Here are examples of two papers that don't seem to have huge gaping flaws, and cover the data and the modeling of
hydrologic changes:
Additionally, simulated
hydrologic changes from the GCM — BCSD - driven Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model were compared to the CRCM integrated Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) output.
Overall, the GCM — BCSD — VIC approach, for now, remains the preferred approach for projecting basin - scale future
hydrologic changes, provided that it explicitly accounts for the biases and includes plausible snow and runoff parameterizations.
The same principle may not apply to desertification and
hydrologic changes, as indicated by the examples in the paper.
«They're accurately capturing the spatial patterns in
hydrologic changes, and they've got the basic physics right.
Human - induced climate and
hydrologic change is likely to make many parts of the world uninhabitable, or at least uneconomic.
It is commonly thought that
hydrologic change is driven by precipitation and radiation changes caused by climate change, and that as the land surface adjusts, rising temperatures and lower precipitation will make the planet drier.
I was removed by NOAA NWS for doing research on climate and
hydrologic change on July 15, 2005.
I believe that I was harassed by my supervisor and others in NWS for over a year after the suspension, related to my concerns on climate and
hydrologic change as that can affect hydrologic modeling which NWS river forecast centers uses for flood and water supply forecasting.
I removed as a federal employee in July of 2005 for objecting to not be able to study or talk about climate and
hydrologic change while at the office.
My studies on climate and
hydrologic change in the Upper Midwest, and my operational experience with snowmelt runoff and flooding (1976 - 2000), convinced me to do a poster on
hydrologic change in the Upper Midwest for the gathering in 2000 (a later article in 2003 is at http://www.mnforsustain.org).
Biogeochemical evidence for
hydrologic change during the Holocene in a lake sediment record from southeast Greenland., The Holocene, 23, 1428 - 1439.
My comments led to the first of four suspensions issued to me as result of my trying to research and speak about climate and
hydrologic change in Minnesota and global warming.
I stepped up in a US national press release in Oct 2003 about climate and
hydrologic change in the Upper Midwest and global warming: http://releases.usnewswire.com/GetRelease.asp?id=22702
Not exact matches
Dr. Jefferson's research focuses on urban watersheds and stormwater management,
hydrologic responses to climate variability and
change, and landscape evolution.
The scientists analyzed 76 years of data (1938 through 2013) collected from six unmanaged, reference watersheds at the SRS Coweeta
Hydrologic Laboratory located in the southern Appalachian Mountains in North Carolina, to determine whether annual water yield from those watersheds has
changed over time, and if so, to determine causes for significant
changes.
Keiluweit, assistant professor in UMass Amherst's School of Earth and Sustainability, says the team's next steps include quantifying the amount of anaerobic microsites in different soil ecosystems and assessing how carbon stabilization in them is affected by variables such as the soil
hydrologic regime, which is expected to
change dramatically due to climate
change.
«Our finding that vegetation plays a key role future in terrestrial
hydrologic response and water stress is of utmost importance to properly predict future dryness and water resources,» says Gentine, whose research focuses on the relationship between hydrology and atmospheric science, land / atmosphere interaction, and its impact on climate
change.
Bridget Scanlon discusses the use of global
hydrologic models for studying
changes in water storage worldwide.
Modeling
changes in the observed harmonic frequencies indicates that the spectral characteristics of seismic data can provide important information about hydraulic fracture geometry and fluid pressure at depth, leading to important insights into subglacial
hydrologic processes.
Understanding how human water use would respond to global warming and its combined effects on the
hydrologic cycle is important for better designing mitigation and adaption strategies to the global
change in the future.
Investigates
changes in Arctic
hydrologic system, feedback mechanisms, and impacts on Arctic organisms.
The team was able to demonstrate that the loss of species is related to
changes in the
hydrologic regime resulting from the conversion of forested areas to agricultural land.
They have provided a much better understanding of
hydrologic responses to climate
change, which in turn will provide tremendous guidance for future planning.»
From the Prize Council: «If we are going to talk about hydrology in the 21st century, and the challenges hydrologists face, clearly the overwhelming challenge is to understand
hydrologic variability, and the likely impact on hydrology of anticipated climate
change.
Here's the problem forests and forest managers face under climate
change: Increasing global mean temperatures,
changes in precipitation, and the
hydrologic cycle are expected to lead to temperature and drought stress for many tree species.
A few things are unequivocal, perhaps (doubling from the present concentration of CO2 will take 140 years [give or take]; the idea that the
changes in climate since 1880 have been in the aggregate beneficial; it takes more energy to vaporize a kg of water than to raise its temperature by 1K; ignoring the energy cost of water and latent heat transport [in the
hydrologic cycle] leads to equilibrium calculations overestimating the climate sensitivity), but most are propositions that I think need more research, but can't be refuted on present evidence.
