This report marks the fifth consecutive year of positive annual
household debt growth.»
Not exact matches
Debt levels for the average Canadian
household are moving down (perhaps we've been taking those warnings from the Bank of Canada to heart), and as a result there's been «modest»
growth in consumer spending, said Ferley.
The IIF said Argentina, Nigeria, Turkey and China recorded the largest buildup in
debt ratios over the year, the latter fueled by ongoing
growth in indebtedness of
households and the nation's finance sector.
«While China's total
debt growth slowed notably in 2017 with a drop in the non-financial corporate
debt - to - GDP ratio largely offset by rising
household and financial sector
debt,» the group said.
Their newest paper uses historical data from multiple countries to show that an increase in the ratio of
household debt to gross domestic product over a three - to - four - year period predicts a decline in economic
growth.
According to a report released Thursday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a substantial increase in
household debt in 2016 was led largely by
growth in student
debt and auto
debt.
That's a drag on
growth, but a welcome one if it means
households have begun doing something about record levels of
debt.
Softer
growth and low inflation resulting from a surging loonie help
households control
debt.
«I will continue to act to ensure that
household debt levels are sustainable, that lenders are acting prudently, and that increases in interest rates or a housing market downturn don't put at risk the economic
growth we are working so hard to accelerate,» Morneau said.
If we came to learn that excessive
household debt posed a bigger threat to economic
growth than does a certain level of government
debt, then policy makers would want to take that into account when setting interest rates.
Subjects touched upon by Poloz during his speech and the ensuing round of questions also included fostering ties with the emerging economies of India, China, and Brazil, and the
growth in
household debt among Canadians.
Of course, rock - bottom rates and a strong Canadian dollar, he added, are the opposite of what the Canadian economy needs right now in order to kick its current addiction to
household debt and condos and switch to a more sustainable
growth model fuelled by exports and business investment.
The International Monetary Fund is the latest voice to suggest high
household debt will act as a drag on economic
growth in the years ahead.
NerdWallet's 2017
household debt study shows that several major spending categories have outpaced income
growth over the past decade; many Americans are putting medical expenses on credit cards; and the average indebted
household is paying hundreds of dollars in credit card interest each year.
So, in summary these are some of the themes we might expect to see in the next chapter — the impact of technology and the
growth of Asia; the normalisation of monetary conditions; the effects of higher levels of
household debt; and the capability of our workforce and businesses to be flexible, innovative and adaptable.
The
growth in
household debt has been outpacing the very low
growth in
household incomes for a few years now.
Although we knew that lowering the policy rate could worsen vulnerabilities related to
household debt, we also knew that it would counter the risk that
growth would crater and lessen the probability that the oil price shock would trigger financial stability risks.
I think that it will be hard to escape the conclusion that
household debt grew at an unsustainable pace in the decade before the great financial crisis and that this was an important spur to
growth.
Indeed, the strong
growth of investor housing loans has driven the
growth in
household debt (as a share of disposable incomes) over recent years and contributed to a rise in both housing prices and dwelling construction.
It notes the need for fiscal consolidation but also the limitations faced by monetary policy in generating
growth in demand when
households already carry considerable
debt.
In recent years we have given a lot of attention to the
growth of
household debt and its possible effects on the macro economy.
A long period of lacklustre wage
growth suggests the only way
households can satisfy their spending habits is to keep adding to Canada's record pile of private
debt.
Posted by Nick Falvo under Bank of Canada, budgets, China, Conservative government, deficits, economic crisis, economic
growth, employment, exchange rates, federal budget, fiscal policy, global crisis,
household debt, IMF, interest rates, labour market, macroeconomics, manufacturing, monetary policy, recession, stimulus, unemployment.
I would like to say a little more about it today and will divide the subject into two aspects: the shorter - term cyclical fluctuations in
household credit
growth, and the fact that various
debt ratios have trended upwards over time.
Growth in household credit has remained relatively stable at around 5.5 per cent since the beginning of the year, a pace below the historical average (Chart 22), following an extended period of rapid growth that led to a substantial buildup in household
Growth in
household credit has remained relatively stable at around 5.5 per cent since the beginning of the year, a pace below the historical average (Chart 22), following an extended period of rapid
growth that led to a substantial buildup in household
growth that led to a substantial buildup in
household debt.
The real issue that was not addressed in the budget is the absence of any economic engine to spur a recovery in
growth in 2014 and beyond, The
household sector is deep in
debt; housing construction has stalled; companies lack confidence and are not investing; the federal and provincial governments are in serious restraint mode; and the export sector is weak and deteriorating.
