Not exact matches
A few things stand out about this particular rate change: first, the magnitude of influence that just a quarter percentage - point change had on the stock market; second, the current rate with an upper
range of.50 % compared to the various long - term
averages of about 5 %; and third, the rate remains
historically low, with only minute incremental changes, despite the relatively good news we continue to read about the economy.
In particular, cranial capacity variation in human populations appears to be largely a function of climate, so, for example, the full
range of
average capacities is seen in Native American groups, as they
historically occupied the full
range of latitudes [18].
In contrast, I've often quoted the Shiller P / E (which essentially uses a 10 - year
average of inflation - adjusted earnings) as a simple but
historically informative alternative, but I should emphasize that we strongly prefer our standard methodologies based on earnings, forward earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, all which have a fairly tight relationship with subsequent 7 - 10 year total returns (see Lessons from a Lost Decade, The Likely
Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade, Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings, and No Margin of Safety, No Room for Error).
In fact, data going back to the 1800s tells us the long - term
average for 10 - year treasuries has hovered in the 4 to 5 %
range historically.
Over the past 100 years, the Dow Jones Industrial
Average has risen by an average of 5.8 %, which when you add in dividends that have historically been in the 3 % -4 % ballpark, the total return is in the 9 % -10 %
Average has risen by an
average of 5.8 %, which when you add in dividends that have historically been in the 3 % -4 % ballpark, the total return is in the 9 % -10 %
average of 5.8 %, which when you add in dividends that have
historically been in the 3 % -4 % ballpark, the total return is in the 9 % -10 %
range.
The
average default rate of junk bonds has
historically ranged between 1.5 % and 10 % a year.