Sentences with phrase «historical bear market low»
A historical bear market low came in 1942, which was followed by a bull market that lasted for 48 - months.
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When valuations move from elevated levels to historical lows over the span of several market cycles, the result is a «secular bear market» and headlines about the permanent death of equities.
The favorable market performance associated with many historical economic expansions is fully accounted for by 1) favorable post-recession valuations, with the S&P 500 averaging less than 9 times prior peak earnings at the recession low, expanding to just over 11 times peak earnings in the first year of the bull market, and 2) favorable trend uniformity, which typically emerges almost immediately in the form of a powerful breadth thrust off of a bear market low, and is confirmed within a few weeks by much broader trend uniformity.
As you can see, historical bear markets don't usually start when real interest rates are this low.
It would put the dividend yield at just 2.8 %, far below the historical average of 4 % which has been attained at every bear market low.