I'm curious as to what questions were asked, and
how the pollsters defined «climate scientist».
Where does accountability (for hare - brained ideas about
how pollsters were «skewing» their polls to give Obama an advantage) fit into your taxonomy of ethics?
They'll talk about why the polls were wrong in New Hampshire and
how pollsters make conclusions about how voters plan to cast their ballots.
How pollsters deal with don't knows.
When you listen, you'll hear
how pollsters in the most recent presidential election didn't get it wrong.
It also matters
how a pollster phrases and orders questions, and whether it's a phone interview, in - person interview, or online survey.
Not exact matches
Then,
pollsters have to decide
how to analyze and weight the data, and those methodologies can vary.
Business Insider spoke with party officials and
pollsters in the most crucial counties within those states to see
how the improbable Trump victory took place.
«If this is true, it will be a real challenge for the polling industry to figure out
how do we account for what seems to be an anti-establishment segment of the population who won't talk to
pollsters,» he continued.
Wang said a number of steps must be taken to attempt correction of the miss, including reviewing if
pollsters adequately captured hard - to - poll demographics — such as blue - collar white voters — and as beginning to understand
how to capture the leanings of undecided voters.
He had told Business Insider in March that he'd «only been wrong like this twice in my life» when discussing
how Michigan
pollsters, including himself, missed Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont's shocking victory in the state's Democratic primary.
Pollsters said the results showed
how Trump was dragging down the Republican Party, but the president took none of the blame.
Somehow, I don't think Trump's
pollsters have any more knowledge on
how to do proper polling, so that eliminates incompetence on the news media part and only leaves intentional misleading or willful ignorance as the only other plausible explanations.
How has this primary session challenged and confirmed the expectations of
pollsters, political analysts, and the media?
Bettws may be too clunky a name to be adopted by
pollsters, but with the spectre of the next election looming, its message is clear: People are struggling to see
how the democratic framework works for them.
Pollsters are beginning their Westminster rehabilitation process, explaining what went wrong (and
how things can not happen again).
Due to changes in
how we use technology,
pollsters are less able to gather reliable data.
Most telephone
pollsters ask
how certain people would be likely to vote in a general election on a scale from one to 10, where one is certain not to vote and 10 is absolutely certain to vote.
[1]
Pollsters used to call people at home to ask them
how they'd vote.
It doesn't help that your state of mind will depend on which poll you are reading and your memories of the
pollsters» failure in 2015 so
how can you make sense of what is going on.
Pollster behind «1 in 5 Muslims have sympathy with ISIS» claim condemns
how the Sun presented survey 24 November 2015
In addition the BPC has called for greater transparency from
pollsters, including logging in advance when each conducts a survey, stating clearly
how the weighting has changed from poll to poll, releasing «micro data» for scrutiny and providing much more accurate gauges of the margin of error.
14.25 - So
how did the
pollsters get it so wrong?
Pollsters hear that voters prefer anyone but Brown, but
how would they react to the unpleasant sight of a party tearing itself to shreds after 12 years in power?
How did the
pollsters blunder so badly by predicting a photo - finish and hung parliament?
Adding to the inexorability is a factor
pollsters refer to as «salience,» a measure of
how much an issue means to you.
In the latest edition of the Ashcroft In America podcast I interview Joe Scarborough, host of MSNBC's Morning Joe;
pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson tells us what the numbers say about the election result; historian Jon Darman considers whether we could be in for a Hillary landslide; and Hispanic voters in Miami and military families in Tampa tell us
how they see the presidential and Senate races in the ultimate swing state.
But not everyone at the sumptuous soiree was so sure Hillary would get off: Bill Clinton's top
pollster and current Fox News contributor Doug Schoen deliberately steered clear of Abedin and Weiner, while former US Attorney General Michael Mukasey was overheard saying that given
how «obvious» Hillary's e-mail blunders were, he didn't see
how they could not charge her.
On the other hand, no voters perhaps don't like publicly saying
how they will vote — in keeping with when people didn't tell
pollsters they would vote for John Major in 1992.
Stan Greenberg, the man who served as the lead
pollster for Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign (and Al Gore's 2000 campaign) has written a long essay titled «
How She Lost» that slams Clinton (and her campaign) for a series of messaging, tactical and broader strategic errors.
Harvey is the first Liberal Democrat MP to openly admit Miliband is on course to win the election, but his thoughts match that of many
pollsters, who can not see
how the Tories can build on their weak position to increase their share of the vote.
And,
how do
pollsters get at the «grey area» of public opinion?
After the general election there were plenty of people saying
how they knew the Tories would win, their instincts told them they would,
how could those silly
pollsters not spot it?
The rise in the «other» support, the proximity of the local elections and the contrasting Liberal Democrat findings from different
pollsters make it difficult to draw any firm conclusions about
how party support is fluctating beyond noting that the last week has, unsurprisingly, seemed to give Labour's support a reasonable knock in the week leading up to the local elections.
Somewhere around a fifth of people normally tell
pollsters they don't know
how they would vote in an election tomorrow.
I'm not about to tell private - sector
pollsters how to run their shops, but election - eve polls that could swing elections might be reconsidered.
As Deborah Mattinson, his
pollster, details in her book, Talking to a Brick Wall, Brown marginalised her when she told him
how unpopular he was.)
I don't put much faith in opinion polls,
pollsters always claim to have solved past apparent flaws, but they haven't said exactly
how they now
how reluctant a particular parties supporters may be to support that party,
how exactly they quantify it, indeed a lot of the assumptions opinion polls make seem to be based on opinion themselves.
In a Daily Politics film, Ellie Price took to a slide to look at
how much weight should be given to the polls and
how robust are the techniques used by
pollsters.
The confusion reflects
how quickly the plan was rammed through the Legislature, said
pollster Mickey Carroll.
«Seven Eight out of eight
pollsters predict Tory majority Main
How do you solve a problem like the Liberal Democrats?»
«A new year and the same old, same old when it comes to
how voters feel about the Governor,» Siena
pollster Steven Greenberg said.
Despite
pollsters» failure to predict the UK's 2015 general election result, what you are told people think about Brexit will influence whether you vote — and
how
Santa Fe Institute Professor Mirta Galesic says
pollsters might also ask:
how do your friends plan to vote?
«People told us
how anxious, isolated and bored they felt when they are forced off line,» a
pollster told the news service.
Pollsters have made a science of
how to target representative subsets of a larger whole.
But frankly, I'm more concerned about the taxpayers» and the
pollsters» lack of interest in the unfairness of
how the nation's only universal service is funded.
But if the
pollster gets specific and asks just
how much those lucky few should cough up, a big majority choose rates lower than the current ones.
How do the
pollsters select and prepare their sample?
Speaking of situational logic, any time you're ready to explain
how your «logic» led you to conclude that the
pollsters where «skewing» their samples to rig their analysis to help Obama out by making it look like he was doing better than he was, please do feel free to do so.