According to a 2007 presentation at the 61st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference, the improved
hurricane forecasts between 2000 — 2006 resulted in savings of $ 3 billion compared to what the forecasts of the 1990s would have cost.
Not exact matches
The
forecast predicts
between four and eight named storms may become
hurricanes — organized, rotating storms with sustained winds of 74 mph (119 km / h) or faster.
So he sexes up his narrative by presenting it as a battle
between the «short, professorial looking» Emanuel, a «nuanced and sophisticated» man who talks in complete sentences, and the obdurate William Gray of Colorado State University, «a towering figure of American
hurricane science,» who has for many years produced remarkably accurate
forecasts of the upcoming Atlantic
hurricane season and who repeatedly and loudly denies — in congressional hearings and everywhere else — that humans have any role in climate change.
A fresh round of government and private
hurricane forecasts show Tropical Storm Gustav, which is now heading west
between Jamaica and Cuba, growing into a dangerous
hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend and hitting the Gulf Coast around Labor Day.
With
hurricane Arthur headlining the news as throwing a possible wet blanket on 4th of July fireworks shows along the Northeast coast and with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period
between major (Category 3 or greater)
hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative
forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic
hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 years).
Can the numerical simulation and
forecasting of
hurricanes be improved by accounting for these and a host of other processes involved in the dynamic, two - way interaction
between sea and storm [Zhao and Chan, 2017; and H. Zhang et al., 2016]?
Less well understood by the scientific communities interested in
hurricanes — from their basic physics to improved
forecasts — and the processes controlling key physical and biological variables in the upper ocean, are the details of coupled interactions
between tropical cyclones and the ocean.
In doing so, they fail to recognize the important distinction
between the operational
hurricane forecasting problem (a classical initial value problem) and the boundary value problem addressed in KT04, where one is concerned with the maximum
hurricane intensity that is possible for a given set of largescale environmental conditions (i.e., a climatological or statistical distribution of maximum intensities).
(IV) the need for additional research and monitoring to improve
forecasting of
hurricanes and typhoons and to understand the relationship
between climate change and
hurricane and typhoon development.
The physical link
between SST and precipitation for any individual
hurricane is not controversial, it is routinely exploited in the
hurricane forecast models used by the national
hurricane center.