The problems that cause global warming are divided into two categories include natural and
human influences of global warming.
Not exact matches
These fluctuations superimpose the general
global warming trend since the beginning
of industrialization and thus complicate the accurate determination
of human influence on the climate.
As I understand it, the GCR - idea does not deny
human influences on
global warming and does not really provide a good estimate
of what the magnitude
of GCR
influences might be.
Incidentally, as I see it, your reconstruction
of Manns data showing the 15th century to be
warmer than now is even more damming than Manns original construct, as it indicates a gradual decline in
global temperatures until 1850, before
human influence reversed that trend.
«The authors clearly demonstrate that a
human influence on wildland fire as a consequence
of global warming isn't just a prediction for the future — it's happening now,» said Kevin Anchukaitis, a University
of Arizona scientist who was not involved with the study.
Given that many claim
humans are
influencing global warming and the number
of people that now are on the planet I do not know how a thinking person can not see that most
of us have to change our focus on consuming animal products.
Human influence has been detected in
warming of the atmosphere and the ocean, in changes in the
global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in
global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising
human influence on climate is clear, many
of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent
of warming from a certain buildup
of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects in particular places (what
global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
My answer — On the basis
of billions
of years
of historical
global warming periods, some
of which happened rapidly and without any
human influence whatsoever — and whose specific causes remain a mystery.
Global Warming vs Climate Change,» an interesting new study
of Americans» perceptions
of the two dominant shorthand phrases used to describe the building
human influence on the climate system.
I've been criticized by some environmentalists in recent years for writing that the long - term picture (more CO2 =
warmer world = less ice = higher seas and lots
of climatic and ecological changes) is the only aspect
of human - caused
global warming that is solidly established, and that efforts to link dramatic weather - related events to the
human influence on climate could backfire should nature wiggle the other way for awhile.
Weart is best known to Dot Earth regulars as the author
of the essential guide to 100 years
of research pointing to a
human influence on climate, «The Discovery
of Global Warming» (here's my 2003 review
of that book for The Times).
The journal Science has published a letter signed by 255 members
of the National Academy
of Sciences, including 11 Nobel laureates, that pushes back sharply after months
of assaults on evidence pointing to a growing and disruptive
human influence on the climate and some
of the researchers who've done important work on
global warming.
Hundreds
of private e-mails and documents hacked from a computer server at a British university are causing a stir among
global warming skeptics, who say they show that climate scientists conspired to overstate the case for a
human influence on climate change.
For a long time there's been a strong perception among those
of us tracking research on
human - caused
global warming that meteorologists are more apt to doubt that
humans could dangerously disrupt climate than the much smaller community
of climatologists studying the overall climate system and what
influences its patterns.
As I understand it, the GCR - idea does not deny
human influences on
global warming and does not really provide a good estimate
of what the magnitude
of GCR
influences might be.
But efforts to tease out the impact
of human - driven
global warming in the region are complicated by the big
influence around the Bering Sea
of natural variations in ocean conditions, including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
The suggestion for a counter-investigative science force — or red team approach — was presented in prepared testimony by scientists known for questioning the
influence of human activity on
global warming.
Human influence has been detected in
warming of the atmosphere and the ocean, in changes in the
global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in
global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes (see Figure SPM.6 and Table SPM.1).
In particular, the authors find fault with IPCC's conclusions relating to
human activities being the primary cause
of recent
global warming, claiming, contrary to significant evidence that they tend to ignore, that the comparatively small
influences of natural changes in solar radiation are dominating the
influences of the much larger effects
of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the
global energy balance.
Climate scientists say they are 95 percent certain that
human influence has been the dominant cause
of global warming since 1950.
Given that
global warming is «unequivocal», and is «very likely» due to
human activities to quote the 2007 IPCC report, the null hypothesis should now be reversed, thereby placing the burden
of proof on showing that there is no
human influence.
In the main text
of the paper he says «Given that
global warming is «unequivocal», and is «very likely» due to
human activities to quote the 2007 IPCC report, the null hypothesis should now be reversed, thereby placing the burden
of proof on showing that there is no
human influence.»
If the as - stated formulation is correct, namely Given that
global warming is «unequivocal», to quote the 2007 IPCC report, the null hypothesis should now be reversed, thereby placing the burden
of proof on showing that there is no
human influence.
If by
human influence and
global warming they mean the 2007 IPCC report then that is already out
of date and wrong.
