He was one of the first scientists to address what we now call the «signal detection problem» — the problem of determining where we might expect to see the first clear evidence of
a human effect on global climate.
Not exact matches
Here's a better idea for this so - called «governor» to consider: Take a look at the research done by your alma mater, Texas A&M,
on global warming and the
effect it will have
on Texas (higher temps and greater stress
on water through decreased rainfall and increased evaporation)... then stop poopooing the efforts to mitigate the
effect humans are having
on climate change.
The review, «Population, development, and
climate change, links and
effects on human health», examines the interconnections between population growth and
climate change, from the perspective of
global health.
With a new grasp of
global dust traffic, scientists are now working to understand the often subtle
effects that dust has
on climate,
human health, and the biosphere.
Dr Li said the latest research findings give a better understanding of changes in
human - perceived equivalent temperature, and indicate
global warming has stronger long - term impacts
on human beings under both extreme and non-extreme weather conditions, suggesting that
climate change adaptation can not just focus
on heat wave events, but should be extended to the whole range of
effects of temperature increases.
In 1996, when
climate research was more certain about the link between fossil fuel combustion and
climate change than during the time of Shaw's memo, Exxon's new chairman and chief executive Lee Raymond said in a speech in Detroit: «Currently, the scientific evidence is inconclusive as to whether
human activities are having a significant
effect on the
global climate.»
Axel Timmermann and Tobias Friedrich constructed a numerical model that quantifies the
effects of past
climate and sea - level change
on global human migration patterns over the past 125,000 years.
His research interests include studying the interactions between El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the monsoons of Asia; identifying possible
effects on global climate of changing
human factors, such as carbon dioxide, as well as natural factors, such as solar variability; and quantifying possible future changes of weather and
climate extremes in a warmer
climate.
The
effects of
human activity have long been cited as a primary cause of
global climate change, but new research from NASA has revealed that our use of technology also appears to be having an impact not just
on the planet, but
on Earth's near - space environment as well.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising
human influence
on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (
climate sensitivity), the impact
on hurricanes, the particular
effects in particular places (what
global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
pg xiii This Policymakers Summary aims to bring out those elements of the main report which have the greatest relevance to policy formulation, in answering the following questions • What factors determine
global climate 7 • What are the greenhouse gases, and how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 • How much do we expect the
climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the
climate of the future be very different 9 • Have
human activities already begun to change
global climate 9 How much will sea level rise 9 • What will be the
effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymaker.
I am part of that community; we agree that
human greenhouse gas emissions are having a huge, negative
effect on global climate.
In case anyone wants to have a look back at my early work, here are links that will lead you to a few vintage pieces
on humans and
climate: Endless Summer: Living With the Greenhouse
Effect, Discover Magazine cover story, October 1988; «Let's Be Sensible
on Global Warming,» Christian Science Monitor, June 30, 1992; «The Big Thaw» (a look at Switzerland's retreating glaciers), Conde Nast Traveler, 1993.
On the other hand, despite the overwhelming evidence that global warming will transform the Earth's climate for centuries, with fearful consequences for human health and wellbeing (not to mention the survival of many species and ecosystems), the world can not agree to significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions because of concerns about the effects on economic growt
On the other hand, despite the overwhelming evidence that
global warming will transform the Earth's
climate for centuries, with fearful consequences for
human health and wellbeing (not to mention the survival of many species and ecosystems), the world can not agree to significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions because of concerns about the
effects on economic growt
on economic growth.
«These findings show that
climate change can have dramatic
effects on human societies and highlight the necessity to understand the
effect of
global warming
on rainfall patterns in China and all over the world,» the authors write.
Your concern for genuine science and for the poor requires a more cautious approach, one that carefully considers the scientific evidence regarding the real, not merely the theoretical,
effects of
human action
on global climate, and carefully considers energy technology and economics in seeking to protect the poor from harm.
That is decidedly not how this paper is used in public discourse though, I think in many instances this paper is used to say that not only do
humans cause
global warming, but they are also the major cause and the degree of
effect on nature /
climate is in some way dangerous and needs to be mitigated.
«The additional burden of CO2 added to the atmosphere by
human activities... leads to the current «perturbed»
global carbon cycle... These perturbations to the natural carbon cycle are the dominant driver of
climate change because of their persistent
effect on the atmosphere.»
Focusing
on the rights of those who are already vulnerable and marginalized due to poverty and discrimination, a
human rights - based approach to
climate change can be a useful tool to complement international efforts aimed at tackling the adverse
effects of
global warming.
