Sentences with phrase «hurricane track forecasting»

Over the past 20 years, significant advances have been made in the science of hurricane track forecasting.

My main point point though is that hurricane track forecasts are not characteristically perfect four days out and NOAA should be cautious in how it spins a specific forecast at that range.

Not exact matches

The best historical analogue for a hurricane that follows NHC's 5 pm EDT Friday track and intensity forecast for Irma may be Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 mhurricane that follows NHC's 5 pm EDT Friday track and intensity forecast for Irma may be Hurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 mHurricane Donna of 1960, which tore through the Florida Keys just northeast of Marathon as a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds.

UAlbany researchers are helping the National Hurricane Center track Hurricane Irma and are creating forecast models to try and determine where the superstorm could make landfall.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami has generated a forecast track for Hurricane Joaquin that closely follows the path Superstorm Sandy took, raising a New York City strike higher on the list of possibilities.

But she also warned that spending cuts enacted by Congress threaten NOAA's ability to produce detailed hurricane forecasts and track storms in the future.

Their data will be used in computer models to improve weather forecasts, including hurricane tracks and intensities, severe thunderstorms and floods.

In the 25 years since Hurricane Andrew devastated southeastern Florida, the 3 - day track forecast for hurricanes has improved by 65 percent, she said.

Another model replaces the retiring Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Hurricane Model after 22 years, and it also improves track and intensity forecasts.

More than 13 years in the making, the center is designed to be the U.S. government's nerve center for a range of activities, including predicting hurricane tracks and forecasting ocean currents.

Scientists around the globe turn to the EOS satellite data for purposes as diverse as wildfire tracking, prioritizing land for conservation, and forecasting hurricanes.

The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP), which began in 2009, is an effort to improve the service's ability to forecast hurricane tracks and intensity further inHurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP), which began in 2009, is an effort to improve the service's ability to forecast hurricane tracks and intensity further inhurricane tracks and intensity further in advance.

The forecast track of Hurricane Irma as of Thursday afternoon / / Map by the National Hurricane Center

Map of Hurricane Maria's forecast track as of Tuesday morning / / Map by the National Hurricane Center

It isn't possible today (12/28/2006) to confidently predict the date, intensity and track for the first hurricane of 2007 (weather), but forecasts can be made for the 2007 hurricane season (climate).

-- Kerry Emanuel, who has been studying hurricanes and climate change for decades, has a great page on his Web site at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology consolidating the many competing computer model runs aiming to forecast the strength and track of tropical storms.

Here's the scene in the Miami forecasting center, which illustrates why the midpoint of hurricane forecast tracks is relatively meaningless:

In the meantime, keep a weather eye on the Web site of the National Hurricane Center and Kerry Emanuel's page at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which collects a variety of forecasts of storm strengths and tracks.

In following the course of projections for this storm, and then the burst of criticism about failed intensity forecasts, I was brought back to the hours I spent with meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromHurricane Center in September, 2004, as they tracked the course of Hurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromHurricane Ivan (shortly before I headed to Alabama to cover its landfall as a major hurricane; here's a narrated report I filed fromhurricane; here's a narrated report I filed from Mobile).

Here's the scene in the Miami forecasting center, which illustrates why the midpoint of hurricane forecast tracks is relatively meaningless: Read more...

1:01 p.m. Various updates below With the tropical storm that will soon be Hurricane Isaac heading in the general direction of New Orleans seven years (possibly to the day) after Hurricane Katrina topped the flood protections there, I looked back at the archived track forecasts for the 2005 storm and posted the link on Twitter and Facebook.

The hurricane / typhoon forecasts currently predict pretty well the future track of the storms for some 3 days ahead.

That data, scientists said at the Nov. 10 briefing, can be used to improve hurricane forecasting by providing more data and in a more timely manner than possible with other satellites or hurricane - tracking aircraft.

AER scientists have developed techniques to process an ensemble of over fifty tropical cyclone track forecasts from all leading US and international hurricane modeling centers.

Lexington, Massachusetts — May 31, 2007 — Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc. (AER) a leader in climate and weather forecasting, is pleased to introduce hCast - SR ™, a probabilistic hurricane tracking service for trading the new CME (NYSE, NASDAQ: CME) futures and options on futures contracts based on the Carvill Hurricane Index (CHI ™), in time for the 2007 Hurricanhurricane tracking service for trading the new CME (NYSE, NASDAQ: CME) futures and options on futures contracts based on the Carvill Hurricane Index (CHI ™), in time for the 2007 HurricanHurricane Index (CHI ™), in time for the 2007 HurricaneHurricane Season.

«A hurricane of this magnitude will have impacts extending far from its center, so it's important for residents not to focus on the exact forecast track but to consider the system as a whole,» he said.

The HFIP aims to cut the average errors of hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 percent within five years and by 50 percent by 2019, within a seven - day forecast period.

To forecast the track that a tropical storm or hurricane will take, forecasters need to know how the large - scale weather pattern will evolve over a particular period of time.

Since becoming operational in 1995, the GFDL hurricane model has played a major role in improving hurricane prediction, resulting in a significant reduction in track forecast error.

The GFDL hurricane model had the most reliable track guidance and smallest track forecast errors through 3 days lead time and was near the top of the pack at 4 - and 5 - day lead time.

The figure above compares the average track forecast errors in the Atlantic Ocean basin during the past six hurricane seasons for the most reliable computer models available to the National Hurricane Center during thihurricane seasons for the most reliable computer models available to the National Hurricane Center during thiHurricane Center during this period.

I understand your point but please keep in mind that the average hurricane forecast track error three days out is on the order of 300 miles (thus the «cone of error» indicated on NHC charts).

The 12 - hour control forecast was used as pseudo-observations to displace the 6 - hour control forecast forward along the hurricane's track.

Frank Marks, head of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), who flew into Andrew to assess its strength as it approached Florida, agreed that as track forecasts improve, intensity and structure have to become the focus of research.

According to NOAA, the specific goals of the HFIP are to reduce the average errors of both hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 % within five years and 50 % in 10 years, with a forecast period out to seven days.

James Franklin, chief of forecast operations at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, said forecasters, at least, are ready for this season, having made significant improvements in hurricane - track forecasts in receHurricane Center in Miami, said forecasters, at least, are ready for this season, having made significant improvements in hurricane - track forecasts in recehurricane - track forecasts in recent years.

By deriving detailed meaning and clarity from new instrument technologies, we have improved weather forecasting, severe storm tracking for hurricanes and understanding of the Earth's climate and advanced meteorological research.

NHC director Bill Read stated in a interview this week that had Hurricane Irene come along before the recent improvements in track forecasting, hurricane warnings would have been issued for the entire Florida, Georgia, and South CarolinHurricane Irene come along before the recent improvements in track forecasting, hurricane warnings would have been issued for the entire Florida, Georgia, and South Carolinhurricane warnings would have been issued for the entire Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina coasts.