Study: Ammonium as
ice core proxy shows strong Medieval Warm Period in the tropics.
Not exact matches
Note that Figure 1
shows only the
proxy record from the
ice core - no instrumental data is included.
Now the locations of avaialble
proxy data (tree rings,
ice cores, ocean sediment records, corals etc.) are not necessarily optimally spread out, but the spatial sampling error is actually quite easy to calculate, and goes into the error bars
shown on most reconstructions.
Your chart
shows the difference between the absolute temperature in 1895 as measured using the GISP2
ice core proxy, and the absolute temperature as measured at a nearby location using the thermometers in the 2000s, ie, the difference between the end of the GISP2 icecore and the higher of the two blue crosses in last graph in the original post.
«It potentially does,» admits Jones, but says that analyses using other methods —
proxy temperature markers from
ice core samples, for example — still
show much the same temperature change over the past 1,000 years, backing up Mann's hockey stick.
Independent non-thermometer data (so - called
proxies, like tree rings,
ice cores, ocean sediments, stalagmites, etc.) also
show no warming trend between 1978 and 2000.
Figure: Spaghetti graph
showing top - absolute contribution to MBH98 reconstruction (1400 - 1980 for AD1400 step
proxies) by the following groups: Asian tree rings; Australia tree rings; European
ice core; Bristlecones (and Gaspé); Greenland
ice core; non-bristlecone North American tree rings; South American
ice core; South American tree rings.
What if Callendar (and the
ice cores and other CO2
proxies) overestimated the real CO2 levels in the pre-Mauna Loa period and / or the temperature in reality was higher than Hadcrut3
shows?
This «new evidence» is based on a single analysis of «
proxy» data (that is, data that do not come from thermometers but rather from sources like tree rings,
ice cores, corals, and ocean and lake sediments)
showing the twentieth century to be the warmest in the past thousand years.
Tree rings, coral skeletons, and glacial
ice cores (Figure 3) are
proxies for annual temperature records, while boreholes (holes drilled deep into Earth's crust) can
show temperature shifts over longer periods of time.
Nancy, there are higher resolution
proxies, such as the Vostok
Ice Core, which do in fact
show lots of temperature spikes.
However, studies of paleoclimate
proxies, such as tree rings and
ice cores, have
shown that oscillations similar to those observed instrumentally have been occurring for at least the last millennium.
Note that Figure 1
shows only the
proxy record from the
ice core - no instrumental data is included.
Figure 9a
shows that all the
proxy (for p.CO2) are different from
ice cores, some of them — much -LRB-!).
Also, some
proxies show here that the last 3 million years, p.CO2 often could be similar — or higher — than the present (also in the period in which we have data from
ice cores).
Most of these
proxies don't extend as far back in time as the Antarctic
ice cores, but many do extend back to the last glacial - interglacial transition which began approximately 18,000 years ago, as Figure 1
shows.
Figure 1a in MBH98 (linked to in reference 5 above)
shows the geographic location of the
proxies - mostly tree rings - but with some coral sediments, bore hole and
ice core data, with land based instrumental records from 1902.
It is worth considering though that we do have several high resolution
proxy climate records from various regions around the world (think
ice cores), and if abrupt global warming events happened in the past, then we might expect these local records to
show them.....
Locations of
proxy records with data back to AD 1000, 1500 and 1750 (instrumental: red thermometers; tree ring: brown triangles; borehole: black circles;
ice core /
ice borehole: blue stars; other including low - resolution records: purple squares) that have been used to reconstruct NH or SH temperatures by studies
shown in Figure 6.10 (see Table 6.1, excluding O2005) or used to indicate SH regional temperatures (Figure 6.12).
The Vostok
ice core proxy record
shows that there has been substantial variability in temperature near the south pole throughout the Holocene.