«The
human impact
on global climate is small, and any warming that may occur as a result of
human carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gas emissions is likely to have little
effect on global temperatures, the cryosphere (ice - covered areas), hydrosphere (oceans, lakes, and rivers), or weather.
The second IPCC report, published in 1995, invoked the «sulfate - aerosol
effect» and produced the memorable but essentially meaningless phrase that «the balance of evidence suggests a discernible
human influence
on global climate.»
If there were an empirical study of the
effects of warming (or
climate change)
on human populations — just as with plant and animal populations — it would have to span the years from 1970 to 1997 approximately, since there hasn't been appreciable
global warming since that time.
My bottom line is that while the
global climate models, when run with added CO2 and other greenhouse gases, show that this is a warming
effect, they are inadequate tools to assess the consequences of these
human climate forcings
on the regional and local scale.
The
effects of
global climate change
on mental health and well - being are integral parts of the overall
climate - related
human health impacts.
Initially, PED showed backbone, standing up to political activists pushing the state to adopt the Next Generation Science Standards view of
climate change, which promotes the false claims that the science
on climate change is settled, that we know
human activities are driving dangerous
climate change, that carbon dioxide is a pollutant that's dangerous to
human health and the environment, and that we fully understand how to counteract the
effects of
climate change or control long - term
global temperature.
While natural sources of
climate variability are significant, multiple lines of evidence indicate that
human influences have had an increasingly dominant
effect on global climate warming observed since the mid-twentieth century.
To date, while various
effects and feedbacks constrain the certainty placed
on recent and projected
climate change (EG, albedo change, the response of water vapour, various future emissions scenarios etc), it is virtually certain that CO2 increases from
human industry have reversed and will continue to reverse the downward trend in
global temperatures that should be expected in the current phase of the Milankovitch cycle.
In a sharp change from its cautious approach in the past, the National Academy of Sciences
on Wednesday called for taxes
on carbon emissions, a cap - and - trade program for such emissions or some other strong action to curb runaway
global warming.Such actions, which would increase the cost of using coal and petroleum — at least in the immediate future — are necessary because «
climate change is occurring, the Earth is warming... concentrations of carbon dioxide are increasing, and there are very clear fingerprints that link [those
effects] to
humans,» said Pamela A. Matson of Stanford University, who chaired one of five panels organized by the academy at the request of Congress to look at the science of
climate change and how the nation should respond.
I would probably generally state it as «
human CO2 activity has a measurable warming impact
on global average temperature that can be readily discerned from the background of natural
climate change and other
human effects that may cause cooling, and this warming impact will be, in general, neutral in impact for humanity and the biosphere».
Climate skeptic scientists have long questioned whether the
effects of relatively minor (compared to other CO2 sources and sinks)
human - caused emissions of CO2 have more than a minor
effect on global temperatures and some have even questioned whether the UN and USEPA have even gotten the causation backwards (i.e., because
on balance
global temperatures affect atmospheric CO2 levels).
Given the high uncertainty about the net
effect of
human carbon dioxide emissions
on global temperatures, we only see natural changes in
climate.
Mostly they just move energy around in the
climate system, which definitely has
effects on how
humans perceive
global warming and how the impacts of warming are spread through the system.
Along with many other economists, my view
on global warming - associated
climate change is that the world is most unlikely to be able to agree and coordinate globally, and then sustain for the centuries required, the growth - denying policies that would be needed if we were to limit
human - induced
global warming to any material
effect beyond the [continue reading...]
As such, the GCRA (Section 106) mandated that the CCSP prepare, not less frequently than every four years, a scientific assessment report, or National Assessment, of
global climate change research that, among other things, analyzes the
effects of
global change
on eight specific areas, including: «the natural environment, agriculture, energy production and use, land and water resources, transportation,
human health and welfare,
human social systems, and biological diversity.»
Climate Science however was established with the premise that humans are having a catastrophic effect on the climate, primarily by forcing global warming through the emission of ACO2, and charged with the mission of confirm
Climate Science however was established with the premise that
humans are having a catastrophic
effect on the
climate, primarily by forcing global warming through the emission of ACO2, and charged with the mission of confirm
climate, primarily by forcing
global warming through the emission of ACO2, and charged with the mission of confirming it.
The most pervasive
effects of
global climate change
on human uses of the oceans will be due to impacts
on biotic resources; transportation and nonliving resource exploitation will be affected to a lesser degree.
