Sentences with phrase «hurricane forecasts by»

That data, scientists said at the Nov. 10 briefing, can be used to improve hurricane forecasting by providing more data and in a more timely manner than possible with other satellites or hurricane - tracking aircraft.

Not exact matches

«The president just stripped the Department of Homeland Security of its leader, was blasted by the outgoing head of hurricane forecasting for how his budget cuts could set back this work, and lacks any experience (as a senator or governor) with navigating a difficult disaster response.

Oct 30 (Reuters)- Hurricane Sandy appears to have easily caused more losses than last year's Hurricane Irene, but final totals will be hard to come by for some time because of the scale of the disaster, catastrophe forecasting companies said on Tuesday.

«Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and Maria could regain major hurricane status by Thursday,» said the NHC in its latest advisory, which also called for «catastrophic flash flooding» in parts of Puerto Rico.

On the bright side, forecasts show that Hurricane Maria is weakening, with sustained wind speeds of 80 miles per hour, and is expected to be downgraded to a tropical storm by Tuesday.

Hurricane Maria is weakening and is forecast to weaken to a Tropical Storm by Tuesday night.

«Interpreting hurricane forecast displays can be difficult for general public: Two commonly used methods are often misunderstood by novice viewers.»

But she also warned that spending cuts enacted by Congress threaten NOAA's ability to produce detailed hurricane forecasts and track storms in the future.

Scientists working to improve storm intensity forecasting have identified a more accurate means of predicting a hurricane's strength as it approaches landfall, using sea temperature readings that they say will help forecasters better prepare communities for storm impacts in the face of sea - level rise caused by rising global temperatures.

Instead, most modelers accommodate the inevitable uncertainties by averaging over many runs of each scenario and displaying a likely range of outcomes, much like landfall forecasts for hurricanes.

Powerful hurricanes such as Harvey, Irma and Maria are also providing a testing ground for new tools that scientists hope will save lives by improving forecasts in various ways, from narrowing a storm's future path to capturing swift changes in the intensity of storm winds.

«By improving our understanding of the processes that drive tropical cyclones and hurricanes, we will be better positioned to improve our ability to forecast these events and their impacts with longer and longer lead times,» he says.

That program was established by NOAA in 2009, in part as a response to the pummeling the U.S. received from a number of hurricanes during the early years of that decade and the relative lack of progress made in improving forecasts up to that point.

In the 25 years since Hurricane Andrew devastated southeastern Florida, the 3 - day track forecast for hurricanes has improved by 65 percent, she said.

So he sexes up his narrative by presenting it as a battle between the «short, professorial looking» Emanuel, a «nuanced and sophisticated» man who talks in complete sentences, and the obdurate William Gray of Colorado State University, «a towering figure of American hurricane science,» who has for many years produced remarkably accurate forecasts of the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season and who repeatedly and loudly denies — in congressional hearings and everywhere else — that humans have any role in climate change.

And scientists may be better able to forecast a storm's effects by comparing its projected path and strength with those of hurricanes that previously struck the coast.

Recent advances have improved NOAA's intensity forecasts by 20 percent, but there are so many variables influencing the developing of a hurricane — from the energy they draw from the oceans to their interactions with the surrounding environment and their dynamic inner cores — that storms like Matthew befuddle many experts.

We have all heard of the yearly hurricane forecasts made by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, now the Companion Animal Parasite Council is predicting that in 2016 the spread of vector - borne disease agents transmitted by ticks and mosquitoes will continue to promulgate and create a year - round menace to both pets and pet owners.

The forecast track of Hurricane Irma as of Thursday afternoon / / Map by the National Hurricane Center

We have the full right to evacuate the resort if demanded or recommended by local authorities during the approach of a tropical storm, hurricane or other forecasted natural disaster.

At the same time, current forecasts predict that the latest storm will largely spare areas impacted by those hurricanes.

Map of Hurricane Maria's forecast track as of Tuesday morning / / Map by the National Hurricane Center

As a recent past example I would suggest that 2005 hurricane season was very predictable because Historical high temperatures were forecasted by Hansen at NASA.

ITM, the sealevel pressure forecast map, which proved so correct for hurricane Fay, has Suwannee and Apalachiacola deltas being hit by a tropicak storm around Sept 3.

«This Atlantic hurricane season is projected by government and private forecasters to be around normal or a bit above» Is this a revised forecast?

