Not exact matches
The paper, to
appear Sept. 14 in The Cryosphere, is the first to quantify the sea
ice changes in each polar bear subpopulation across the entire Arctic region using metrics that are specifically relevant to polar bear biology.
There also
appears to be a strong correlation between the area of multiyear
ice and the spatially averaged thickness of the perennial
ice pack, which suggests that the satellite - derived areal decreases represent substantial rather than only peripheral
changes.
For example, the
ice ages during the last several million years — and the warmer periods in between —
appear to have been triggered by no more than a different seasonal and latitudinal distribution of the solar energy absorbed by the Earth, not by a
change in output from the sun.
Changes to Antarctic winds have already been linked to southern Australia's drying climate but now it
appears they may also have a profound impact on warming ocean temperatures under the
ice shelves along the coastline of West and East Antarctic.
As climate
change causes sea
ice to shrink, the number of «problem» polar bears
appears to be increasing.
These
ice shelves
appear to be extremely sensitive to climate
change.
The comet
appears to have undergone visible
changes, including the
changes in the size and number of surface features such as smooth patches, pits, and craters, and the loss of
ice vaporized by the Sun or blasted off its surface by the Solar Wind into its tail as well as failing back on the object like snow, so that it
appears to shrink, on average, by 25 to 50 centimeters (9.2 to 19.7 inches) with each orbit around the Sun.
And given that much of this is related to the loss of polar
ice, a
changing climate would
appear to be at least partly — although perhaps not wholly — responsible.
[Andy Revkin — Above, Mr. McCain
appears to be using references to observed
changes in
ice and climate to fend off potential criticism from a small, but vocal array of climate scientists and conservative or anti-regulatory groups that disparage computer simulations showing the consequences of rising greenhouse - gas concentrations.]
... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland
Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet
appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small increases in CO2 concentration and global mean temperature... Polar amplification occurs if the magnitude of zonally averaged surface temperature
change at high latitudes exceeds the globally averaged temperature
change, in response to climate forcings and on time scales greater than the annual cycle.
Even in the absence of huge amounts of carbon dioxide as a forcing mechanism, he said, there still
appear to be trigger points that, once passed, can produce rapid warming through feedbacks such as
changes in sea
ice and the reflectivity of the Earth's surface.
Around 2002 the sea
ice dynamics shows some interesting
changes, with what
appear to be orthogonal shock waves across the
ice pumping cycles.
The study also noted a 10 percent rise in the area of sea
ice around the continent since 1980, which the authors said
appears related to
changes in winds ascribed to the depletion of the ozone layer there.
Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar
ice caps), a lot of things
appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger precipitation
changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
The colonization of new rivers by pink salmon is just one of many
changes in fish and crab stocks that
appear linked to retreating sea
ice and warming waters in the Chukchi Sea and, farther south, the Bering Sea.
Consider the
ice ages, the alleged cause in this case is
changes in the earths orbit BUT the
ice ages are characterized by significant
changes in CO2 levels that would
appear to be the direct driver (i.e.» forcing») of the consequent climate
change.
Based on last year's estimate, the initial condition
change (thinning the
ice pack by 60 cm) did
appear to have improved the model's behavior and skill.
Research indicates that the Arctic had substantially less sea
ice during this period compared to present Current desert regions of Central Asia were extensively forested due to higher rainfall, and the warm temperate forest belts in China and Japan were extended northwards West African sediments additionally record the «African Humid Period», an interval between 16,000 and 6,000 years ago when Africa was much wetter due to a strengthening of the African monsoon While there do not
appear to have been significant temperature
changes at most low latitude sites, other climate
changes have been reported.
It
appears that Antarctic sea
ice changes in steps and that the current period is one of relative stability.
And science is emerging suggesting a link between the melting of Arctic sea
ice on one hand and faster warming in the region and
changes to the northern hemisphere jet stream on the other, explaining why some weather systems
appear to get «stuck in place» — to often - devastating effect.
The
ice ages
appear to relate to a
change in that
ice sheet driven by variations in the earth's orbit.
Polyak et al. (2010) looked at Arctic sea
ice changes throughout geologic history and noted that the current rate of loss
appears to be more rapid than natural variability can account for in the historical record.
(btw - the main problem with the students attitude may not be incompetence but simply the fact that they got so used to trust blindly what tv or experts tell them (especially when they
appear in groups) and that they can not imagine that there may be something wrong though even current scandals (VW - Diesel) or older failures (ozon - cfc /
ice age scare) or even the fact that thousands of scientists were more than willing to
change their ideology and citizenship (+ certain scientific believes) as it happened with «operation paperclip.
some parts of the globe
appear to be warming, other parts
appear to be cooling (notably the US
appears to have cooled since the 1930s / 40s), and some parts of the globe
appear to have undergone little if any
change (the Antarctic shows no warming for the entirety of the satellite record, and during that time Antarctic
ice appears to have increased, but not statistically).
It now
appears that Western Antarctic
ice shelf instability is due to volcanic and magmatic activity beneath it — not climate
change.
The interesting thing about the
change in date is that it
appears to be a lot closer to being in sync, whereas it is probably rate of
change ice area that will be in phase with temperature.
It
appears so many new Greenland
Ice papers are in the offing, and so much improvement in methodology, that we might see a virtual doubling in both the quality of the data and the span of time accurate mass
change data is available.