Any
climate forcing (whether natural or
human induced) would be so strongly damped as to hardly have any
effect on global temperatures.
The prophecy of Anthropogenic
Global Warming yielding trillions of dollars in redistributive change will have a catastrophic
effect on human relationships, island stability, and the
climate in diverse societies.
E.g., research assumes greenhouse gas emissions cause warming without explicitly stating
humans are the cause»... carbon sequestration in soil is important for mitigating
global climate change» (4a) No position Does not address or mention the cause of
global warming (4b) Uncertain Expresses position that
human's role
on recent
global warming is uncertain / undefined «While the extent of
human - induced
global warming is inconclusive...» (5) Implicit rejection Implies
humans have had a minimal impact
on global warming without saying so explicitly E.g., proposing a natural mechanism is the main cause of
global warming»... anywhere from a major portion to all of the warming of the 20th century could plausibly result from natural causes according to these results» (6) Explicit rejection without quantification Explicitly minimizes or rejects that
humans are causing
global warming»... the
global temperature record provides little support for the catastrophic view of the greenhouse
effect» (7) Explicit rejection with quantification Explicitly states that
humans are causing less than half of
global warming «The
human contribution to the CO2 content in the atmosphere and the increase in temperature is negligible in comparison with other sources of carbon dioxide emission»»
As you may imagine, this paper, by Kevin Cowtan and Robert Way is being hotly discussed in the
global warming blogs, with reaction ranging from a warm embrace by the
global - warming - is - going - to - be-bad-for-us crowd to revulsion from the
human - activities - have - no -
effect -
on - the -
climate claque.
Scientists at the University of New Hampshire's
Climate Change Research Center are preparing a paper (scheduled for publication in the journal Nature) that attempts to quantify the effect of human methane emissions on global climate change... and proposes necessary action to reduce this greenhouse f
Climate Change Research Center are preparing a paper (scheduled for publication in the journal Nature) that attempts to quantify the
effect of
human methane emissions
on global climate change... and proposes necessary action to reduce this greenhouse f
climate change... and proposes necessary action to reduce this greenhouse forcing.
Blog Post from Dr. Cecilia Sorensen, Consortium Fellow:
Global climate change is predicted to exacerbate underlying determinants of poverty and widespread
effects on human health..
The
effects of these energy sources
on regional and planetary health are becoming increasingly evident through
climate change, the most worrisome major
global trend attributed to
human activity.
The
Global Biodiversity Outlook 4 (CBD 2014), while finding some improvements in temperate and developed parts of the world and the ongoing enlargement of the protected - area estate, also presented evidence of
climate - induced
effects on biodiversity; the increased spread of diseases and invasive biota; declines in species living in forests, reefs, and many other habitats; and the conversion of ecosystems supporting many kinds of life to ones with singular
human uses.
With respect to the first sentence, Federal Defendants admit that for over fifty years some officials and persons employed by the federal government have been aware of a growing body of scientific research concerning the
effects of fossil fuel emissions
on atmospheric concentrations of CO2 — including that increased concentrations of atmospheric CO2 could cause measurable long - lasting changes to the
global climate, resulting in an array of severe deleterious
effects to
human beings, which will worsen over time.
The latest report from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change, released on Sunday night, is both sweeping in scope and staggering for its unprecedented details on the impacts of global climate change to date, as well as potential future effects on human and natural s
Climate Change, released
on Sunday night, is both sweeping in scope and staggering for its unprecedented details
on the impacts of
global climate change to date, as well as potential future effects on human and natural s
climate change to date, as well as potential future
effects on human and natural systems.
Essentially, one needs to show that the behaviour of the climatic signal is distinct from that generated by natural
climate variability in the past, when
human effects were negligible, at least
on the
global scale.
Unfortunately, the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment did not sufficiently acknowledge the importance of these other human climate forcings in altering regional and global climate and their effects on predictability at the regional scale.
Climate Change (IPCC) assessment did not sufficiently acknowledge the importance of these other
human climate forcings in altering regional and global climate and their effects on predictability at the regional scale.
climate forcings in altering regional and
global climate and their effects on predictability at the regional scale.
climate and their
effects on predictability at the regional scale.»
For even a layman, if you adhere to scientific principals, it's obvious that
human activity has no discernable
effect on global climate.
«There is no evidence, neither empirical nor theoretical, that carbon dioxide emissions from industrial and other
human activities can have any
effect on global climate.