over the past 50 years, prices have grown somewhat faster than the 5.7 %
average rate of earnings
growth).
This A + + diversified health - care company has not only achieved the most consistent record of double - digit earnings
growth of any company I follow, since calendar year 2007 the
rate of change of earnings
growth has accelerated to 12.8 % versus their
historical average of about 10 %.
On
average, those stores saw a 62 - percent increase in sales versus
historical growth rates of about 35 percent.
However, this does represent a lower
rate of increase than the
historical average — China's
average annual
growth rate for coal consumption from 2000 to 2013 was 8.8 percent.
National home prices are right in line — within 2 % — with inflation adjusted long - run
average levels, which Clear Capital says shows prices have normalized post-bubble and future
rates of
growth will look more like
historical rates of
growth.
The logistics sector boasts above
average rent
growth and near
historical low vacancy
rates.
Overall, both single - family and multifamily housing stock has lagged behind household
growth in many markets — home ownership
rates, under 64 percent, are still below
historical averages, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's quarterly report issued at the end of October 2015.
A relatively limited amount of new multifamily construction in Northeast Florida has kept the occupancy
rate above its
historical average, presenting opportunity for increased rent
growth.