Brazil also recognizes its current challenges:
historically low commodity prices, which undermine the country's resource - focused exports; and a currency that has depreciated compared to the U.S. dollar, making it difficult for Brazil and Brazilian businesses to service their debts.
Despite high volumes, Australia's
historically commodity - based markets have
low margins, with high labour costs decreasing competitiveness and significant competition in saturated markets driving down
prices.
What I can say from a strategic perspective is that 1) I like a purchase of assets at
historically low prices, 2) MFC has some expertise in the
commodity business so this isn't completely outside their playing field, 3) perhaps, worst case, there could be a strategy to purchase the assets in bulk at a distress sale and then sell them off piecemeal for a profit, and 4) while this may be a role of the dice (who knows where gas
prices will be a year from now) MFC is not betting the ranch; the total investment will be about CDN $ 75 million ($ 33 for the outstanding shares, $ 8 million for the warrants, $ 30 million additional investment and I've estimated $ 4 million for transaction costs), or less than 25 % of MFC's current cash hoard.