Compared to the long - term average, sea
ice concentration north of Alaska and eastern Siberia was especially low in 2010.
Not exact matches
It also eliminates much of the uncertainty surrounding potentially ill effects; whereas various mathematical models may disagree about when and at what
concentrations Arctic Ocean sea
ice disappears, they all agree that at roughly 3 degrees C of warming, the far
north will be
ice - free.
The AMO is likely to be a driver of multi-decadal variations in Sahel droughts, precipitation in the Caribbean, summer climate of both
North America and Europe, sea
ice concentration in the Greenland Sea and sea level pressure over the southern USA, the
North Atlantic and southern Europe (e.g., Venegas and Mysak, 2000; Goldenberg et al., 2001; Sutton and Hodson, 2005; Trenberth and Shea, 2006).
The forecast shows near - normal
ice concentrations in the marginal
ice zone and below normal
ice concentrations in the polar pack, however the skill of the model
north of ~ 80N isn't greater than chance.
A statistical forecast using a regression based approach with fall sea surface temperature anomalies in the
North Atlantic as the main predictor was submitted by Tivy (Figure 3) for
ice concentration anomalies in July in Hudson Bay.
Collecting
ice cores
north of Lulea, Sweden to measure the
concentration of microplastics and compare with the research results in Canada.
Arctic sea
ice extent reconstruction - Kinnard et al. 2011 Sea
ice albedo feedback - NASA Polar jet stream - NC State University Greenland
ice sheet surface melt - NASA Permafrost distribution in the Arctic - GRID - Arendal Atmospheric methane
concentration - NOAA ESRL Russia plants flag at
North Pole - Reuters
The greatest
concentration of
ice, outside of Greenland and Antarctica, resides in the regions
north of India and Pakistan, in the Himalaya and Karakoram glaciers.
Morison and Untersteiner (University of Washington); 5.6 Million Square Kilometers; Heuristic Estimate is based on recent observations, including the previous winter Arctic Oscillation (AO),
ice concentrations observed during
North Pole Environmental Observatory (NPEO) hydro surveys, atmospheric and
ice surface conditions observed with NPEO buoys and Web Cams, and recent
ice trajectories.
Note open water developing off Siberian and
North American coastlines, and areas of low
ice concentration in the central Arctic for the same day as seen in visible - range MODIS imagery (right panel, NASA MODIS Rapid Response System).
Using a statistical model based on canonical correlation analysis with fall sea surface temperature anomalies in the
North Atlantic as the main predictor, Tivy shows below - normal
ice concentrations throughout most of the region (Figure 12), which suggests an earlier - than - normal opening of the shipping season.
Arbetter et al. (
North American
Ice Service / National
Ice Center); 4.9 Million Square Kilometers; Statistical / Heuristic Despite the reasonably large current extent (14.665 million km2) and compact
concentration (12.461 million km2) in late April, the projected extent for mid-September is another near - record low (4.852 million km2).
Based on proxy records from
ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2
concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher than today14, air temperatures above the Greenland NEEM
ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the past millennium15,
North Atlantic sea - surface temperatures of about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI) temperatures12, 16, and a global sea level 5 — 9 m above the present sea level17.
Another difference is that in 2013 there were areas of decreased
concentration north of the Kara and Barents sea; this year, most of the Arctic sea
ice prevails at higher
concentrations, indicating a more consolidated and possibly thicker
ice cover, which is more resilient to melt and retreat.
The AMO is likely to be a driver of multi-decadal variations in Sahel droughts, precipitation in the Caribbean, summer climate of both
North America and Europe, sea
ice concentration in the Greenland Sea and sea level pressure over the southern USA, the
North Atlantic and southern Europe (e.g., Venegas and Mysak, 2000; Goldenberg et al., 2001; Sutton and Hodson, 2005; Trenberth and Shea, 2006).
The area around the
North Pole is
ice - covered — an assumption confirmed by many airborne and
ice - surface expeditions — but researchers use an average of the
concentration just outside the gap to estimate the extent within.
The AMSR - E image for 5 July (http://www.iup.uni-bremen.de:8084/amsr/amsre.html) is similar in extent and also shows lower
ice concentrations in the Canadian Beaufort Sea and
north along 130 ° E.
Continued melt of the first - year
ice north of the tongue of multi-year
ice in the Beaufort Sea is evident in the 16 August
ice concentration map (Figure 1).
Morison and Untersteiner (University of Washington); 5.6 Million Square Kilometers; Heuristic Estimate is unchanged from last month and is based on the previous winter Arctic Oscillation (AO),
ice concentrations observed during
North Pole Environmental Observatory (NPEO) hydro surveys, atmospheric and
ice surface conditions observed with NPEO buoys and Web Cams, and recent
ice trajectories.