Here we look back at the NFL season and track
how the betting lines moved for the teams who ultimately made the postseason.
A good starting place before wagering is to understand and familiarise with
how betting lines work so then you can compare the vast range of games listed online and get an idea of the odds.
Not exact matches
For two reasons: (a) to avoid conflicts and different agendas or inconsistent views on
how to move the business forward down the
line, and (b) because, if you're all - in, the upside (if indeed there is any) is much greater than if you hedge your
bets.
poor this rich that church here politics there why argue about church an politics its the same funny
how people loose there jobs but churches an politicians pockets keep getting bigger but nobodys crying about
bet that new guchi shirt impressed the preachers wife you wore on sunday but you argue for the poor, ol lutz says 25 k die a day well then why worry about charitys they collect 10,25 % just like churches an
line thier pockets, so why argeu you stoopid sheep
Our members can analyze
how the
line has moved, who the
betting public likes,
how much interest there is on a certain game (number of
bets), and the different
lines at various sportsbooks.
By contrasting the opening and current
lines with the public
betting trends from our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks, we are able to determine
how public
betting has affected the
line.
As a result, we are keeping a close eye on tonight's game and could include Arizona State as a Best
Bet or Square Play, depending on
how our College Football
Betting System Picks react to
line movement and changes in the Public
Betting Trends throughout the day.
As a result, we are keeping a close eye on tonight's game and could include Louisiana Tech as a Best
Bet or Square Play, depending on
how our College Football
Betting System Picks react to
line movement and changes in the Public
Betting Trends throughout the day.
Let's examine the opening
lines to find out
how public
betting is affecting the
lines.
12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late Season Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl Season 70/30
Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again: Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False
Line Moves 11/16/11 —
How to Win with Steam Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels for
Betting Against the Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 — Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills
Oh well, anyway, I learned SO much from you back then about Reverse
Line Mvmt,
how sharps
bet, etc..
We'll show
how analyzing
betting trends data and
line movement can help you identify which games the sharp money (wagers placed by sharps, wiseguys or
betting syndicates) is taking.
Using
Bet Labs, we examined
how NFL
lines move throughout the week to show
how one - sided public
betting affects
line movement.
The screenshot below displays
how the
line and public
betting trends have moved since opening on Sunday morning.
The
line graph above, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, shows
how public
betting has affected the total at Bookmaker.
To see
how the
line moves for their week one game, follow our free odds page to get full
line histories, public
betting percentages, and more.
We'll look at
how sportsbooks make
lines for games, study
how they might shade
lines to increase profit margins, and see
how public «
betting percentages» can help identify value.
The
line history graph below, which is available to all Live Odds and All - Pro Combo members, shows
how the moneyline
betting percentages and MLB Betting Systems have affected line movement for this game at Pi
betting percentages and MLB
Betting Systems have affected line movement for this game at Pi
Betting Systems have affected
line movement for this game at Pinnacle.
The
line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All - Pro Combo members, shows
how the College Basketball
Betting Trends and
line have moved for this game at Pinnacle.
The
line chart below, included in our Sportsbook Insider Pro
bet activity dashboard, summarizes
how this
line has moved since opening at Pinnacle, including when Golden State steam hit the market.
The
line history graph below, which is available to all Live Odds and All - Pro Combo members, shows
how the public
Betting Percentages have affected
line movement for this game at Pinnacle.
This doesn't necessarily mean to
bet on every team whose odds from FiveThirtyEight are higher than the implied odds, but it's a great reference point to use and shows
how important it is to shop for the best
line.
They discuss the most profitable March Madness
betting strategies, important criteria when handicapping college basketball games,
how to exploit
lines in smaller tournaments, the best time to place your wagers, and why bettors need to have realistic expectations when buying picks.
The
line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All - Pro Combo members, shows
how the Spread
Betting Trends and betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pi
Betting Trends and
betting system plays have affected line movement for this game at Pi
betting system plays have affected
line movement for this game at Pinnacle.
The
Betting Activity dashboard breaks down ticket and money percentages and
how they've affected
line movement for each game.
The screenshot below, taken from our Sportsbook Insider
bet activity dashboard, breaks down
how money and tickets have influenced
line movement so far in this game.
Discover
how sharp bettors can take advantage of contrarian
betting and reverse
line movement in College Football: http://t.co/5NDZfEsHfV — SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) August 8, 2014
We wanted to know whether the oddsmakers were seeing similar trends and
how public
betting was affecting the opening
lines, so we reached out to Scott Cooley, an Odds Consultant for Bookmaker.eu.
Here's a look at
how the
line and
betting percentages have changed since opening:
Interesting in tracking
how weather and
betting percentages affect
line movement in real - time for all games?
The
line graph below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, examines
how public
betting has affected the spread at Pinnacle.
The
line graph below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, examines
how public
betting has affected the spread at CRIS.
Our earlier research had found that the number of
bets on the full game
line increased considerably between the regular season and playoffs, but we weren't certain about
how second half
betting was impacted.
Here, our members can change what type of
lines (spread, moneyline, etc.) they want displayed, what
lines they want (1st half, 2nd half, or full game), and
how they want their
lines sorted (by game number, game time, number of
bets, etc.).
The
line graph below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider customers, displays
how public
betting has impacted the spread at CRIS.
With three other games on tap this weekend, we analyze
how the
lines and
betting trends have changed since opening last week.
This level of public
betting and
line movement indicates that the Bengals are offering contrarian value, but we wanted to analyze
how these offshore trends compared to Las Vegas trends.
Knowing that we would be unable to use our public
betting trends to create a profitable
betting system, we instead chose to examine
how line movement impacted our system's record.
Discover
how sharp bettors can take advantage of contrarian
betting and reverse
line movement in College Football: http://t.co/OZ91Nw2MGq
It may seem like public money is responsible for moving the
line, but it's almost unheard of for public money to cause a five - point
line movement — especially considering
how few
bets we have tracked on this game.
Want to know
how the
line has moved, and who the sharps are
betting?
The screenshot below, taken from our Sportsbook Insider
bet activity dashboard, summarizes
how this
line has moved since opening, including
how sharp action at +1 has helped move the
line to the current number.
In the article «Walking The
Line», ESPN cites Sports Insights as the source for research on «
bets per game» or how many bets each major American sport receives, as well as «Bets Per Month», which details the seasonality of sports bett
bets per game» or
how many
bets each major American sport receives, as well as «Bets Per Month», which details the seasonality of sports bett
bets each major American sport receives, as well as «
Bets Per Month», which details the seasonality of sports bett
Bets Per Month», which details the seasonality of sports
betting.
From 1992 - 2015, Nevada sportsbooks averaged a whopping 29.91 % hold on parlays compared to a 4.72 % hold on football
bets, revealing just
how important parlays are to sportsbooks» bottom
line.
The
line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and Premium Pro members, shows
how the NFL
Betting Trends, NFL
Betting System plays and weather alerts have affected
line movement for this game at Pinnacle.
We do this by analyzing our
betting trends data and
how the
line has moved throughout the day or week.
The table below, which uses
line data from Pinnacle, shows
how betting against the public has fared during the NHL playoffs.
By contrasting the opening and current
lines with the public
betting trends from our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks, we're able to determine
how public
betting has affected the
line.
I'm still struggling a bit to understand though... I asked
how do you know where the public and squares are
betting, and you replied that you combine the public
betting percentages with
line movement...
It's not entirely shocking to see this type of
line movement in games with extreme levels of one - sided public
betting, but bettors may be surprised to know just
how much the
line is moving.