So these two articles are suggesting that a grand solar minimum could have a net cooling effect in the ballpark of 1 to 6 °C, depending on
how human greenhouse gas emissions change over the next century.
Climate scientists can not predict
how human greenhouse gas emissions will change in the future, which is a question for the public and policymakers.
It looked at
how human greenhouse gas emissions had affected the probability of a devastating heat wave in Europe in the summer of 2003 (estimated to have killed at least 35,000 people.)
Not exact matches
Exxon has argued against all the other shareholder proposals as well, including a «policy to explicitly prohibit discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity»; a policy articulating Exxon's «respect for and commitment to the
human right to water»; «a report discussing possible long term risks to the company's finances and operations posed by the environmental, social and economic challenges associated with the oil sands»; a report of «known and potential environmental impacts» and «policy options» to address the impacts of the company's «fracturing operations»; a report of recommendations on
how Exxon can become an «environmentally sustainable energy company»; and adoption of «quantitative goals... for reducing total
greenhouse gas emissions.»
... modalities, rules and guidelines as to
how, and which, additional
human - induced activities related to changes in
greenhouse gas emissions by sources and removals by sinks in the agricultural soils and the land - use change and forestry... shall be added or subtracted.
Scientists can measure
how much energy
greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is
how much other factors — the response of clouds to warming, the cooling role of aerosols, the heat and
gas absorbed by oceans,
human transformation of the landscape, even the natural variability of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that effect.
Natural and
human - produced
greenhouse gases change the climate, thereby altering
how allergy - inducing plants, insects and molds spread.
Although the earth has experienced exceptional warming over the past century, to estimate
how much more will occur we need to know
how temperature will respond to the ongoing
human - caused rise in atmospheric
greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide.
The computer model determines
how the average surface temperature responds to changing natural factors, such as volcanoes and the sun, and
human factors —
greenhouse gases, aerosol pollutants, and so on.
Extreme weather events like Harvey are expected to become more likely as Earth's climate changes due to
greenhouse gas emissions, and scientists don't understand
how extreme weather will impact invasive pests, pollinators and other species that affect
human well - being.
«Our study is about
how a whole forest ecosystem consumes and produces carbon dioxide, or CO2, the main
greenhouse gas linked to
human - induced climate change,» says Wehr, a research associate in Saleska's lab in the UA's Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology.
The year's incredible heat serves as a stark reminder of
how much the Earth's temperature has risen due to the steady buildup of heat - trapping
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from
human activities like power generation, transportation and forest clearing.
The outcome depends on
how much more carbon dioxide, a main
greenhouse gas,
human activities (such as burning coal and oil) dump into the atmosphere.
The importance of heterogeneous
human climate forcings does not diminish the important of added
greenhouse gases, but does indicate that more attention needs to be given to these other
human climate forcings, including
how they can modify atmospheric and ocean circulation features.
How about: the heat resulting from all the
greenhouse gases humans have pumped into the atmosphere.
After each of its four reports so far — including the pivotal 2007 assessment that concluded with 90 percent confidence that
greenhouse gases from
humans were the main force behind recent warming --- the panel leadership has met to consider changing
how it works.
* The role of the US in global efforts to address pollutants that are broadly dispersed across national borders, such as
greenhouse gasses, persistent organic pollutants, ozone, etc...; *
How they view a president's ability to influence national science policy in a way that will persist beyond their term (s), as would be necessary for example to address global climate change or enhancement of science education nationwide; * Their perspective on the relative roles that scientific knowledge, ethics, economics, and faith should play in resolving debates over embryonic stem cell research, evolution education,
human population growth, etc... * What specific steps they would take to prevent the introduction of political or economic bias in the dissemination and use of scientific knowledge; * (and many more...)
There is a lively debate in climate science about
how best to compare the importance of these
greenhouse gases, and many climatologists deeply immersed in studying
human - driven global warming reject the method used by Howarth.
Much less challenging, and high profile, is the need, in a world heading toward nine billion people, to figure out
how to make everything that's been learned about drought, floods, and other climate - related risks useful to the majority of the
human population — people in Niger and Bangladesh who face such risks every day right now, with or without whatever climate destabilization is coming from the ongoing buildup of
greenhouse gases.
Planet Under Pressure, a four - day conference exploring
how science can identify and limit risks in the face of increasing
human impacts on the Earth, has ended * with a call for «urgent action» against the the unrelenting buildup of
greenhouse gases.
But a story I've just written describes
how scientists probing lakes, ice and old trees from Alaska to Siberia have found out just
how big a poke
humans appear to be giving that system through emissions of heat - trapping
greenhouse gases (and probably heat - trapping soot, too).
For those out there seeing any talk of a
human warming influence as a hoax, it's also useful to note that this intellectual tussle over climate sensitivity is over
how much
human - produced
greenhouse gases will warm the world, not if they can do so.
Global warming from the ongoing buildup of
human - generated
greenhouse gases is almost certainly contributing to the ice retreats, a host of Arctic experts now agree, although they hold a range of views on
how much of the recent big ice retreats is due to
human activities.
pg xiii This Policymakers Summary aims to bring out those elements of the main report which have the greatest relevance to policy formulation, in answering the following questions • What factors determine global climate 7 • What are the
greenhouse gases, and
how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 • How much do we expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
how and why are they increasing 9 • Which
gases are the most important 9 •
How much do we expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much do we expect the climate to change 9 •
How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have
human activities already begun to change global climate 9
How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and
how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymaker.