This is the foundation of the Dvorak Enhanced Infrared (EIR) technique [Dvorak, 1984], which is utilized by all tropical forecast offices in every ocean basin to estimate hurricane intensity with geostationary infrared imagery.

Can the numerical simulation and forecasting of hurricanes be improved by accounting for these and a host of other processes involved in the dynamic, two - way interaction between sea and storm [Zhao and Chan, 2017; and H. Zhang et al., 2016]?

Less well understood by the scientific communities interested in hurricanes — from their basic physics to improved forecasts — and the processes controlling key physical and biological variables in the upper ocean, are the details of coupled interactions between tropical cyclones and the ocean.

Conversely, due to well - researched upper - atmospheric flow (e.g. vertical shear) configurations favorable to Atlantic hurricane development and intensification, La Nina falls tend to favor very active seasons in the Atlantic (El Nino years are the converse, with must less activity, as forecast by Gray and NOAA for 2009).

Do you want to win a debate on AGW by publishing in Nature, using whatever statistics it takes, or do you want to forecast hurricane occurrence so that you can help people?

These include the spectacular forecasts by Tim Flannery that Australian cities would run out of fresh water, by Professor Hough - Guldberg that the Barrier Reef would die, by Professor Karoly that the Murray Darling would see increasing drought, by the UK Met Office that warming would resume, and by Ross Garnaut and Al Gore that hurricanes would increase.

Well so far, they only dirt they seem to have dug up is hurricane forecasting funded by an energy company, devastating criticisms in the blogosphere by the likes of Thingsbreak, and the possibility of some mythical relative with an involvement with a right wing think tank.

By Amber Bentley (Aged 11) In just 16 pages, this wonderful book covers the structure of the atmosphere, solar radiation, the water cycle, clouds, fronts, convection, air pressure, air masses, the global atmospheric circulation, making weather observations, forecasting, synoptic charts, hurricanes, regional climate, palaeoclimates and anthropogenic climate change.

On Oct. 5, Rush Limbaugh said hurricane forecasting often involved «politics» because «the National Hurricane Center is part of the National Weather Service, which is part of the Commerce Department, which is part of the Obama administration, which by definition has been taintehurricane forecasting often involved «politics» because «the National Hurricane Center is part of the National Weather Service, which is part of the Commerce Department, which is part of the Obama administration, which by definition has been tainteHurricane Center is part of the National Weather Service, which is part of the Commerce Department, which is part of the Obama administration, which by definition has been tainted.»

Scientists forecast that hurricane damage could increase dramatically in the US as high - income countries are also threatened by extreme weather events.

They predict, project or forecast that heat waves will intensify, droughts and floods will be stronger and more frequent, hurricanes will be more frequent and violent, sea levels will rise four feet by 2100 [versus eight inches since 1880], and forest fires and other natural calamities will be worse than ever before.

The HFIP aims to cut the average errors of hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 percent within five years and by 50 percent by 2019, within a seven - day forecast period.

The forecast by Klotzbach's team will be revised April 4 and again May 31, prior to the start of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.

Data from an ocean glider equipped with a host of scientific instrumentation and deployed ahead of the storm allowed researchers not only to see how sediment was being redistributed by the hurricane as the storm unfolded but also to compare their real - life observations with forecasts from mathematical models.

In recent years, the method has been adopted and adapted by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, which makes its own long - term forecasts.

However, the latest upgrades to the GFDL hurricane model have led to significant improvements in hurricane intensity forecasts by better representing the atmospheric and oceanic physical processes critical for intensity prediction.

Despite the oft - used statements by Landsea et al. and Gray (CSU) that SST and hurricane characteristics are not associated with SST, beyond the existence of a basic threshold (> 26.5 C), it is interesting to note that the Gray group (and NOAA as well) has decreased their forecasts of the number of North Atlantic tropical storms because the SST is less warm than predicted.

Most of these issues were raised by members of the hurricane forecasting community.

The physical link between SST and precipitation for any individual hurricane is not controversial, it is routinely exploited in the hurricane forecast models used by the national hurricane center.

The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.

According to NOAA, the specific goals of the HFIP are to reduce the average errors of both hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 % within five years and 50 % in 10 years, with a forecast period out to seven days.

By deriving detailed meaning and clarity from new instrument technologies, we have improved weather forecasting, severe storm tracking for hurricanes and understanding of the Earth's climate and advanced meteorological research.

Once a storm is named by the National Hurricane Center or another forecasting entity, it becomes a foreseeable event with known potential to affect your travel.