Given the above assumptions for retirement age, planning age, wage growth and income replacement targets, the results were successful in 9 out of 10
hypothetical market conditions where the average equity allocation over the investment horizon was more than 50 % for the hypothetical portfolio.
The price dynamics seen in
our hypothetical market are obviously different from the price dynamics seen in real markets.
What we have in
our hypothetical market is an obvious arbitrage — go with the passive fund, and earn an extra 1 % per year in expected return, with no strings attached.
To illustrate that point, let's analyze a situation of
a hypothetical market timing investor who invested into PTTAX on September 28, 2012 (the last trading day of that month) and did not pay the front load of the fund.
Yet I often hear criticism of market - cap weighting, presumably because modern portfolio theory (MPT) postulates
a hypothetical market portfolio as efficient in the mean - variance sense.
Given the above assumptions for retirement age, planning age, wage growth, and income replacement targets, the results were successful in 9 out of 10
hypothetical market conditions where the average equity allocation over the investment horizon was more than 50 % for the hypothetical portfolio.
These net liabilities are calculated with an internal model using many scenarios to determine the fair value of amounts estimated to be paid, less the fair value of net future premiums estimated to be received, adjusted for risk and profit charges that the Company anticipates
a hypothetical market participant would require to assume this business.
That kind of long wavelength doesn't really bode well for
my hypothetical market timing system.
Given the above assumptions for retirement age, planning age, wage growth, and income replacement targets, the results were successful in nine out of 10
hypothetical market conditions where the average equity allocation over the investment horizon was more than 50 % for the hypothetical portfolio.
Not exact matches
If that small
hypothetical company limited itself to newspaper ads and fliers, they would be limiting their
marketing pool to a specific geographic area.
What amazes me is that these
hypothetical investors would be considered some of the smartest around, investing steadily every month no matter what the
market was doing, for decades on end.
An investor who panicked and only later re-entered the
market would have found that his bank account at the end of the bet was a lot smaller than a
hypothetical account in which he earned the index - fund returns for the whole period.»
Microsoft product
marketing manager Laura Jones then gave a demo of a
hypothetical - Teams app powered by the Microsoft Graph that works across several devices.
Microsoft's Project Scorpio is at this point still a collection of claims, so with its 6 teraflops of GPU performance (versus PlayStation 4 Pro's notably lower but officially designated 4.2 teraflops), we're contrasting a
hypothetical, presumably incomplete product with an imminent
market - ready one.
Suppose, for the sake of argument, that Canadian automotive assemblers will lose
market share in the United States because American tariffs on cars assembled in Japan are lowered (and, again, this is only a
hypothetical).
Imagine 2
hypothetical investors — an investor who panicked, slashed his equity allocation from 90 % to 20 % during the bear
markets in 2002 and 2008, and subsequently waited until the
market recovered before moving his stock allocation back to a target level of 90 %; and an investor who stayed the course during the bear
markets with a 60/40 allocation of stocks and bonds.4
To be sure, these are all
hypotheticals for now, and the bond
market has overcome multiple bouts of nausea in the past six years, from 2013's «taper tantrum» to October 2014's «flash crash» and other hiccups before and after.
Take a look at the table below, which shows
hypothetical examples of how different strike prices and volatilities could affect CSEPs under various
market conditions.
To get a sense of what's at stake when you pull out of the
market, even temporarily, during a bear
market, the Schwab Center for Financial Research compared the returns from four
hypothetical portfolios:
The
hypothetical failure of the natural fee
market depends on all these assumptions combining into an unfavorable outcome, as well as the inability of the system to adjust itself favorably using any of these factors.
Let's look at how a
hypothetical portfolio made up of 70 % in stocks and 30 % in bonds would fair with a large stock
market loss at different levels of bond returns:
Cumulative
market value illustrates a
hypothetical total return for an initial investment of $ 10,000.
Again, this is all a
hypothetical, but if some of this «sense» around said USD «bull driver» turning potentially bearish was to «leak» into the
market, it would take some of the air out of the «long USD» trade — and that is where things could go off the rails.
In Figure 1, we break down an estimate of the peak annual sales revenues for a
hypothetical biotech drug in a competitive
market with a potential
market size of 1 million patients, an estimated sales price of $ 20,000 per year and a royalty rate of 10 %.
Defining the
hypothetical buyer's motive will allow the team to write more specifically and accurately for
marketing to sales.
They are, after all, «
hypothetical» and if you are being held accountable for a budget to
market your company's solutions — would you bet millions of dollars on «
hypothetical»?
