You and I read many of the same case studies, so we both understand
how predictions of future technology are thoroughly unreliable.
Not exact matches
This somewhat optimistic
prediction of things to come may not seem helpful for the here and now, because we live in an era
of fear, anxiety, and worry, and our question and our text is
how can we adapt now and in the immediate
future to this rapid rate
of social change.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition
of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release
of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state
of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real
future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid
of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny
how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy
of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid
of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid
of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a
prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return
of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort
of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative
of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition
of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle
of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any
of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind
of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their
future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack
of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result
of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest
of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands
of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none
of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club
of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid
of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field
of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version
of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history
of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet
of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival
of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone
of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players
of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that
of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part
of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet
of those who were well aware all along
of the potential pitfalls
of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
The tone
of the coverage is signifcant, Radu said: «According to Agenda Setting Theory different coverage
of the same reality, in this case
of Brexit, can be seen as a
prediction on
how different governments will position themselves in the
future.»
And recently, the group has begun a clinical study to predict, after one treatment,
how an individual's cancer will progress, and use that
prediction to plan the
future course
of treatment.
«And hence it provides a baseline for
predictions on
how that part
of the climate system may behave in the
future.»
A step that could improve climate models A better understanding
of how the atmosphere and the oceans communicate and exchange things like CO2 can also help improve climate models and
predictions of the
future.
«If we can understand
how the landscape has changed over decades and what that does to water quality, human health, and ecosystem health, we can begin to make
predictions for the
future,» said senior author Kathleen Alexander, professor
of wildlife conservation in the College
of Natural Resources and Environment and a Fralin Life Science Institute affiliate.
Researchers at the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) and the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) have now revealed, on the basis
of historical data,
how plant diversity in the region
of Halle an der Saale has changed in over 300 years
of urbanization, and have also made
predictions about the
future.
The next step is to use estimates
of future sea ice loss to make
predictions of how further melting could influence summer rainfall in Europe in the years to come.
«Given the promise shown by the research and the ever increasing computing power, numerical
prediction of hailstorms and warnings issued based on the model forecasts, with a couple
of hours
of lead time, may indeed be realized operationally in a not - too - distant
future, and the forecasts will also be accompanied by information on
how certain the forecasts are.»
«The study provides more realistic modeling estimates
of how much vegetation change will occur over the 21st century and will allow better
predictions of future climate change,» she said.
A drop in CO2 due to the burial
of organic carbon in the Late Ordovician is the exact opposite
of what is happening now as massive amounts
of CO2 are being released; yet, understanding
how the historic events occurred can help with
future models and
predictions, Macleod said.
As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range
of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about
how much «committed warming» will occur in the
future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding
of these processes.
Understanding what happens in the vernal pools may improve
future predictions for the dynamics
of the watershed, and
how human activities will affect other freshwater communities worldwide.
According to an argument made by Jacob S Sherkow, published in The CRISPR Journal, he traces some
of the key developments in the CRISPR patent estate to the present day but is most interesting for its
predictions about
how the technology's IP landscape will change in the
future.
In this interview, Julie talks about personal branding as it relates to online dating, her
predictions for the
future of online dating,
how...
In this interview, Julie talks about personal branding as it relates to online dating, her
predictions for the
future of online dating,
how the internet has affected online dating, and more.
When the planning process does begin, students in the
future will not only be asked to outline the components
of a lesson, but will also be asked to outline their
prediction of how students will react and possible ways they will respond to those reactions.
To complement Joe Konrath's
prediction of the
future of eBook in 2014, the latest IDC research findings, according to Publishing Perspectives, signify a bright picture
how eBook sales gained a significant increase outside
of the US.
Being a current PhD student in Conflict Analysis and Resolution and a Finance MBA - grad, whose research interests are in financial and economic anthropology and the dynamics
of how people conflict and behave during a financial crisis, I boldly unravel my seven
predictions for the near
future for the «business»
of education and the student loan industry when the student loan bubble starts to slowly deflate, after July 2012:
They are strictly to give you an idea
of how the trends can play out in the
future, and you should do your own homework and research the credibility
of the «expert» before you make a decision based on one
prediction.
This is based on historical assumptions and is not intended to be a
prediction of how any asset class will perform in the
future.
2007 Appendix Appendix Radio Play, Performa 07, New York, US In the Stream
of Life, Betonsalon, Paris, FR For Sale, Cristina Guerra Contemporary Art, Lisbon, PT Wouldn't it be nice, Centre d'art contemporain, Geneva, CH Words fail me, MoCAD, Detroit, US Projecktion, Lentos Art Museum, Linz, AT
How soon is now, Luis Seoane Foundation, Coruna, ES Language
of Vision, mima Middlesborough Institute
of Modern Art, UK Without, Yvon Lambert, Paris, FR Zero, Zero, S, Lyon Biennale, Lyon, FR Plankjes, tak, Atelier als Spermedium, Artist Space for Contemporary Art, The Hague, NL Twice told tales, Galerie Michel Rein, Paris, FR You have not been honest, Museo D'Arte Donnaregina, Naples, IT Whenever It Starts It Is The Right Time, Frankfurter Kunstverein, Frankfurt am Main, DE Blackberrying, Christina Wilson Galerie, Copenhagen, DK Der Droste Effekt, Esther Schipper, Berlin, DE
Prediction — Exhibition Trouble, Paris, FR Un touchable, Patio Herrianom - Museo de Arte Contemporáneo, Valladolid, ES Some Time Waiting, Kadist Art Foundation, Paris, FR Kit Bashing, Western Bridge, Seattle, US On the
Future of Art School, STORE, London, UK
Personally I'm not sure
how useful any
future predictions of global climate based on the last IGP can be simply due to the unprecedented speed
of today's onset.