I encountered «great difficulties» from Jan of 2000 until July of 2005 as a result of my concerns with climate
change effects on
hydrologic modeling and flood prediction.
The issue with the Mauritsen and Stevens piece is that it tries to go well beyond a «what if» modeling experiment, and attempts to make contact with a lot of other issues related to historical climate
change (the hiatus,
changes in the
hydrologic cycle, observed tropical lapse rate «hotspot» stuff,
changes in the atmsopheric circulation, etc) by means of what the «iris» should look like in other climate signals.
The
hydrologic cycle can
change because of
changes in plant cover — it's a common observation that after a forest fire or logging, streams and springs will flow higher and longer for a period of years.
If so, I think we want to include tightly coupled chemical and biological processes, in that case — for example, the chemical fate of atmospheric methane over time, the effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 on oceanic acid - base chemistry, and the response of the biological components of the carbon cycle to increased temperatures and a
changing hydrologic cycle.
Energetic constraints and response of
hydrologic cycle to climate
change.
The pattern of
change for the wettest day of the year is projected to roughly follow that of the average precipitation, with both increases and decreases across the U.S. Extreme
hydrologic events are projected to increase over most of the U.S.
Shrestha, R. R., M. A. Schnorbus, A. T. Werner, and A. J. Berland, 2012: Modelling spatial and temporal variability of
hydrologic impacts of climate
change in the Fraser River basin, British Columbia, Canada.
The
Hydrologic Impacts theme is concerned with estimating the effects of climate variability and change on water resources using downscaled global climate models and hydrolog
Hydrologic Impacts theme is concerned with estimating the effects of climate variability and
change on water resources using downscaled global climate models and
hydrologichydrologic models.
Schnorbus, M. A., K. E. Bennett, A. T. Werner, and A. J. Berland, 2011:
Hydrologic Impacts of Climate
Change in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia Watersheds, British Columbia, Canada.
Any mass balance
changes occurring before the actual accumulation season begins is a measured mass loss or gain for the next
hydrologic year.
With the impact of climate
change, sole reliance on historical
hydrologic weather patterns is no longer a viable forecast for water authorities.
Also, he should define what he means by «climate
change» in terms of time and space scales, and of what specific societally and environmentally relevant metrics (such as
hydrologic drought; agricultural drought; large basin river floods, etc) he is focusing on.
Here Huntington et al. measured how climate
change alters
hydrologic conditions in New England and affects DOC transport into the Gulf of Maine.
Researchers at CIRES» National Snow and Ice Data Center [About NSIDC] investigate the dynamics of Antarctic ice shelves, new techniques for the remote sensing of snow and freeze / thaw cycle of soils, the role of snow in
hydrologic modeling, linkages between
changes in sea ice extent and weather patterns, large - scale shifts in polar climate, river and lake ice, and the distribution and characteristics of seasonally and permanently frozen ground.
Dr Lenton (who is also one of the creators of the planetary - boundaries concept) and Dr Watson suggest that energy might be used to
change the
hydrologic cycle with massive desalination equipment, or to speed up the carbon cycle by drawing down atmospheric carbon dioxide, or to drive new recycling systems devoted to tin and copper and the many other metals as vital to industrial life as carbon and nitrogen are to living tissue.
Hydrologic modeling is performed by the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model at a 1/8 ° resolution and the model is driven by climate scenarios provided by the North American Regional Climate
Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) including nine regional climate model (RCM) simulations.
Hydrologic modelling has been applied to assess the impacts of projected climate
change within three study areas in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia River watersheds of British Columbia, Canada.
Modelling spatial and temporal variability of
hydrologic impacts of climate
change in the Fraser River basin, British Columbia, Canada.
Their work involved using a
hydrologic model that included a simple representation of glaciers, run by statistically - downscaled output from global climate models, in order to come up with projected
changes to evaporation, precipitation, runoff, snow, soil moisture and temperature in the Canadian portion of the Columbia River Basin.
The aim of the
Hydrologic Impacts (HI) theme at PCIC is to quantify the effect of climate
change and climate variability on regional hydrology in order to provide analysis and information relevant to water resources management.
During this time, Markus developed a clear and pragmatic appreciation of the
hydrologic effects of climate
change and variability.
Evaluating hydro - climatic impacts of climate
change signals from statistically and dynamically downscaled GCMs and
hydrologic models.
The work of the theme anticipates the need to provide information on multiple time and spatial scales and the requirement to understand potential
changes in extreme
hydrologic events.