Sentences with phrase «hurricane trends with»
In this article, I will review our current understanding of Atlantic TC and hurricane trends with respect to: A) the historical record of basin - wide TC numbers; B) the historical record of hurricanes and TC intensity; C) distant past proxy estimates of TC (primarily, hurricane only) counts; and D) distant past proxy measures of TC / hurricane intensity.
http://www.realclimate.org/ Not exact matches
«Even if we take the extreme of these error estimates, we are left with a significant trend since 1890 and a significant trend in major hurricanes starting anytime before 1920,» say atmospheric scientists Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., and Peter Webster of the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta.
This trend is likely to continue, the researchers said, adding that major coastal disasters such as Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and Superstorm Sandy in 2012 already have indicated the possibly increasing risks associated with settling in the country's low - lying coastal areas.
Globally, estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes show a significant upward trend since the mid-1970s, with a trend towards longer lifetimes and greater storm intensity, and such trends are strongly correlated with tropical SST.
Since the mid 1970's, global estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes show an upward trend strongly correlated with increasing tropical sea - surface temperature.
When I adopted two kittens from a shelter a couple of weeks ago — both as adorable as anything can possibly be, but with the relentless destructive energy of two tiny hurricanes — I didn't realize that I was bucking a trend: America's pet population is dropping, apparently (like so many things today) a casualty of our uncertain economy.
If one examines our model's control simulations for the 1982 - 2006 period, which show a trend towards increasing hurricane activity over this period, and correlates this activity with SST in the Main Development Region, and then tries to use this correlation to predict the 21st century behavior of the model, it clearly doesn't work.
While I agree with Roger Pielke, Jr. that settlement trends are the primary cause of increases in US hurricane damages, I do not agree that resettlement should be pursued «instead of» reduction of GHG emissions.
With respect to hurricane intensity, there are observed trends indicating this and model results predicting this, and while there are problems in each (data problems with hurricanes, coarse resolution in global models, etc.), theoretical arguments also make clear that there will be more energy and water vapor available in the atmosphere to cause more intense hurricanes, so a very strong case can be made for this happenWith respect to hurricane intensity, there are observed trends indicating this and model results predicting this, and while there are problems in each (data problems with hurricanes, coarse resolution in global models, etc.), theoretical arguments also make clear that there will be more energy and water vapor available in the atmosphere to cause more intense hurricanes, so a very strong case can be made for this happenwith hurricanes, coarse resolution in global models, etc.), theoretical arguments also make clear that there will be more energy and water vapor available in the atmosphere to cause more intense hurricanes, so a very strong case can be made for this happening.
Atmospheric scientist Clifford Mass of the University of Washington also has a problem with Munich Re's findings, saying that once the data are adjusted for population there is no recent upward trend in tornado or hurricane damages.
Their analysis in these papers is fairly primitive compared with that being done for hurricanes and is complicated by the possibility that long term patterns unrelated to GHG's (AO, NAO, PDO) could bias the trend.
The null hypothesis works the other way: in this case, the null hypothesis is that no trend exists in hurricanes in connection with observed 0.5 °C warming; if you can not reject that hypothesis, as the authors say you can't, then it is useless to linger on any theory of «how» (or why) it happens.
Hurricane Harvey is consistent with the trends described in the previous section.
If there is a trend I could be convinced otherwise I disagree with Governor Cuomo's comment that «there is a pattern of extreme weather that we've never seen before» — reiterating his comments in the wake of hurricane Sandy, when he said that «anyone who says there's not a dramatic change in weather patterns is probably denying reality.»
Hi Jane Girl, Thank you for your comment, but can I ask, is there a particular part of our analysis of the debate over hurricane (& tropical cyclone) trends that you disagree with?
But the point of the whole op - ed piece, as well as the Science paper, was that our recent history is, in fact, consistent with our current projections of long - term trends towards stronger hurricanes worldwide.
71 William M. Gray, John D. Sheaffer, Christopher W. Landsea, «Climate trends associated with multi-decadal variability of Atlantic hurricane activity,» pp.15 - 53 in Hurricanes: Climate and Socioeconomic Impacts.
Moreover, 370 years of tropical cyclone data from the Lesser Antilles (the eastern Caribbean island chain that bisects the main development region for landfalling U.S. hurricanes) show no long - term trend in either power or frequency but a 50 - to 70 - year wave pattern associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, a mode of natural climate variability.
I have traced many hurricanes individually against the GAPV trend, when the GAPV increases the hurricane intensity increases, the hurricane intensity peaks in time with the GAPV peak, and both fall together.
One would be foolish to make plans that have to deal with U.S. hurricane risk without accounting for the evidence that the underlying risk is increasing, whether or not actuarial trends have yet emerged at the 95 percent confidence level.
Globally, estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes show a signifi cant upward trend since the mid-1970s, with a trend towards longer lifetimes and greater storm intensity, and such trends are strongly correlated with tropical SST.
I suggested, based on work available on NOAA websites, that the only reason there is an upward trend is that with satellites, we can detect hurricanes far in the ocean that would have been undetected previously.
Follow the link provided to view articles and research by GFDL scientists associated with hurricane modeling, movement, activity, formation, trends, development, and intensity.
Mark Saunders of Tropical Storm Risk at the University College of London, UK, disagrees with Wang and Lee's assessment that landfall is a more accurate indicator of the long - term trends in hurricane numbers.
To help address these challenges, scientists run hurricane models calibrated with observations over the historical period to project future trends and understand the major factors driving these trends.
Continuing a charitable trend, Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced that the Cupertino company is donating $ 2.5 million to the Red Cross to help with relief efforts for victims of Hurricane Sandy.
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