Why don't you publish a global sea
ice extent number?
Please note that the Arctic sea
ice extent number for 2016 is preliminary — changing winds could still push the ice extent lower.
Although you really can't check this assertion since the data is not really available anywhere — the Cryosphere has some charts of sea ice area but where are the numbers — where are the sea
ice extent numbers.
At this time of year, sea
ice extent numbers are meaningless for polar bears.
Rob's correlation work demonstrates that «the June land snow cover signal is clearly present in the September
ice extent numbers.»
Not exact matches
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record year for melt area
extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a
number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed rate of sea level rise to the observed warming.
Though slightly larger than last year, the minimum sea
ice extent 2017 is average for the past ten years and far below the
numbers from 1979 to 2006.
A
number of recent studies linking changes in the North Atlantic ocean circulation to sea
ice extent led Yeager to think that it would also be possible to make decadal predictions for Arctic winter sea
ice cover using the NCAR - based Community Earth System Model...
... The
numbers of sea
ice extent in this site are estimates calculated by certain algorism.
Specifically, I use a formula based on physics of energy absorption, using snow cover, and June
ice extent / area
numbers.
Ice around Iceland (the number of weeks when ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic sea ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
Ice around Iceland (the
number of weeks when
ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic sea ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
ice was observed in this case) must correlate very well with the arctic sea
ice extent / area, at least with the annual maxim
ice extent / area, at least with the annual maximum.
However, a
number of models that have fairly thick Arctic sea
ice produce a slower near - term decrease in sea
ice extent compared to observations (Stroeve et al., 2007).
This sea
ice area
number will always be smaller than the
number for sea
ice extent, though it can approach it quite closely when the pack is well - defined, with nice neat edges.
The main preconditioning considered in our outlook is the area of robust multiyear
ice in spring (April - May), the thickness of the FY
ice as determined by the
number of freezing degree days during winter / spring and the spring / summer total
ice extent at the time of issue of the outlook.
If the increasing
number of sunspots would bring the Arctic index into «a positive phase» as well, then temperature isolation of the High North would in the winters months improve compared to recent years [which brought temperature records over Greenland and the Arctic Ocean — and a smallest
ice extent last winter], perhaps allowing for some extra sea
ice recovery.
Although a
number of scientists are hollering that 2017 was «among the warmest on record», we are not seeing any manifestation of this, at least over the northern hemisphere, where ironically snow and
ice have shown surprising
extents.
Extent is always a larger
number than area, which measures just what is covered with
ice.
Based on predictions of sea
ice extent from climate change models, the penguins are likely to see their
numbers plummet by 95 % by 2100.
A
number of techniques have been employed to sub-set or recalibrate these projections based on different aspects of the observed
ice cover, including the mean and / or seasonal cycle of
ice extent (e.g., Stroeve et al., 2007, 2012a; Wang and Overland, 2009, 2012), historical
ice cover trends (Boe et al., 2009), and
ice volume and thin
ice area (Massonnet et al., 2012).
However, a large percentage increase in a small
number may not amount to a meaningful increase; sea
ice extent currently remains well below the 1981 to 2010 average.
See the Shrinking Arctic Sea
Ice The National Snow and Ice Data Center released preliminary numbers on the minimum extent of Arctic sea ice, calling this year's minimum the second lowest on reco
Ice The National Snow and
Ice Data Center released preliminary numbers on the minimum extent of Arctic sea ice, calling this year's minimum the second lowest on reco
Ice Data Center released preliminary
numbers on the minimum
extent of Arctic sea
ice, calling this year's minimum the second lowest on reco
ice, calling this year's minimum the second lowest on record.
Nevertheless, as I have said, the impact of the reductions in Arctic sea
ice extent, which we have seen in the last few years on our winter climate, is only one of a
number of factors, and certainly last year was probably not the dominant factor.
I think it is really important to make that distinction - that there are a
number of factors that influence the
extent of Arctic sea
ice, some of them of course associated with changes in the radiative forcing from the atmosphere, as a result of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols, but also changes in the atmospheric circulation and also the advection of heat into or out of the Arctic by the ocean circulation.
It should be noted that this
number represents a monthly average and is dependent on a particular passive microwave algorithm to derive
ice concentration (see the CliC Arctic Sea Ice Working Group note on the accuracy of satellite - derived passive microwave estimates of sea ice exten
ice concentration (see the CliC Arctic Sea
Ice Working Group note on the accuracy of satellite - derived passive microwave estimates of sea ice exten
Ice Working Group note on the accuracy of satellite - derived passive microwave estimates of sea
ice exten
ice extent).
In early summer, the first to third week of July, employees make guesses about the minimum daily
ice extent, which is a slightly lower
number than the monthly mean
extent targeted by SIO and NCAR.