Actually, high housing prices don't help the economy.
«Shiller essentially said housing prices don't always go up like [they did during the bubble], so he was taking a contrasting approach,» Dunham says.
However, the weakness in housing market activity and the slower appreciation of
house prices do not seem to have spilled over to any significant extent to other sectors of the economy.»
Most house prices don't appreciate as quickly as they do in hot markets like Vancouver and Toronto.
They are saying that they see no systemic risk from the problem, which may be correct, so long as the aggregate reduction in
housing prices does not cause a cascade of failure in the mortgage market, which I view as unlikely.
But house prices don't mean much in isolation.
If
house prices do start to fall, it may be years before they rebound.
In theory, overpaid mortgage equity is money that could still be accessed (provided house prices don't decline and remortgaging is a possibility).
If in five years — disregarding higher interest rates that may take effect along the way and assuming
house prices do not change — the mortgage debt will be down to perhaps $ 150,000, they would have equity of $ 200,000.
29 June 2016: Although the full impact of Brexit on the housing market is yet to be felt, says This is Money, theNationwide Building Society has reported that
house prices did continue to rise in June — by 0.2 %.
Not exact matches
But the measure
did not include
house prices.
«Given that the decline in home
prices had so much to
do with the de-leveraging that was taking place on the consumer side,» a recent 10 % rise in the
housing market «is a key reason for optimism about growth improving,» Marple said.
The federal government's
housing strategy will help some people, but it will
do nothing to alter
price dynamics, especially as the money will be spent over a decade.
For example, downsizing in square footage doesn't always mean downsizing in
price — a downtown condo can cost as much as a
house in the suburbs.
On the other hand, critics have blamed the Aussie rules for contributing to a boom in unsightly condo towers aimed at foreign investors while
doing little to bring sky - high
house prices in cities like Sydney and Melbourne back down to Earth.
GDP growth is slowing, oil
prices haven't recovered, and the
housing market is no longer providing the lift it once
did.
While Pinsonneault and his colleagues
do believe
house prices will decline in 2015 and 2016, they're convinced it will be s slow cooling, not a crash.
Don't wait for
house prices to fall.
Another problem with claiming the CMHC's $ 600 - billion cap sounds the death knell is that no political party in Canada wants to see
house prices plummet like they
did in the U.S.. By reigning in the CMHC, the Conservatives are attempting to moderate the boom, not tip into it into a meltdown.
But to say
house prices are going to crash like they
did in the U.S. is a stretch.
In fact, the comments section of the above mentioned article has many stories of people who
did sell in past years because they thought
house prices were too high, only to subsequently watch from the sidelines as
prices continued to march upward.
The debate over what to
do about
housing prices is hobbled by a lack of reliable data.
Third - party contracting firm benefits aren't only less generous, but the exorbitant Silicon Valley
housing prices and rents make life as a contractor so difficult workers from contract companies often can't afford to elect a benefits package, because
doing so will take too much out of their paycheck.
In April, the Canada Mortgage and
Housing Corp. said
prices in several cities didn't match with their economic fundamentals.
He continues, «The taste is: «I want it now, and I don't want it huge,» and those substantial
houses haven't come down in
price enough to either knock them down or renovate them to a certain standard.»
But where
housing is easy to build, it has little effect on
prices, and doesn't have a significant influence on the rate of homeownership, he said.
In tandem, if wages
do not rise at the rate of
house -
price growth, then buying a property becomes more and more unaffordable.
The reality, though, is that
house -
price corrections don't take place in isolation — and there are far - reaching consequences.
For March 2014, the national
house price index was flat — which doesn't sound particularly alarming, until the authors point out that this is the first time in 15 years that
house prices haven't increased in March, typically the kickoff of the important spring buying season.
And by robust, Zuckerberg doesn't mean the entire world will be streaming
House of Cards on Netflix, but people in developing countries may be willing to pay for add - on services like weather and food
pricing data.
It no doubt has much to
do with Vancouver detached -
house prices surging by 37 % in the year to this May, and Toronto's soaring by a still ear - popping 15 per cent.
Still, as important as affordability is, cheap
house prices alone don't make for a healthy
housing market.
Over the last 20 years, in spite of the
housing crash, you would have
done better with real estate if you bought in one of the 20 U.S. cities where
prices have risen the most.
Some bad economic news this morning: New home sales rose slightly in April, but median
housing prices fell sharply, as
did the number of new unemployment claims, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Recent studies on inclusionary zoning found that these policies
do help prevent
housing prices from surging in gentrifying neighborhoods.
For example, John Hall, CEO of Influence & Co., asks his team this question: Is our service competitively
priced, and are we so good at what we
do that it's a no - brainer for companies to hire us instead of taking it in -
house?
Bell points out reducing insurance rates won't overheat the
housing market since it doesn't change any of the other eligibility criteria; it would simply lower the
price.
Soper doesn't go that far, but
does say, «we are past the period of peak
house price appreciation.»
«Although earning slightly more than their parents
did in the 1980s, millennials need to pay more to get their foot in the
housing door,» he said, adding that the average
house price in 2011 was ten times the median salary of a young family.
This is familiar ground for the SocGen strategist, who argued back in April that the British government could «concrete over the entire length and breadth of the UK and
house prices would still rise» arguing that Britain doesn't actually have a shortage of
housing, just a big imbalance in supply and demand.
Even in a flat
housing market, consumer spending could weaken since homeowners will not feel as rich as they
do when
prices rise.
Yet, homeowners still
did very well —
house prices registered double - digit gains in most years.
Price's repayment of $ 51,887.31 for his own travel costs and his public expression of regrets
did not placate the White
House.
New
housing development — including affordable
housing — will be critical to ensure that Amazon's arrival
does not
price out lower - and working - class families.
Minutes after Clinton released her statement, White
House press secretary Josh Earnest said that «greedy» pharmaceutical companies which jack up costs «often
do real damage to their reputation» during a media briefing (while declining to «second guess» Mylan's specific
pricing strategies).
Poloz's approach to now had been a series of gentle nudges; raising
housing prices and record household debt as concerns, but at the same time accepting that buyers and their lenders likely knew what they were
doing.
But the real story has little to
do with declines in
housing prices or consumer debt loads.
«A stress test that claims that if the Dow falls by 60 %, the unemployment rate rises to 12 %,
housing prices decline substantially more than they
did during the 2008 recession, GDP declines by 6 - 7 % — and that all of that can happen and no bank will be in serious financial trouble or have any problem of being undercapitalized or illiquid — I kind of think says more about itself than it says about the health of the banking system.»
We can debate the merits of this study (
done by a real estate association of course) all day long (demographic sampling,
housing price changes, etc), but the point is, «above average» people generally all own homes and are wealthier, be it 2X wealthier or 40X wealthier than the average renter.
Its Cost of Living Index measures
prices in 269 urban areas for
housing, groceries, utilities, transportation, health care, and miscellaneous goods and services such as getting your hair
done or going to a movie.