If the mechanism involves the persistence of Arctic summertime
ice, how will this be affected by anthropogenic temperature
changes that
appear to be driving the Arctic in the direction of increasing loss of summer
ice?
The modeled evolution of Arctic sea
ice volume
appears to be much stronger correlated with
changes in
ice thickness than with
ice extent as it shows a similar negative trend beginning around the mid-1990s.
«Much of our confidence stems from the fact that our model does well at predicting slow
changes in ocean heat transport and sea surface temperature in the sub-polar North Atlantic, and these
appear to impact the rate of sea
ice loss.
Trying once more with the inefficient scientific part of my brain to avoid overconcluding from the visual (not to mention short - term), I see the date on this link is easily
changed, so plan to have a good stare at a few years and see if there
appears to be a trend, remembering that this year there is more
ice to melt, and that means it's the sum not the detail that matters.
Some cooling on the EAIS also
appears to be connected with the ABS sea
ice trends, likely through organized patterns of atmospheric circulation
changes.
Small additional biases, discussed above, from
changes in sea
ice and differences in warming rates of SST and air just above the open ocean (which it
appears the Cowtan and Way dataset does not adjust for) might push up the bias marginally.
In addition, a study commissioned by Canada's Fisheries and Oceans Department examined the relationship between air temperature and sea
ice coverage, concluding, «the possible impact of global warming
appears to play a minor role in
changes to Arctic sea
ice.»
And ironically it
appears to be that tiny 0.01 W m - 2 orbital forcing that accounts for most of the visible
changes in climate - i.e. the melting of mid-high latitude
ice - reminding us again that treating the earth as a 0 - dimensional model responding to
changes in the global average forcing doesn't make sense.
«This is not a case of thicker
ice appearing in one region simultaneously with thinner
ice appearing in another, induced perhaps by a
change in surface winds or other transient conditions,» Dr. Rothrock said, noting that the decrease was widespread in the central Arctic Ocean, and most pronounced in the eastern Arctic.
Internal memorandums circulated in the Alaskan division of the Federal Fish and Wildlife Service
appear to require government biologists or other employees traveling in countries around the Arctic not to discuss climate
change, polar bears or sea
ice if they are not designated to do so.
Since there is about a 80ppm
change in atmospheric CO2 that lags «GMST» and that doesn't
appears to be due to southern hemisphere variations, the THC and NH sea
ice extent could be the link between the lag of CO2 to Temperature.
This would explain why abrupt
changes of the AMOC
appear to be pervasive features of the paleoclimate record when vast reservoirs of freshwater were available in the form of
ice and proglacial lakes on land.
Lockwood is merely pointing out that there
appears to be a regime
change in the dynamics of the solar cycle, and that this regime
change could plunge us into a little
ice - age of the type associated with the Maunder minimum.
Based on the understanding of both the physical processes that control key climate feedbacks (see Section 8.6.3), and also the origin of inter-model differences in the simulation of feedbacks (see Section 8.6.2), the following climate characteristics
appear to be particularly important: (i) for the water vapour and lapse rate feedbacks, the response of upper - tropospheric RH and lapse rate to interannual or decadal
changes in climate; (ii) for cloud feedbacks, the response of boundary - layer clouds and anvil clouds to a
change in surface or atmospheric conditions and the
change in cloud radiative properties associated with a
change in extratropical synoptic weather systems; (iii) for snow albedo feedbacks, the relationship between surface air temperature and snow melt over northern land areas during spring and (iv) for sea
ice feedbacks, the simulation of sea
ice thickness.
The fact that polar
ice is disappearing faster than predicted from the models along with permafrost decline and more besides seem to indicate to many climate scientists (who incidently
appear profously in the Fred Pearce book — the last generation) that human induced climate
change is happenning faster than can be explained by the primarily linear models.
The fact that the earth
appears to have gone through huge
changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration over geologic eras, while the estimated temps went from 12degC to 22 deg C regardless of «Snowball Earth» or «Cretaceous Hot House» with both hot and cold periods occurring during both high and low CO2 regimes and both with and without
ice caps argues very strongly that we do not understand the climate mechanism at all.
Indeed, the suggestion
appears to be that a cometary barrage causes various kinds of havoc, including the
ice sheet collapse that led to ocean circulation
change (the most well - evidenced proximal cause of rapid climate
change).
Ignoring the possible increase of «methane from permafrost» with warming for now, it
appears that NSIDC data tell us a) that northern hemisphere snow cover has not shown any statistical
change since the 1980s, b) that Arctic sea
ice has shrunk since measurements started in 1979 and c) that Antarctic sea
ice has grown gradually over this period.
Apart from climate
change and humidity, elevation also
appears to play a critical role in the lifespan of glaciers, which are large persistent bodies of
ice.
Sitting at high elevation in the tropics, the Quelccaya
ice cap
appears to be extremely sensitive to the temperature
changes, several scientists said.
Studies based on satellite observations do not provide unequivocal evidence concerning the mass balance of the East Antarctic
ice sheet; some
appear to indicate marginal thickening (Davis et al., 2005), while others indicate little
change (Zwally et al., 2005; Velicogna and Wahr, 2006; Wingham et al., 2006).