pg xiii This Policymakers Summary aims to bring out those elements
of the main report which have the greatest relevance to policy formulation, in answering the following questions • What factors determine global climate 7 • What are the greenhouse gases, and
how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 • How much do we expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 •
How much do we expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much do we expect the climate to change 9 •
How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much confidence do we have in our
predictions 9 • Will the climate
of the
future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9
How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and
how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymak
how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs
of the policymaker.
There are two messages in this example: (1) we aren't good at predicting the
future of complex systems and (2) we are good at over-reacting to
predictions that are made, while forgetting
how inaccurate they may prove to be.
However, scientists can neither precisely describe these motions, nor calculate
how they were different in the past, hindering scientific understanding
of the past and
prediction of Earth's
future surface environment.
There has been no shortage
of predictions for
how the
future will look as the climate changes.
Earlier you said «This site has tiny handful
of the
predictions made and
how they have failed» yet all the examples you have given appear to be about either projections
of global temperatures, which I am sure others will pick up on if you want to push the issue, or the timespan we have available to take action to avoid committing ourselves to
future consequences.
«Indeed, it is not science to make
predictions of how to change the
future by use
of selected scenarios when «no systematic analysis has published on the relationship between mitigation and baseline scenarios»: this is pseudo-science
of precisely the same type as astrology.»
Seriously, all the chapters in the 1955 text The Fabulous
Future: America in 1980 are well - worth reading... these works will substantially enhance anyone's appreciation
of how strikingly accurate the
predictions of scientists, engineers, statesmen, * and * sober - minded business folks can be!
The vulnerability map considers the relationship
of two factors:
how intact an ecosystem is, and
how stable it's going to be under
predictions of future climate change.
And the Challenger mission that started 140 years ago will continue to help Will as he now examines
how ocean warming affects
future predictions of surface climate change.
Studies
of this kind, which explore the ice sheet's past behavior, are critical to developing better
predictions of how it will evolve in the
future, Csatho says.
Scientists are interested in
how the shape
of this hidden terrain affects
how ice moves — a key factor in making
predictions about the
future of...
That's a wide range
of predictions, evidence
of how fuzzy the category is (everyone's counting slightly different things),
how fluid the market is, and
how much
future growth depends on unpredictable swings in policy, markets, and customer demand.
Of course, you know this because you believe it, but please address the point about how can one even start to make any meaningful prediction of the future without a model and without models policy making and preparation is a hopeless tas
Of course, you know this because you believe it, but please address the point about
how can one even start to make any meaningful
prediction of the future without a model and without models policy making and preparation is a hopeless tas
of the
future without a model and without models policy making and preparation is a hopeless task.
2) CAGW movement type models never reconstruct any lengthy past history accurately without creative and unique adjustment
of aerosol values used as a fudge factor; that is why models
of widely varying sensitivities supposedly all accurately reconstruct the past (different made - up assumed historical values used for each) but fail in
future prediction, like they didn't predict
how global average temperatures have been flat to declining over the past 15 years.
If they don't, I try to use the observations to figure out what physical processes are missing in the global model and
how to represent those processes as realistically as possible, with the goal
of gradually increasing our confidence in the model's
predictions of the
future.
It is also an example
of how climate models can play a key role in both the interpretation
of observations and the
prediction of near -
future climate.
Lovenduski and Bonan's work illustrates
how far away we are from confident
prediction of future emission - concentration relationships.
The question
of how to use a good model
of the past to forecast the
future is a very interesting one, since the premises that made the model work well up to the present may shift either gradually or suddenly in a way that renders the
prediction very inaccurate.
«In terms
of how we should think about climate change
prediction in the
future, reducing emissions and so on, it really wouldn't make much
of a difference.»
This is a weather
prediction, a look into the
future if you will,
of how conditions will be in your area at some number
of hours or days into the
future.
This raises an interesting question, which is
how should the IPCC (or anybody else for that matter) falsify hypothesis II and III, which although they are at least plausible, make no testable
predictions, unlike hypothesis I. Has anybody made projections for
future climate with an unambiguous statement
of uncertainty that would allow the projections to be falisfied by the observations?
They often want government to intervene to avoid what they claim is a horrible catastrophe for modern civilization in the making — which never seems to happen (consider, for example,
how badly their
predictions of future global warming have worked out).
They could aid understanding
of how carbon cycling in the region may evolve as climate change progresses and help refine
predictions of future climate change.
However, forecasts
of how ENSO might behave in the
future are complicated by a host
of interactions between the ocean and atmosphere, and better climate models are needed before scientists can arrive at such
predictions, he added.
An improved dynamical understanding
of how the tropical Pacific Ocean transitions into hiatus events, including its seasonal structure, may help to improve
future prediction of decadal climate variations.