Paul Voosen, one of the most talented journalists probing
human - driven climate change and related energy issues, has written an award - worthy two - part report for Greenwire on one of the most enduring sources of uncertainty in climate science —
how the complicated response of clouds in a warming world limits understanding of
how hot it could get from a given rise in
greenhouse gas concentrations:
Rather, the IPCC has produced various «emissions scenarios» that represent estimates of
how greenhouse gas emissions might evolve if
humans follow various paths of economic development and population growth.
The lines of evidence and analysis supporting the mainstream position on climate change are diverse and robust — embracing a huge body of direct measurements by a variety of methods in a wealth of locations on the Earth's surface and from space, solid understanding of the basic physics governing
how energy flow in the atmosphere interacts with
greenhouse gases, insights derived from the reconstruction of causes and consequences of millions of years of natural climatic variations, and the results of computer models that are increasingly capable of reproducing the main features of Earth's climate with and without
human influences.
The team ran a suite of 400 computer simulations incorporating both what is known about
how the climate could react to a
greenhouse -
gas buildup and a wide range of variations in the global economy and other
human factors that might affect the outcome.
Overall, the panel's reports have never focused much on research examining
how humans respond (or fail to respond) to certain kinds of risk, particularly «super wicked» problems such global warming, which is imbued with persistent uncertainty on key points (the pace of sea - level rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of
greenhouse gases), dispersed and delayed risks, and a variegated menu of possible responses.
Through text, diagrams, interactive stations, and videos, the exhibition shows
how human activities are producing
greenhouse gasses and contributing to climate change.
If you accept that carbon dioxide is a
greenhouse gas and that
human fossil fuel use is now the dominant contributor to atmospheric CO2 changes, then knowing
how much global temperatures respond to increased
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is important for understanding the future climate.
Thus a grand solar minimum would have to cause about 1 °C cooling, plus it would have to offset the continued
human - caused global warming between 1 and 5 °C by 2100, depending on
how our
greenhouse gas emissions change over the next century.
A new grand solar minimum would not trigger another LIA; in fact, the maximum 0.3 °C cooling would barely make a dent in the
human - caused global warming over the next century, likely between 1 and 5 °C, depending on
how much we manage to reduce our fossil fuel consumption and
greenhouse gas emissions.
«So there's a lag between
how fast the earth's system can respond and the extremely rapid way
humans are increasing CO2,» Brigham - Grette said, warning that the Arctic could once again become ice - free if
greenhouse gases continue to be pumped into the atmosphere.
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely
how human influences (so including GHGs [
greenhouse gases] and aerosols, and land cover change) should be changing hurricanes in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB- influences is quite problematic — our climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.
A carbon budget is an attempt to give information about
how much
greenhouse gases human society can emit without exceeding some target temperature (e.g. 2 °C) to some accepted likelihood (e.g. 33 %).
In fact, there is no better way to obtain a good picture of
how human health and welfare may trend in the future under increases in
greenhouse gas emissions than to assess
how we have fared in the past during a period of increasing
greenhouse gas emissions and ambient levels.
And in fact when you look at the scientific literature, it's an interesting disconnect because the modelers who study emissions and
how to control those emissions are generally much more comfortable setting goals in terms of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gas concentrations because that comes more or less directly out of their models and is much more proximate or more closely connected to what
humans actually do to screw up the climate in the first place, which is emit these
greenhouse gases.
Over the last 50 years, climate scientists have built an increasingly clear picture of
how the
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that arise from
human economic activity are changing the Earth's climate.
There are simply too many unknowns involved in the future evolution of climate, such as
how much
humans will curb their future
greenhouse gas emissions.
The computer model determines
how the average surface temperature responds to changing natural factors, such as volcanoes and the sun, and
human factors —
greenhouse gases, aerosol pollutants, and so on.
The speaker, a relatively young climate scientist, presented a piece of research using numerical models to assess
how various
human influences (including but not limited to
greenhouse gases) affected a particular aspect of the 20th century climate record in the United States.
Although the earth has experienced exceptional warming over the past century, to estimate
how much more will occur we need to know
how temperature will respond to the ongoing
human - caused rise in atmospheric
greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide.
That's right, the latest climate science (some 10 studies published in just the past 3 years) indicates that the earth's climate sensitivity — that is,
how much the global average surface temperature will rise as a result of
greenhouse gases emitted from
human activities — is some 33 percent less than scientists thought at the time of the last IPCC Assessment, published in 2007.
So we have a situation in which the latest science on two key issues:
how much the earth will warm as a result of
human greenhouse gas emissions, and
how well climate models perform in projecting the warming, is largely not incorporated into the new IPCC report.
To better assess
how climate change caused by
human greenhouse gas emissions will likely impact wheat, maize and soybean, an international team of scientists now ran an unprecedentedly comprehensive set of computer simulations of US crop yields.
The basic physics and chemistry of
how carbon dioxide and other
human - produced
greenhouse gases trap heat in the lower atmosphere have been understood for nearly two centuries.
To gain a clearer understanding of
how the El Niño Southern Oscillation (as the overall climate pattern is called) affects the climate as a whole, Aharon wants to see
how the process worked in the time before
humans were adding carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases to the atmosphere and impacting the global climate.
On the vital question of
how to approach climate change, the most influential economist is William Nordhaus whose explicit position is that we should decide to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions only if cost - benefit analysis or an optimisation model concludes that the net benefits to
humans are positive, where the relevant effects are essentially impacts on economic output (Nordhaus and Yang, 1996).
By comparing values of these parameters from the mid-19 century to now, they can estimate
how much the earth warmed in association with
human greenhouse gas emissions.