October has a frightful
history of market crashes such as in 1929, 1987, the 554 - point drop on October 27, 1997, back - to - back massacres in 1978 and 1979, Friday the 13th in 1989 and the 733 - point drop on October 15, 2008.
Not exact matches
They included 1987 (biggest one - day stock
market crash in
history); 1990 (Iraq and then the United States invaded Kuwait, sending oil prices up and causing a recession); 2001 and 2002 (the dot - com
crash and September 11 created two years
of market losses); and 2008 (the Great Recession).
Rather, it means that
market conditions match about 4 %
of market history, and this 4 % contains every major
market crash of note.
It was only a few years later, while I was reading Charles Kindleberger's A Financial
History of Western Europe that I learned that the 1873 crisis actually «began» with a stock market crash in Vienna in May, four months before the New York markets fell, which spread to Germany, England and other countries, and the subsequent depression was perhaps the first «global» panic and depression in h
History of Western Europe that I learned that the 1873 crisis actually «began» with a stock
market crash in Vienna in May, four months before the New York
markets fell, which spread to Germany, England and other countries, and the subsequent depression was perhaps the first «global» panic and depression in
historyhistory.
Unfortunately, those two banner months came on the eve
of the bloodiest one - day
crash in U.S. stock
market history.
If the speculative bubbles and
crashes across
market history have taught us anything (particularly the repeated episodes
of recklessness we've observed over the past two decades), it's this: regardless
of the level
of valuation at any point in time, we have to allow for the potential for investors to adopt a psychological preference toward risk - seeking speculation, and no amount
of reason will dissuade them even when that speculation has already made a collapse inevitable over a longer horizon.
Rather, a
Crash Warning means that current
market conditions (extreme valuations, poor trend uniformity, hostile yield trends) match only about 4 %
of history, yet every
crash of note has emerged from this one set
of conditions.
The Stock
Market Crash of 1987 or «Black Monday» was the largest one - day market crash in hi
Market Crash of 1987 or «Black Monday» was the largest one - day
market crash in hi
market crash in
history.
There are a number
of reasons investors missed out on the run up in stocks — bad advice, a misunderstanding
of market history, fear
of another
crash from the recency effect or just a lack
of knowledge on
markets in general.
The Stock
Market Crash of 1987 (also known as Black Monday) was the largest one - day market crash in hi
Market Crash of 1987 (also known as Black Monday) was the largest one - day
market crash in hi
market crash in
history.
Set forth below is the text
of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: «But there has also never in the
history of the
market been a time when we went to a P / E10 level in the 30s and did not see a price
crash of 50 percent to 65 percent» And there have never been two such
crashes less than 80 years apart.
Throughout
history, severe
market losses and
crashes have nearly always been the result
of an upward spike in previously compressed risk premiums.
Extremes in observable conditions that we associate with some
of the worst moments in
history to invest include: Aug 1929 (with the October
crash within 10 weeks
of that instance), Aug - Oct 1972 (with an immediate retreat
of less than 4 %, followed a few months later by the start
of a 50 % bear
market collapse), Aug 1987 (with the October
crash within 10 weeks), July 1999 (associated with a quick 10 %
market plunge within 10 weeks), another signal in March 2000 (with a 10 % loss within 10 weeks, a recovery into September
of that year, and then a 50 %
market collapse), July - Oct 2007 (followed by an immediate plunge
of about 10 % in July, a recovery into October, and another signal that marked the
market peak and the beginning
of a 55 %
market loss), two earlier signals in the recent half - cycle, one in July - early Oct
of 2013 and another in Nov 2013 - Mar 2014, both associated with sideways
market consolidations, and the present extreme.
From the
history of stock
market crash above, you must have noticed that it doesn't happen every time.
Of the stock market crashes throughout the history of the United States, the stock market crash of 1987 is perhaps one of the more memorable ones if only because it was relatively recent, which means many older investors remember i
Of the stock
market crashes throughout the
history of the United States, the stock market crash of 1987 is perhaps one of the more memorable ones if only because it was relatively recent, which means many older investors remember i
of the United States, the stock
market crash of 1987 is perhaps one of the more memorable ones if only because it was relatively recent, which means many older investors remember i
of 1987 is perhaps one
of the more memorable ones if only because it was relatively recent, which means many older investors remember i
of the more memorable ones if only because it was relatively recent, which means many older investors remember it.
Grant Williams, asset manager, co-founder
of on - demand business TV channel Real Vision, and editor
of Things That Make You Go Hmmm..., explains how experiencing multiple stock
market crashes shaped his worldview, the true value
of gold, and why everyone with a knowledge
of history should own it.
It may sound silly, but October's
history as a month
of heightened volatility may also have played a factor in terms
of market sentiment; for example, the «Black Tuesday»
crash of 1929 and «Black Monday»
crash of 1987 both took place in October.
Scott Nations explores the sources
of the five largest stock
market collapses in U.S.
history in his recently published book «A History of the United States in Five Crashes.
history in his recently published book «A
History of the United States in Five Crashes.
History of the United States in Five
Crashes.»
