(Funds that rebalance based on
historical volatility do a similar thing.)
(Funds that rebalance based on
historical volatility do a similar thing.)
Not exact matches
Citing 1993 and 2000 as evidence — years that saw low
volatility and a steep drop in inter-stock correlation eventually return to
historical norms — Kolanovic
does not believe this divergence - driven stability will last.
Though most investors use standard deviation to determine
volatility, there's an easier and more accurate way of
doing it: the
historical method.
For implied
volatility it is okey to use Black and scholes but what to
do with the
historical volatility which carry the effect of past prices as a predictor of future prices.And then precisely the conditional
historical volatility.i suggest that you must go with the process like, for stock returns 1) first download stock prices into excel sheet 2) take the natural log of (P1 / po) 3) calculate average of the sample 4) calculate square of (X-Xbar) 5) take square root of this and you will get the standard deviation of your required data.
The MFIP doesn't select from the whole of Class 4 because very few Class 4 funds have demonstrated low enough
historical volatility to qualify for this fixed income portfolio.
Therefore, a risk - control strategy based on realized
historical volatility is likely to add value over the long run as well; even though we
do not forecast
volatility.
A mutual fund that lags in market conditions that it historically has
done well in should receive more scrutiny than a mutual fund that is following its
historical volatility trends and is producing returns that are similar to those of its peers.