Sentences with phrase «how event attribution»
Watch Fredi Otto discuss some of the major challenges in defining Loss and Damage and Dann Mitchell giving an example of how event attribution can be done for variables beyond meteorology in the AGU on demand session.
https://www.climateprediction.net/ Not exact matches
Attribution research is relatively new, and scientists are still learning how to untangle the contribution of long - term global warming in a given weather event.
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).
The new research differs from other so - called extreme event attribution studies, not just in its broad - brush approach, but also in how the term «extreme» is defined.
«The methodological frameworks were very much in their infancy at the time of Katrina in 2005,» said Noah Diffenbaugh, a Stanford climate researcher who performs climate change «attribution» studies, seeking to determine how the probability of various weather events has changed as a result of the warming of the climate.
The study is the first to take so - called event attribution a step further to investigate how warming has increased the risks of flooding impacts, finding that it has likely put more properties at risk and raised the costs of such an event.
Normally, with a single event there isn't enough information to do any attribution, but Pall et al set up a very large ensemble of runs starting from roughly the same initial conditions to see how often the flooding event occurred.
For example, after an extreme weather event, scientists often carry out single attribution studies to determine how the likelihood of such an event could have been influenced by climate change and short - term climate variability.
Project 5: 5a) Event attribution with CMIP5 data 5b) How does climate change alter the distribution of weather?
In the particular context of event attribution, we address the question of how to compare records between the so - called world as «it might have been been without anthropogenic forcings» and the «world that is».
The Met Office carries out attribution studies to assess how human influence has altered the chances of a particular event.
The latest in so - called attribution studies is to study each individual event by itself, looking for how climate change may have made it stronger or more likely.
Specifically, the science of attribution — looking at how much climate change increases the odds of any one particular event occurring — has advanced remarkably.
It's an * attribution * problem: the major effect is known, but it's unclear * why *, and specifically, whether or not a particular event happened to trigger the effect, and how.