Sentences with phrase «hurricane forecasts over»
During Thursday's press conference, officials also touted the updated models and tools they have to produce better forecasts for individual storms, part of a concerted effort that has greatly improved hurricane forecasts over the past couple of decades.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/ Not exact matches
There has been no change to the forecast philosophy, with the hurricane likely to turn westward and west - southwestward over the next few days due to a building ridge over the central Atlantic.
The Category 4 hurricane is forecast to move north over eastern Cuba and then the Bahamas, before striking the US east coast later this week.
Over the past two decades, forecasters have improved their ability to predict where hurricanes will go, but improvements in forecasting a hurricane's intensity have proved elusive.
Instead, most modelers accommodate the inevitable uncertainties by averaging over many runs of each scenario and displaying a likely range of outcomes, much like landfall forecasts for hurricanes.
«We believe this first study of rogue waves occurring over space and time during hurricanes will help improve real - time forecasting for shipping companies and other organizations that need to understand the risk of extreme events in the oceans.»
«Our study is important because tropical cyclone intensity forecasts for several past hurricanes over the Caribbean Sea have under - predicted rapid intensification events over warm oceanic features,» said Johna Rudzin, a PhD student at the UM Rosenstiel School and lead author of the study.
El Niño is a key factor in making hurricane seasonal forecasts because the changes in atmospheric patterns over the tropical Pacific that it ushers in have a domino effect on patterns over the Atlantic, tending to suppress hurricane formation.
Hurricane Irma is forecast to continue moving to the west across the Atlantic over the next several days.
That's an excerpt from the latest extended forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for the superstorm that nearly all computer simulations see developing in a few days as the remains of Hurricane Sandy — which has already killed at least 21 people in the Caribbean — collide over the East Coast with a cold front sweeping in from the west.
A fresh round of government and private hurricane forecasts show Tropical Storm Gustav, which is now heading west between Jamaica and Cuba, growing into a dangerous hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend and hitting the Gulf Coast around Labor Day.
According to the National Hurricane Center, Isaac is forecast to rapidly strengthen over the next 48 hours and could become a hurricane within that timeHurricane Center, Isaac is forecast to rapidly strengthen over the next 48 hours and could become a hurricane within that timehurricane within that time - frame.
AER scientists have developed techniques to process an ensemble of over fifty tropical cyclone track forecasts from all leading US and international hurricane modeling centers.
More Details about this video animation The video animation shows the near surface (10m) winds and rainfall intensity over the Gulf of Mexico and the surrounding land areas during the main development phase of Hurricane Katrina, August 24 - 30, 2005, based on NCEP - GFS forecast model analyses.
«My interaction (over the years) with a broad segment of AMS members (that I have met as a result of my seasonal hurricane forecasting and other activities) who have spent a sizable portion of their careers down in the meteorological trenches of observations and forecasting, have indicated that a majority of them do not agree that humans are the primary cause of global warming.
To forecast the track that a tropical storm or hurricane will take, forecasters need to know how the large - scale weather pattern will evolve over a particular period of time.
Over the past 20 years, significant advances have been made in the science of hurricane track forecasting.
Retrospective decadal predictions with DePreSys show improvements over uninitialised forecasts, including global average temperature and Atlantic hurricane frequency.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.