Not exact matches
Twenty percent of millionaires said the
election will cause them to invest more in stocks, which Wynn said is a high number compared to
historical data.
By analyzing the use of biblical citations in the four most recent
election cycles, Berlinerblau manages an
historical analysis that is fresh enough to be present in most readers» minds yet has a sufficient track record to provide useful
data.
They may account on some Trump supporters hiding their vote intention because of peer pressure / embarrassment using
historical data, but if peer pressure is higher in this
election than in previous
elections it is difficult to tune up that effect correctly (how can you measure peer pressure to adjust your model before the
election day?).
In fact, Democrats have only controlled both chambers twice in the last twenty years (103rd and 110th Congresses) and
historical data show that there are thirteen states that Democrats have not won in the last seven
elections,, and five they have only won once, totaling almost 160 electoral votes.
By using this rare
historical data from Botswana — a country where, unusually for Africa,
elections have been held consistently since independence in the late 1960s — the project team will be able to separate the impact of electoral competition from the changed donor pressures of the 1990s.
Approaches may just use current polling, i.e. a «nowcast» (e.g. Electoral Calculus, May2015.com and The Guardian), or add in a predictive element about how polling shifts based on
historical data (e.g. ElectionForecast and
Elections Etc.).