Not exact matches
Another
win for Las Vegas is its double - digit
percentage growth in
home values year - over-year.
The Reds are set to travel to Manchester City today, and Arsenal fans should be hoping of a
home win, but there may be a
percentage of supporters who have not yet given up on finishing higher than fourth.
For example,
home teams down 9
won 14.0 % of games but when they were down 10, that
percentage increased to 22.1 %.
The chart below compares the
home and road
winning percentages of NFL teams in the»90s (excluding Carolina and Jacksonville); the difference between the two figures is the statistical advantage that each club gains at
home — or loses on the road.
Other possible variables that could impact
wins / losses could be: a) back to back games, several games in row (e.g. 4 games in 7 days), or just the opposite (days of rest), b) Forward injuries, games where Hanzal played, or Roussel played, or Dickinson, etc. c) Goalie save
percentage, good game or bad game by the goalie, d)
Home games v Away games, e) Other d - men injuries, f) Team confidence — break the season into quarters as the team dynamics fluctuate.
When filtering the data down to strictly
home teams receiving less than 20 % of spread bets, I was wondering what the
winning percentage was for
home dogs getting 7 or more points that are receiving less than 20 % of spread bets?
New England is royalty at
home, with a 112 - 21 record overall in Gillette Stadium before kickoff (an.842
winning percentage).
Our research revealed a 52.3 %
winning percentage for all 10 + point
home dogs, and that
percentage escalated as we...
That is, if you «Bet Against the Public» and select only Visiting (or Away) teams (Table 2), your
winning percentage would be higher than when both Visitors and
Home teams are selected (Table 1, above).
By combining these biases (
home underdog and «betting against the public»), you can increase your
winning percentage and «return on investment.»
Combining the Bias for
Home teams during the Playoffs with Betting Against the Public, we find that betting on
Home Teams with less than about 40 % of the Public on the
Home Team — has resulted in a
winning percentage in excess 60 % over the past three playoff seasons.
The
home underdogs finished 8 -3-1 against the spread (ATS), for a
winning percentage of 72.7 %.
Was the 58 %
winning percentage limited to
home /
home back - to - backs or any back - to - back where where the team playing the second of the two games is at
home and receiving 65 % of the public money?
That 57.1 %
winning percentage also improves slightly if you focus solely on
home dogs.
It was also interesting to note that although their
winning percentage was much higher at
home (59.7 %) than on the road (50.2 %), the ROI is nearly identical (4.3 % vs. 4.1 % respectively).
By omitting
home teams, there isn't much of a drop - off in units
won at each betting
percentage level, but we once again decrease the number of wagers needed to achieve those results, improving our ROI even further.
Although that
winning percentage isn't high enough to overcome that standard -110 juice charged by sportsbooks, it shows that
home - court advantage is clearly overvalued.
Our research revealed a 52.3 %
winning percentage for all 10 + point
home dogs, and that
percentage escalated as we filtered the games with lower and lower public betting
percentages.
More specifically, we found that in games where the «opening line» was -3.1 to -8.1 (small
home favorites), «betting against the Public» resulted in a 56 %
winning percentage and +50 units over the past two seasons.
Betting on
Home Dogs Against the Public (at the 30 % level) resulted in just a 42 %
winning percentage at various point spreads in 2008.
The
Home Dog produced favorable results: more than a 57 %
winning percentage.
Since 2008, we've seen the same correlation as ATS
win percentage increased with the amount of points a
home underdog receives.
Home teams are 22 - 8 -LRB-.733) so far in the postseason, a substantial increase from the.540
winning percentage during the regular season.
Since the Wild Card era began in 1995,
home teams in the postseason have a.547
winning percentage.
When they're an underdog of at least 8 - points, that record improves to 141 - 131 (51.8 %) and when they're a
home underdog of at least 8 - points that
winning percentage skyrockets to 69.4 %.
For example, if a
Home team has less than 20 % of the public betting on them (Visitor has more than 80 % of the public), this scenario resulted in a 54.2 %
winning percentage.
While the Hammers celebrated being at
home, Burnley celebrated their second
home win of the season but were short of bodies at the party with 3,684 seats unfilled in their 22,500 capacity stadium — by far the lowest capacity
percentage of Premier League clubs this round.
Home favorites in the MLB playoffs have the worst
winning percentage of the major sports leagues in the postseason.
Those six
wins in sixteen
home games (37.5 %
win percentage), is United's worst
home win rate in a campaign since 1973/74 (33.3 %).
-- Martinez's
win percentage at Everton is now 29 % (the same as he had at Wigan)-- It's been 9 months (to the day) since we had consecutive league
wins — We are currently 4 league points better off after 23 games than when we finished 17th under Moyes — Three
home wins all season in the league — Six
wins all season out of 23 games — 10 defeats at Goodison since the start of last season — The worst defence in the league in terms of goals conceded
Robert regarding your view that labour cold
win with 35 %, yes, but we
won in 1974 ′ with 37 % and I believe Callaghan actually got a few more votes in 79 ′ than 74 although the
percentage was the me, the point was that the 74 manifesto was so far from what the public felt, that the following election lots of liberals or stay at
home voters came out and the Tories would get 13 + million for the next f our.
This was a slightly larger
percentage than Clinton - who also calls New York
home -
won in the Democratic primary, where she earned 58 percent of the vote while facing just one opponent (there were four Republicans on the ballot: Trump, Kasich, Ted Cruz and Ben Carson, who had dropped out before the vote).
The
winning percentage is heavily in favor of the
home team in most sports.