Any bettor could estimate the Week 17 spread by examining the previous game between the two teams and adjusting for
home field advantage which is typically valued at 2.5 - points.
Similarly, we have seen bettors chronically overvalue
home field advantage which has created tremendous value on visitors (in every sport except baseball).
Not exact matches
After acknowledging that reality, here are three basic steps we can take to live in a culture in
which Christianity continues to lose its «
home field advantage»:
The Nationals have
home -
field advantage,
which means they get the final chance to top every offer in the bottom of the ninth.
As we expected, this pattern of bettors overvaluing
home field advantage is amplified in «must - win» games
which creates value betting against these
home teams.
Clearly
home -
field advantage has been vastly overvalued,
which has created contrarian value on visitors.
The Seahawks have an overwhelming 86 % chance to have
home -
field advantage throughout the playoffs
which is why they are the clear favorite in the NFC.
And
which one do you think didn't have the benefit of a dome being both
home -
field advantage AND making up close to 50 % of his games?
Home -
field advantage is usually worth about 2.5 points,
which means you would expect to see a 5 - point line move based on changing venues.
One of the trends we have noticed over the years is that
home field advantage tends to be undervalued in baseball,
which can be easily explained.
Houston won the same day the Indians lost,
which puts the Astros only one game back of Cleveland for American League
home field advantage.
Historically underdogs have provided value across all six major US sports, but baseball is the only sport in
which the importance of
home field advantage has been undervalued.
Past research has also found that bettors place too much importance on
home -
field advantage,
which continued last week with
home teams going just 35 - 42 ATS.
We have also found that football bettors tend to place too much weight on the importance of
home -
field advantage,
which has created additional value on road teams — especially if they're on a prolonged road trip.
Past research found that
home -
field advantage has been vastly overrated,
which has historically created value on visitors.
I have also found that bettors tend to place too much weight on the importance of
home -
field advantage,
which has created additional value on road teams.
The Dodgers have
home field advantage, so we're kicking things off with Clayton Kershaw pitching on full rest,
which... does not happen as often as you might think!
Since opening, there's been a ton of public support for Toronto,
which does make sense — they played an incredibly entertaining last match against Montreal to advance, and they also have
home -
field advantage in the title game.
Casual bettors overvalue Top 25 teams and
home field advantage,
which inflates the line.
What is unclear at this time is the role former Deputy Borough President Barry Grodenchik, now running to replace Marshall, may have played under the allegedly sanctioned hit jobs
which often occur on city time (and at the taxpayers expense) giving an unfair
home field advantage to Helen Marhsall's number one guy.
The previous few funding rounds for large - scale sequencing had essentially been competitive renewals,
which were no less onerous to write, but gave existing large - scale centers a
home field advantage.
High - quality tutoring can meet each student at his or her individual level, 22 a level of differentiation that is impossible for even the most dedicated of teachers to provide.23 Essentially, every student with an educated, engaged parent has access to one - on - one tutoring at
home,
which is perhaps one of the reasons why homework compounds the
advantages enjoyed by middle - class children.24 For students who, for a variety of reasons, may not have access to that kind of academic assistance at
home, receiving more tailored instruction from their schools can help to level the playing
field and close achievement gaps.25
Let's hope the
home -
field advantage at least works for the football team,
which so far holds the top spot in the Atlantic Coast Conference.