The regression - based forecast submitted by Tivy for the Greenland Sea (Figure 7) also shows a reduction in September sea
ice area compared to 2009 based on fall (Sep - Oct - Nov) sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic.
The article in The Independent makes its predictions based on the increased speed of reduction of the Sea
Ice Area compared to last year.
Not exact matches
A new University of Colorado Boulder study
comparing dissolved black carbon deposition on
ice and snow in ecosystems around the world (including Antarctica, the Arctic, and alpine regions of the Himalayas, Rockies, Andes, and Alps) shows that while concentrations vary widely, significant amounts can persist in both pristine and non-pristine
areas of snow.
So if you think of going in [a] warming direction of 2 degrees C
compared to a cooling direction of 5 degrees C, one can say that we might be changing the Earth, you know, like 40 percent of the kind of change that went on between the
Ice Age; and now are going back in time and so a 2 - degree change, which is about 4 degrees F on a global average, is going to be very significant in terms of change in the distribution of vegetation, change in the kind of climate zones in certain
areas, wind patterns can change, so where rainfall happens is going to shift.
Responses to climate - linked factual questions, such as whether Arctic sea
ice area has declined
compared with 30 years ago, were politicized as if we were asking for climate - change opinions.
Sea
ice in the Arctic, on which arctic animals hunt, rest, and reproduce, now covers 15 % less
area than it did in 1978; it has thinned to an average of 1.8 meters,
compared to 3.1 meters in the 1950s.
So that, while the surface
area may be greater this year
compared with last year, the volume of
ice in the Arctic this year is probably already less than at the same time last year.
Sea
ice covered a smaller
area in 2009
compared to 2008 until August, at which point
ice loss in 2008 surpassed 2009.
Max — I believe you did some of the math wrong by using only half of the Earth's surface to
compare with all of the
area with reduced sea
ice, which is why you seem to have overestimated the W / m2 reduction.
You CAN NOT directly
compare «arctic sea
ice area» against «Antarctic sea
ice area.»
This is consistent with both the June and July (Figure 3) ensemble predictions from a coupled
ice - ocean model submitted by Zhang, which show considerably more
ice in the East Siberian Sea
compared to 2009, and it is consistent with the June statistical forecasts submitted by Tivy, which also predict a greater
ice area than in 2009 and above - normal
ice concentrations along the coasts.
The latest prediction from the
ice - ocean model submitted this month by Zhang has an
ice area much closer to 2009
compared to the June submission.
Compared with the median
ice cover from 1981 - 2010, 2013's Arctic sea
ice loss comes out to approximately 1.74 times the land
area of Texas.
From that link's words, the DMI «green line» IS the best way to consistently
compare the daily estimate of NORTH
areas of the arctic — those
areas north of 70 latitude to 83 north latitude NASA - GISS extrapolates «surface» ground - based temperatures as far as 1200 km from where their land - based measurements were made from 60 - 70 latitude over the ever - greening (and darker) tundra and forests OUT to the open sea where where the arctic sea
ice actually is present.
The darkness of land and water
compared with the reflectiveness of snow and
ice means that when the latter melt to reveal the former, the
area exposed absorbs more heat from the sun and reflects less of it back into space.
«By doing it 100 times, which is something of course we can't do with the real world, they were able to generate statistics that showed the extra cold winters in Asia were twice as likely to occur when they put reduced sea
ice in the Barents - Kara Sea, as
compared to when there was lots of
ice in that
area.»
The melt - pond
area in May and in the beginning of June has been low due to colder air temperatures and thicker
ice in the relevant
areas of the Arctic
compared to the last 5 years.
As pointed out by several investigators in the batch of May outlooks, the
area of multi-year
ice entering summer 2008 is reduced
compared to 2007.
The
ice retreat in the East Siberian Sea will be late
compared with the last year because the
area is covered by thicker
ice piled up by the winter convergence of sea
ice.
Comparing the reconstructions, the correlation of ABS
ice area with the WA temperature timeseries is r = − 0.58 (P < 0.05) for STEIGv1, − 0.58 (P < 0.05) for STEIGv2, and − 0.40 (P < 0.10) for CHAPMAN.
Timeseries of spring temperature anomalies for the WA region from the M10 data (red line and left y - axis)
compared with sea
ice area in the ABS for SON (blue line and right y - axis)
While amplified warming does occur in cities and is an important local phenomenon, cities occupy only a small fraction of the planet
compared to the vast
area of oceans,
ice caps, uninhabited mountains, and rural landscapes.
My own view is that the initiating mechanism is not small shifts in insolation hitting some kind of trigger related to snow albedo (the land - sea snow -
ice area is relatively small
compared to potential shifts in cloud amount and spatial distribution)-- rather it is shifts in global winds which likely relate to shifts in the jetstream (linked to...?
I
compared current arctic
ice coverage
area with the last ten years.
Compared to the decade previous, this summer's Arctic summer
ice loss of 4.1 mKm2 sea
ice plus ~ 1.5 m km2 of land
ice melting, on Greenland and other Arctic islands, considerably exceeds 1 % of the
area of the Earth
In 2002, the Larsen B
ice shelf collapsed; in 2003, the World Glacial Monitoring Service reported that «The recent increase in the rates of
ice loss over reduced glacier surface
areas as
compared with earlier losses related to larger surface
areas (cf. the thorough revision of available data by Dyurgerov, 2002) becomes even more pronounced and leaves no doubt about the accelerating change in climatic conditions.»
Anderson (Norwegian Space Center); 4.1; Statistical Prediction is based on the relationship between melting and freezing in the Arctic by
comparing winter maximum sea
ice area with the summer minimum sea
ice area.