Now let's go through an example showing how a
hypothetical portfolio would have fared through different stock
market periods and time horizons.
I just don't see how that
hypothetical future coffee farmer would be induced to supply for a different
market (non fair trade) just because the fair trade
market is lucrative.
... I do not consider that the delineation of the
market should be limited by reference to packaged groceries... Nor do I consider that it is appropriate to apply the
hypothetical monopolist test to the margin made by Metcash on the supply of packaged groceries, so defined, rather than to the wholesale price charged by Metcash for the supply of packaged groceries or any other goods supplied by it to retailers.
But how many of you actually think that Kroenke and Co. would fully back Klopp in the
market if he failed to deliver CL football which is a very, very large possibility in his
hypothetical first season at the club??
For many years the dialogue of «to legalise or not to legalise» has been wholly
hypothetical and taboo, but this year saw Uruguay nail its colours firmly to the mast by being the first state to fully regulate their cannabis
market.
While I suspect that
market forces make run insurance financially inviable, it would be nice if you could provide some citations or some maths based on previous instances of this kind of thing to demonstrate your points, though I recognize that it may be difficult given that OP is asking about a
hypothetical others may not have considered.
If you'd like to see our list of
hypotheticals that could lead to a better reception of Black Ops IV, check our article: 12 Ways Call of Duty: Black Ops 4 Can Blast Into Red Dead Redemption 2's
Market Share.
R Programming applications compass the universe from
hypothetical, computational statistics and the hard sciences, for example, astronomy, chemistry, and genomics to practical applications in business, drug advancement, finance, health care,
marketing, medicine and much more.
In that second post, I presented two
hypothetical portfolios — one similar to my own, and another made from the ten largest companies in Canada by
market cap.
No matter how many houses you can afford to build on Pennsylvania Avenue with your simulated money and no matter how many rail roads you've had to mortgage to pay the rent, the
hypothetical results you've attained in your simulated trading do NOT, and never will, indicate future results in the live
markets or any
markets for that matter (thanks for reading through the board game references, I'll keep it to a minimum from now on).
Retirement Analysis, including the Retirement Preparedness Measure (RPM), is based on information you provided and certain assumptions, including
market performance assumptions based on
hypothetical scenarios using historical index data.
SR CounterTrend II Nine
Market Portfolio
Hypothetical Performance Summary $ 25 Round Turn Slippage and Commission
Before diving into the topic, we should look into
hypothetical history and imagine that stock prices never dive and the
market simply had a smooth ascent instead of plummeting every few years.
Grains Swing Soybeans
Hypothetical Tradestation Performance Summary * Selective Entry, Hold Overnight, Hold Over Weekend, No Profit Target No Slippage or Commission * Electronic
market 8/1/2006 - 09/30/2016
This portfolio planner tool offers a broad range of capabilities like tracking the performance of your existing portfolio, comparing it with a
hypothetical portfolio or any selected index, monitoring your portfolio X-Ray and study in which global (geographically) regions did you invest, which
market sectors did you invest your money and much more.
Grains Swing Soybeans Tradestation
Hypothetical Performance Summary * Selective Entry, Hold Overnight, Hold Over Weekend, $ 400 Profit Target No Slippage or Commission * Electronic
market 08/01/2006 - 09/30/2016
Grains Swing Soybeans Tradestation
Hypothetical Performance Summary * Aggressive Entry, Hold Overnight, Hold Over Weekend, No Profit Target No Slippage or Commission * Electronic
market 08/01/2006 - 09/30/2016
Grains Swing Soybeans Tradestation
Hypothetical Performance Summary * Aggressive Entry, Hold Overnight, Hold Over Weekend, No Profit Target No Slippage or Commission * Pit
market 08/17/1984 — 07/31/2006
Grains Swing Soybeans Tradestation
Hypothetical Performance Summary * Selective Entry, Hold Overnight, Hold Over Weekend, No Profit Target No Slippage or Commission * Pit
market 8/17/1984 — 7/31/2006
Cumulative
market value illustrates a
hypothetical total return for an initial investment of $ 10,000.
THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE
MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CAN NOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN
An article in Barron's reports these findings, stating, «On average since the late 1920s this
hypothetical portfolio gained 15.1 % over the three months prior to bull
market peaks — equivalent to a 75.8 % return on an annualized basis.
I accepted his offer and wrote thirteen columns for him on topics such as a (
hypothetical) leveraged buyout of Bajaj Auto, the rigged
market in PSU stocks and special situations investing.
There are numerous other factors related to the
markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of
hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.