- Finally I'd address the duplicity (if I may call it that) in Trenberths statement: «Given that
global warming is «unequivocal», to quote the 2007 IPCC report, the null hypothesis should now be reversed, thereby placing the burden
of proof on showing that there is no
human influence.
The abstract
of his paper says: «Given that
global warming is unequivocal, the null hypothesis should be that all weather events are affected by
global warming...» — nothing about
human influence.
... then we have reduced effect
of human influence to just a tiny fraction
of what is normally considered by
Global warming people.
We're not offering a «counter-claim» about the science, because our position is that even the concrete, incontrovertible, unassailable fact
of human influence on
global warming and climate change does not, by itself, make a case for action.
Its original goal was to assess possible
human influences on
global warming and potential risks
of human - induced
warming.
Among those papers, we classified one
of Spencer's and two
of Christy's as minimizing or rejecting the
human influence on
global warming, and the others as not taking a position on the issue.
Most do not believe that
human influence is the cause
of global warming, some do not even believe in
global warming at all.
One characterisation
of the IPCC is that it is politically motivated to exaggerate the dangers
of global warming and the level
of human influence on climate change.
From the comments we find that Taylor isn't a denier himself as he believes in
global warming and that
human influence has been significant, so where is the argument, and wouldn't Heartland be upset about this admission from one
of its own?
By your admission, your interest in the technology came before much
of your «education on
Global Warming;» and I think this reinforces the point many have brought out in this thread: Cars like the Volt are very much worthwhile regardless
of whether or not
humans are
influencing climate change.
This would be some combination
of warmings and coolings due to natural and / or human influences such as aerosols, instabilities in ocean currents, Length - Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17, Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc
of warmings and coolings due to natural and / or
human influences such as aerosols, instabilities in ocean currents, Length -
Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17, Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc
Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17,
Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc..
And, it's precisely that «signature»
of human -
influenced (anthropogenic)
global warming that is not at issue with serious scientists throughout the world.
I don't know about you, but it seems to me that most
of those abstracts mention
global climate change but not
global warming or
human influence upon the climate change.
Such is the profound nature
of human - caused
global warming, that it has overcome these many short - term natural cooling
influences.
In reality, at least 97 percent
of climatologists agree that
humans cause
global warming, and the data show you can't explain the current rising temperatures without
human influence.
Somewhere recently I read that Ben Santer singlehandedly edited the scientists» report to IPCC so that, instead
of it reading as the scientists wrote it, to the effect that they could NOT be certain
of human influence in
global warming, it read to the effect that they WERE (at least «reasonably») certain
of human influence.
While natural sources
of climate variability are significant, multiple lines
of evidence indicate that
human influences have had an increasingly dominant effect on
global climate
warming observed since the mid-twentieth century.
Global warming will have a negligible
influence on
human morbidity and the spread
of infectious diseases.
Our team agreed upon definitions
of categories to put the papers in: explicit or implicit endorsement
of human - caused
global warming, no opinion, and implicit or explicit rejection or minimization
of the
human influence, and began the long process
of rating over 12,000 abstracts.
Now, adding to this miserably low
warming influence of CO2 is the recent admission by establishment climate science that natural climatic forces have a powerful say in the trend
of global temperatures, regardless
of human CO2 emissions.
When combining all this very obvious evidence, one can fairly surmise that either
global warming is not very «
global» or that
human CO2 emissions are not a very powerful
influence on the Earth's climate or institutional, orthodoxy climate science has failed, badly - or maybe it's a lot
of all three.
The hockey stick graph is a high - profile example among literally thousands
of pieces
of evidence that have contributed to the present scientific consensus on the
human influence on
global warming.
Note that while the BEST approach is based on correlations, they are correlations
of variables with known causal relationships (i.e. an increased greenhouse effect is known to cause
global warming), although they do not appear to have considered some important
influences like
human aerosol emissions or the El Niño Southern Oscillation.
A (2) Modern
warming, glacier and sea ice recession, sea level rise, drought and hurricane intensities... are all occurring at unprecedentedly high and rapid rates, and the effects are globally synchronous (not just regional)... and thus dangerous consequences to the
global biosphere and
human civilizations loom in the near future as a consequence
of anthropogenic
influences.
As the term implies,
global warming is the gradual increase in the average temperature
of the atmosphere and ocean due to
human influences.