Without a massive transfer of wealth from the state sector to the
household sector it will be impossible, I would argue, for GDP
growth rates of anything above 3 - 4 % — and perhaps even less — to occur without a further unsustainable increase in
debt, whether that increase occurs inside or outside the formal banking system and whether or not discipline has been imposed on borrowers.
«However, historically high levels of
household debt and low wage
growth will offset some of the positive impact of recent strong employment data, so consumers are likely to remain cautious.»
«The bank expects trend
growth in
household credit to moderate further, with the
debt - to - income ratio stabilizing near current levels.»
The PBO identified four key downside risks to the private sector forecast: global
growth, especially in the U.S. could be slower than anticipated; the appreciation of the Canadian dollar could adversely affect exports; sovereign
debt issues in Europe could restrain recovery there and put upward pressure on global interest rates; and the high level of
household debt in Canada could restrain domestic demand.
Posted by Nick Falvo under Bank of Canada, banks, budgets, Conservative government, consumers, deficits, economic
growth, economic models, economic thought, employment, Europe, exchange rates, federal budget, fiscal policy,
household debt, housing, inflation, interest rates, monetary policy, oil and gas, prices, Role of government, social indicators, tar sands, US.
The speed with which China's GDP
growth slows in 2013 will tell us a lot about how determined Beijing is to rebalance the economy in such a way that
growth is driven more by higher
household income and consumption and less by investment funded by rising government and government - related
debt.
And by that we mean bring an end to double - digit price gains, bring about a steep correction in house prices to levels the city's lowly middle - class incomes can afford, bring about an end to staggering
household debt levels and ultimately, bring about the end of housing as the economy's engine of
growth?
Report to CMHC warns steady climb of
household debt - to - GDP level puts Canada's economic
growth prospects at risk
But oil's wild ride has exposed fissures that have been deepening for years, such as Canada's overreliance on
household debt and real estate for
growth, as well as imbalances in trade and the labour market.
Although it is less than 2 per cent of total
household debt,
growth in margin lending has accounted for over a fifth of the rise in banks» personal lending (excluding credit cards) since 1996.
The
debt - servicing ratio on
household borrowing has now surpassed its late 1980s peak, and is set to rise further over the first half of 2004, given current rates of
household credit
growth.
Growth has not only been funded through
debt, but by U.S.
household savings.
Through higher savings, U.S.
households have materially paid down
debt relative to their disposable incomes over the past decade, and this creates further opportunity for
growth in consumer spending.
Over the past year, the strong pace of
debt accumulation has outstripped the
growth in the
household sector's assets, despite further significant gains in housing wealth (Table 9).
These changes have resulted in a significant upward shift in the ratio of
household debt to GDP, and thus a period of above - average credit
growth.
The
growth of household debt Number of mortgages delinquent 60 or 90 days Number of car loans that are delinquent Growth of student loans Delinquent student
growth of
household debt Number of mortgages delinquent 60 or 90 days Number of car loans that are delinquent
Growth of student loans Delinquent student
Growth of student loans Delinquent student loans
The
growth of gross
household debt has seen the
household sector's
debt to income ratio on a gradually rising trend for much of the past decade.
Over the year to February, credit to the
household sector grew by 11 per cent, compared with
growth in
households» nominal income which has been running at around 5 per cent; much of the
growth in
debt has occurred in home mortgages.
Philippine
households have among the lowest
debt in Asia, solidifying a «long runway» for continued economic
growth in the outperforming ASEAN nation, a...
Growth has been fueled by the growth of household and foreign debt rather than by business investment, and we have become dangerously reliant on the resource s
Growth has been fueled by the
growth of household and foreign debt rather than by business investment, and we have become dangerously reliant on the resource s
growth of
household and foreign
debt rather than by business investment, and we have become dangerously reliant on the resource sector.
Despite the rhetoric of both the Democratic and Republican parties heralding the U.S. as a republic of stockholders, Phillips observes that «middle - class families held (just) 2.8 percent of the total
growth in stock market holdings between 1989 and 1998, but accounted for 38.7 percent of the rise in
household debt.»
In particular, a massive overhang of
debt from a decade - long boom when economic
growth was based on unsustainable
household borrowing, unrealistic house prices, dangerously high banking leverage, and a failure of governments to put their public finances in order.
The housing market has been a major driver of economic
growth across the country in the last decade and this nurtured consumer confidence in taking on
household debt.
•
Growth in
household debt slowed to 0.9 % in the first quarter, driven by a slower rate of borrowing in consumer credit and mortgage loans, Statistics Canada said Friday.