«Banks hope to lend early to get early returns... private investment and manufacturing investment are picking up due to firmer global
demand (and)
household loans could be boosted by property
demand,» said Nie Wen, an economist at Hwabao Trust in Shanghai.
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The government subsidy helps the mortgage industry sell larger
loans but with such an incredibly inelastic supply in housing, the subsidy mainly leads to higher
demand, higher home prices, more
household debt and less
household spending on stuff that creates jobs for other people.