The top 10 metro areas with the biggest need for more single - family housing starts to get back to
the historical average ratio are:
Not exact matches
And the S&P 500 P - E
ratio is below 17, which is the
historical average.
The Shiller price / earnings
ratio, which compares companies» share prices with their inflation - adjusted 10 - year earnings
average, is at 31, well above the
historical median of 16 — a sign that future returns will be sluggish.
One potential way to know when a sector or industry is overpriced is when the
average p / e
ratio of all of the companies in that sector or industry climb far above the
historical average.
Should the economy manage to grow at close to its
historical long - term
average of 1pc a year, Greece's debt
ratio would still top 100pc of GDP in three decades.
The company's
ratio of enterprise value to forward 12 - month Ebitda is about 21, which far exceeds a five - year
historical average of 17.
It is difficult to see how income growth in the future can bring this
ratio close to the
historical average within any reasonable period - so it follows that house prices will have to decline.
For instance, the price - to - earnings
ratio of the stocks in the S&P 500 currently is 21.7 for the trailing 12 months, well above the
historical average of 15.5, according to research firm Birinyi Associates.
Equity markets have appreciated sharply in recent years, and valuations, based on price - to - earnings
ratios, in developed markets were not cheap relative to their
historical averages as of late 2017.
Not least because the Shiller p / e is, at 25, well above the
historical average and other market indicators (like the Q
ratio) are pointing the same way.
But stock performance has actually outpaced gains in earnings, and as a result, US equity valuations appear stretched as we begin 2018 — for example, the S&P 500's price - earnings
ratio is well above longer - term
historical averages.
Moreover, if we look at periods when the economy was in an expansion, trend uniformity was negative, and the S&P price / peak - earnings
ratio was above its
historical average of 14 (it's currently 21), the
average total return drops to a -8 % annualized rate.
If we compare operating spending by municipalities to GDP, which is a broad measure of ability to pay, it remains within
historical averages of close to 3 % of GDP.  In 2012, operating spending by all municipalities in Canada amounted to just 3.1 % of GDP, the same that it was twenty years ago, and down from the 3.3 % reached in 2009 during the depths of the recession.  This
ratio was higher during the recession because GDP had dropped and governments sensibly embarked on stimulus spending to prevent a depression. This was before their misguided adventures in austerity (which presumably the CFIB supports, but have caused devastation to small businesses in countries elsewhere).
The index's trailing price - to - earnings (P / E)
ratio sits at around 12, significantly below the
historical average of 16.
However, what he fails to mention is that over the past 25 years, the CAPE
ratio has been above its
historical average 95 % of the time.
It is also inappropriate for investors to apply a firm's
historical median (or
average) price - to - earnings
ratio to the same firm's future earnings stream.
The
historical average is around 50 %, but a white paper by Global X Management, an ETF provider, shows that the
ratio is now south of 30 %.
But by
historical standards the current black unemployment rate is consistent with the
average from 1972 to 2004, and the
ratio of black - to - white unemployment rates is actually below the
historical average.
As of October 25, 2010: - Total Active Profiles in Database (logged in last 12 months): 75,003 - Total Active Premium Members (Paid): 3,981 - Total Active Premium Members (non-Paid, promotional): 20,535 - Total Introductory Members (Free): 50,487 - Total Net Signups / Paid Subscriptions To Date: 9,516 - Total CURRENT Active Auto - Renewal Forecast (12 Month Forecast): $ 315,097.80 -
Average Lifetime Revenue (based on 3 year
historical period) t: $ 94.30 - Signup Mapped Conversion
Ratio (free / paid): 10.53 %
According to Brian, not only is the stock's forward P / E
ratio of 15.0 much lower than its
historical norm of 19.1, but its current dividend yield of 2 % is nearly double the company's 22 - year
average yield of 1.2 %.
My problem is that when i look for stocks i set very strict parameter rules like: — minimum dividend growth rate of 7 - 10 % in last years 10, 5 years
average —
historical stocks that increased dividend at least for the last 15 years or paid historically (like BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA)-- very low debt — low payout
ratio — historically (long term) stock price has been increasing etc...
That's because Verizon's 5 - year
historical P / E has
averaged out to 14.8, which is practically the same as the
ratio of 15 that was used as a reference point in the first step.
