Still sparse and
huge error bars but improvements underway.
As to the paleo record, the only thing clear is that it has
huge error bars, iss full of noise and is not complete or reliable.
Despite decades of intense research, scientists must still resort to using
huge error bars when assessing how particles such as sulphates, black carbon, sea salt and dust affect temperature and rainfall.
It goes from 1C to 10 C. See IPCC figure The above
huge error bars are not exactly what is called a «small» error.
In principle, unless some of the proxies have
huge error bars, the more, the merrier.
That puts
huge error bars on what CO2 sensitivity could be.
Having terrestrial water sources on the chart with
the huge error bars they had wouldn't have made a very convincing chart for the summary for policy makers section.
You also seem to be ignoring the fact that the modelled 10 year trends suffer from the same thing any 10 year trend does —
huge error bars.
I wasn't talking about «
huge error bars» but about how the knowledge is arrived at.
Huge error bars are still objective, not subjective, because the error bars are still on a number.
I guess it was the only argument you had, but it was quite funny to hear that model results are acceptable if
their huge error bars manage to clip the observation error bars.
All have
huge error bars,» says ecologist Jonathan Foley director of the University of Minnesota's Institute on the Environment, one of the authors.
, and adding
huge errors bars up to + / - 0.2 C.
Not exact matches
Laurent Koscielny will be thanking the cross
bar after his dreadful
error — a third in three games — created a
huge opportunity for Javier Hernandez to win the game.
My
error bars here are
huge, but it seems to be the same order of magnitude that Stein was asked to spend by the states to get the recount effort started.
One thing that puzzles me is that while the
error bar on GHGs is still
huge people like Dana Nutticelli keep on hammering that «the science is settled».
JJ Abrams was in a bit of a strange position; despite the
huge expectation attached to the new Star Wars film, nobody really expected The Force Awakens to measure up to the original trilogy, and
barring some catastrophic
error of judgement, nobody really believed that it was going to be as bad as the prequels.
The ensemble would lose all predictive power regardless of what happened to measured global temp, as the
error bars would be
huge.
And now Gavin et al finally admit that the
error bars on the outputs are consequently
huge too (which was always blindingly obvious to more responsible computer modelers).
Whatever
error bars are on measuring the temperature sensitivity in 1910 to CO2 (which must be
huge) must mean when translated to higher CO2 levels of today a similar level of accuracy must prevail.
It looks like a convincingly big rise, but it's not enough, and the
error bars are
huge.
Essentially we can measure man - made emissions reasonably well, but we can't measure the natural emissions and sequestrations of CO2 at all precisely — the
error bars are
huge.
«The problem with the models is that their
error bars are so
huge, compared to the trend that they are intended to predict, that they basically can not be falsified during the academic lifetime of their creators, no matter what happens.»
This is fascinating in terms of the estimated
error bars & the
huge transform they have been subjected to.
But a theory which needs
huge errors -
bars to agree with the data is not very useful, in my opinion.
(reposted, first attempt was at the wrong parent in the thread) @Steven Mosher at 11:57 am Rasey: «Undocumented breakpoints derived from differences to a krigged fuzzy surface (one with
error bar thickness) defined by uncertain control points in an iterative process is a source for
huge amounts of
error.»
Undocumented breakpoints derived from differences to a krigged fuzzy surface (one with
error bar thickness) defined by uncertain control points in an iterative process is a source for
huge amounts of
error.
They don't realize this is a
huge step forward in atmospheric physics, mainly because all of the equations and relations that he has coerced out of the radiosonde data are applicable at almost any point on the Earth and at any season, averaged over time and within tight
error bars.