Not exact matches
Many readers will be aware that three scientists (two of which are contributors to this site, Michael Mann and Ray Bradley) have received letters from Representative Joe Barton (Texas), Chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee specifically requesting information about their work on the «
hockey stick»
papers (Mann et al (1998) and Mann et al (1999)-RRB-
as well
as an enormous amount of irrelevant material not connected to these studies.
And
as for the AIT, the
hockey stick only got a brief mention, and that was by mistake (he used the wrong panel from a Lonnie Thompson
paper).
What that means is that this
paper actually has nothing to do with a «
hockey stick»
as it does not have the ability to reproduce 20th century temperatures in a manner that is «statistically robust.»
And, just
as the original Mann et al «
hockey stick» was followed by additional work leading to the «spaghetti diagram» of the IPCC in 2007 showing numerous similar reconstructions, with a robust common signal, we can expect that this new
paper will for now serve
as the standard, but will stimulate additional studies that motivate even stronger conclusions.
The
paper featured an emblematic graph known
as the «
hockey -
stick» that showed temperature rise in the twentieth century was unprecedented in recent history.
Quite simply, I have accused Michael Mann of committing fraud with his
Hockey Stick papers and actions
as a lead author of the IPCC TAR to promote his own conclusions.
(I've also shown Michael Mann acknowledges his original
hockey stick is not robust
as he had claimed in his
paper.
As I recall, they reviewed maybe as many as 200 peer reviewed papers from all over the place, and reached a conclusion that the MWP and the LIA were not «Northern Hemisphere» phenomena, as Michael Mann tried to imply in his hockey stick graph, but were in fact true global events, with evidence for that coming from all over the plac
As I recall, they reviewed maybe
as many as 200 peer reviewed papers from all over the place, and reached a conclusion that the MWP and the LIA were not «Northern Hemisphere» phenomena, as Michael Mann tried to imply in his hockey stick graph, but were in fact true global events, with evidence for that coming from all over the plac
as many
as 200 peer reviewed papers from all over the place, and reached a conclusion that the MWP and the LIA were not «Northern Hemisphere» phenomena, as Michael Mann tried to imply in his hockey stick graph, but were in fact true global events, with evidence for that coming from all over the plac
as 200 peer reviewed
papers from all over the place, and reached a conclusion that the MWP and the LIA were not «Northern Hemisphere» phenomena,
as Michael Mann tried to imply in his hockey stick graph, but were in fact true global events, with evidence for that coming from all over the plac
as Michael Mann tried to imply in his
hockey stick graph, but were in fact true global events, with evidence for that coming from all over the place.
My guess is that it will, like the Mann
hockey stick, end up on the trashheap of scientific history
as yet another bogus
paper.
As if the authors of this second bogus -
hockey -
stick paper were too stupid to realize what they themselves did.
As observed elsewhere (I don't have the reference at hand, sorry): Either (a) The
hockey stick paper (MBHxx) had bad statistics, and Wegman & co-author plagiarized various material for their report, or (b) the
hockey stick paper (MBHxx) had bad statistics and Wegman & co-author didn't plagiarize various material for their support.
Do Mann's
hockey stick papers taken
as a whole make a good case study wrt that IAC report?
[The] fact that their
paper fit some policy agendas has greatly enhanced their
paper's visibility... The «
hockey stick» reconstruction of temperature graphic dramatically illustrated the global warming issue and was adopted by the IPCC and many governments
as the poster graphic.
Mr. Watts, while you are presenting this new study by Melvin et al.
as something that provides results which allegedly refute Mann's
hockey stick you do not tell your audience here that the temperature reconstruction shown in the graph, explicitly mentioned by you here, in the Melvin et al
paper is done only for a region of Northern Scandinavia, unlike the temperature reconstruction in Mann et al., (1999), doi: 10.1029 / 1999GL900070, which was a reconstruction of the Northern Hemispheric temperature.
The
Hockey stick in this paper doesn't even preclude the possibility of a Medieval Warm Period with about equal temperatures as in the 20th century, since the 20th century average temperature still lies within the upper half of the error band of Mann's Hockey Stick in the part of the reconstruction that covers the Medieval t
stick in this
paper doesn't even preclude the possibility of a Medieval Warm Period with about equal temperatures
as in the 20th century, since the 20th century average temperature still lies within the upper half of the error band of Mann's
Hockey Stick in the part of the reconstruction that covers the Medieval t
Stick in the part of the reconstruction that covers the Medieval times.
As IO have extensively proven in my
papers and by proponent of the AGW (see for example Crowley, Science 2000), the traditional climate models produce a signature quite similar to the
hockey stick graph by Mann which not only simply disagree with history but has also been seriously put in question under several studies.
Earlier this year, a
paper by Michael Mann - for years a leading light in the IPCC, and the author of the infamous «
hockey stick graph» showing flat temperatures for 2,000 years until the recent dizzying increase - made an extraordinary admission: that,
as his critics had always claimed, there had indeed been a» medieval warm period» around 1000 AD, when the world may well have been hotter than it is now.
So, while the pols and some climatologists are still trying to keep the hysteria alive (
as we see from the Science distortion of the Marcott et al.
paper to create a «super
hockey -
stick»), they are having an increasingly difficult time doing so.
To now say the uptick itself wasn't robust is to contradict their
paper,
as well
as all the «
Hockey Stick confirmed» and «We're screwed» headlines.
[Sorry, McIntyre published a trivial
paper that, by force of necessity, has been trumpeted by dishonest obstructionists like Watts
as overturning all of climate science (i.e. «The
Hockey Stick») when it did no such thing.
As one example, here is a quote from Mann's 1999
paper which (since, you clearly haven't read it) is where the
hockey stick was extended out to include the MWP:
And for good measure Turnbull also rounds on the
Hockey Stick curve,
as did GWPF Briefing
Paper No3.
This
paper ignited a major # $ % ^ storm,
as intense
as anything seen in the
hockey stick debate.