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition
of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release
of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state
of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid
of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good
history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy
of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid
of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid
of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction
of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return
of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort
of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative
of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition
of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle
of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any
of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind
of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack
of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result
of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest
of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands
of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none
of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club
of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid
of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their
market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field
of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version
of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no
history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet
of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival
of Kroenke: pretend your a small
market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big
market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone
of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players
of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that
of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part
of the facade that finally came
crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet
of those who were well aware all along
of the potential pitfalls
of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
They are also worried that despite the huge
crash in value
of the Naira against world's major currencies, CBN maintained its official rate at N197 / USD1 thereby creating wider parallel
market margin
of about 50 per cent, the highest so far in the
history of Nigeria's currency
market.
BALL STREET STUDIO: Sony Pictures TV Studios / Showtime TEAM: David Caspe (w, ep, sr), Jordan Cahan (w, ep, sr), Seth Rogen (d, ep), Evan Goldberg (d, ep) LOGLINE: Set against the events
of October 19, 1987 — aka Black Monday, the worst stock
market crash in U.S.
history — it's the story
of how a group
of outsiders took on the blue - blood, old - boys club
of Wall Street and ended up
crashing the world's largest financial system, a Lamborghini limousine, Don Henley's birthday party and the glass ceiling.
BALL STREET STUDIO: Sony Pictures TV Studios / Showtime TEAM: David Capse (w, ep, sr), Jordan Cahan (w, ep, sr), Seth Rogen (d, ep), Evan Goldberg (d, ep) LOGLINE: October 19, 1987 — aka Black Monday — saw the worst stock
market crash in the
history of Wall Street.
Ball Street, which hails from Happy Endings creator David Caspe, Black List writer Jordan Cahan (My Best Friend's Girl), and Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg (Preacher), takes us back to October 19, 1987 — aka Black Monday — one
of the worst stock
market crashes in the
history of Wall Street.
It was higher only twice before in
history, just before two
of history's most terrifying
market crashes.
The Stock
Market Crash of 1929 was the most devastating market crash in the history of the U.S.A. because of its extent leading us into a Great Depre
Market Crash of 1929 was the most devastating
market crash in the history of the U.S.A. because of its extent leading us into a Great Depre
market crash in the
history of the U.S.A. because
of its extent leading us into a Great Depression.
Present
market conditions now match 6 other instances in
history: August 1929 (followed by the 85 %
market decline
of the Great Depression), November 1972 (followed by a
market plunge in excess
of 50 %), August 1987 (followed by a
market crash in excess
of 30 %), March 2000 (followed by a
market plunge in excess
of 50 %), May 2007 (followed by a
market plunge in excess
of 50 %), and January 2011 (followed by a
market decline limited to just under 20 % as a result
of central bank intervention).
This insurer traces its initial roots back to the time
of one
of the worst stock
market crashes in United States
history.
The only time in recent
history when many active investors fared much better than their benchmarks was when
markets were in upheaval following the
market crash of 2008 - 2009.
From the
history of stock
market crash above, you must have noticed that it doesn't happen every time.
If we go by the
history of the past stock
market crashes, one thing they have in common is the report
of sudden rally in stock prices.
The newest dividend payers don't have the
history to demonstrate they can sustain a dividend through a recession, a depression, or a stock
market crash, and certainly not through a couple
of world wars.
Juicy Excerpt: Say that it takes three years for the next
crash to take place and that that
crash will bring stock prices down 65 percent from where they are today, down to the P / E10 level
of 8 that has applied at the bottom
of every major bear
market we have seen in U.S.
history.
Juicy Excerpt: The article goes on to point out that the P / E10 level is now at the fourth highest point it has ever reached in the
history of the U.S.
market and that the three higher peaks all produced stock
crashes.
For some
history, there have been quite a number
of market crashes where stocks declined.
In 1930, the Dow was in the middle
of the most famous bear
market in
history, triggered by the
crash of Oct. 29, 1929 and lasting until June 1932.
Further, the chart is based on the period from 1990 to 2003 so it doesn't include such notable bits
of history as the 2008 bear
market or the 1987
market crash.
Think about where we were in 1928: one year away from one
of the biggest stock
market crashes in
history, which was immediately followed by the worst depression
of the 20th century.
The creation and
marketing of R.O.B. as a «Trojan Horse» after the North American video game
crash of 1983 was placed fifth in GameSpy's twenty - five smartest moves in gaming
history.
The works in Disco Angola are all dated from 1974 or 1975, a pivotal moment in the
history of global political economy: the Bretton Woods monetary regime had collapsed, the 1973 oil crisis was just abating, global
markets were enduring the worst
crash since the great Depression and the rapprochement between the US and the Soviet Union was breaking down.
They teach very little (nearly none) about securities
markets and stock behaviour to economists, and that is largely restricted to the
history of the various
market crashes and a great deal about what the central banks and Treasury dept. do with bonds and interest rates.
Some people just can't conceive
of a massive correction to the system, though they see them all the time in the form
of famine,
market crashes, etc., and there is a long
history of societies
crashing.
SBLI roots trace back to the Panic
of 1907 which was one
of the stock
markets worst
crashes in the
history of the United States.
This insurer traces its initial roots back to the time
of one
of the worst stock
market crashes in United States
history.
Stellar, Cardano and a handful
of other coins breathed new life into the cryptocurrency
market on Thursady following one
of the biggest flash
crashes in
history...
If bitcoin is the biggest bubble in human
history, it must surpass even the stock
market crash of 1929, when investors lost $ 25 billion, equivalent to hundreds
of billions in today's dollars compared to bitcoin's present
market cap
of $ 150 billion.