I am still weighing alternative descriptions for this Climate - extreme valuations, unfavorable trend uniformity and
hostile yield trends.
In the stock market, we have extreme overvaluation, unfavorable trend uniformity,
hostile yield trends, unusually extreme bullishness (a contrary indicator), and a negative reversal in breadth momentum off of an overbought peak.
Rather, a Crash Warning means that current market conditions (extreme valuations, poor trend uniformity,
hostile yield trends) match only about 4 % of history, yet every crash of note has emerged from this one set of conditions.
The Market Climate remains on a Crash Warning, characterized by extremely unfavorable valuations, unfavorable trend uniformity, and
hostile yield trends, particularly long - term bond yields and various measures of risk premiums.
The Market Climate remains characterized by extreme valuations, unfavorable trend uniformity, and
hostile yield trends.
Long - term interest rates jumped again on Thursday, which contributed to the «
hostile yield trends» that help to define a Crash Warning.
In all, we continue to have an extremely overvalued market with poor trend uniformity and
hostile yield trends.
Not exact matches
Long - term bond
yields continue to extend their
hostile upward
trend, while other market internals continue to diverge as well.
Weak internals in an overvalued market signal trouble, particularly when
yield trends are
hostile.
Third,
yield trends have moved back to a
hostile, rising condition.
The climate is particularly bad when
yield trends are
hostile.
With
trend uniformity negative and
yield trends still
hostile, the current Market Climate holds us to a very defensive position.