It is best to find a price - to - earnings
ratio that is certainly less than 17, which is the
historical average.
For its basic estimate, FASTGraphs compares the stock's actual price - to - earnings (P / E)
ratio to the
historical average P / E
ratio of the whole stock market, which is 15.
In addition, at 14.3 - times estimated next - twelve - month earnings, the price - to - earnings
ratio of the S&P 500 ® is only slightly below the
historical average.
Based on
historical data between 2010 to 2016, the
average ratio is 0.882.
I measure [Delta] LEVER as the
historical change in the
ratio of total long - term debt to
average total assets, and view an increase (decrease) in financial leverage as a negative (positive) signal.
Since 1996, the US CAPE
ratio has been above its long - term simple
average (16.6) 96 % of the time, and above 24, roughly one standard deviation above its
historical norm, more than two - thirds of the time.
The
historical annual excess return over the 25 1/2 - year period of our analysis
averages 14.7 % at 10.1 % volatility, an impressive 1.5 Sharpe
ratio — double even the best Sharpe
ratio of the individual strategies.7
The
historical return opportunities have been quite compelling, with Sharpe
ratios as high as 0.70 and an
average Sharpe
ratio of 0.43.
For instance, the blue dot on the value factor scatterplot suggests that prior to March 2016 the valuation level of 0.14 — meaning the value portfolio was 14 % as expensive as the growth portfolio measured by price - to - book
ratio, and lower than the
historical norm of 21 % relative valuation — would have delivered an
average annualized alpha of 8.1 % over the next five years.
Mean reversion to a value of 23 would deliver a scant return of 30 bps a year, whereas reversion to the
historical average CAPE
ratio of 16.6 would result in a loss of − 2.8 % a year; both scenarios are net of inflation, but include the positive impact of dividends.
In all markets, the portfolios» weighted
average market capitalization (WAMC)
ratios — the
historical average of a portfolio's WAMC as a percentage of the benchmark's WAMC — increased almost monotonically as the constraints took effect.
Here's a few of them: If you look at the data going back, we now after the 1880s, the
historical average PE
ratio measured by what's called the Shiller CAPE 10.
So you add nearly 2 % of after - tax return per annum if you only achieve an
average return by
historical standards from common stock investments in companies with tiny dividend payout
ratios.
They point out that stocks are expensive right now, as evidenced by Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted price - to - earnings (CAPE)
ratio being 56 % above its
historical average.
FASTGraphs starts us off with a price - to - earnings (P / E)
ratio of 15, which is the long - term
historical average for the whole stock market.
This represents a yield of 4.3 % and a payout
ratio of 64 %, which is in line with the company's
historical averages and why VZ is considered one of the more appealing, safe dividend stocks.
The
ratio currently stands at 119 % vs. a
historical average of 82.5 %.
This
ratio currently stands at 16.8 times vs. its
historical average of 15.5 %.
This
ratio currently stands at 2.8 times vs a
historical average of 2.4 times.
Note that a
ratio near 1.0 is not fair value - rather, the
historical median and
average of the price - to - net - worth
ratio is just 0.75.
The following table shows the low end of the 5 and 10 year
historical averages for dividend yield, P / E
ratio, P / S
ratio, and EBITDA per share as well as the FY 2015 estimate for each metric with the corresponding price targets.
The orange earnings justified valuation PE line represents the longer term
historical PE
ratio of 15, which is generally accepted as fair value for the
average company and approximates the PE of 16 that Prof. Shiller embraces.
Compare the recent
ratios to both the
historical levels of the company along with peer companies and industry
averages.
The projected 10 - year rate of return (calculated using the current price and the projected price in 10 years based on the sustainable growth rate, projected book value per share and earnings per share, and
historical average price - earnings
ratio) is greater than or equal to 15 %
Yes, the price earnings
ratio on forecast earnings is now around 12 and the
historical average is around 15.
So you add nearly 2 % of after - tax return per annum if you only achieve an
average return by
historical standards from common stock investments in companies with low dividend payout
ratios.
Where can I find 3 - 5 year
historical data showing
average or leading financial
ratios by industry.
If a business is trading for lower than its
historical average price - to - earnings
ratio, it is likely trading at fair value or better.