So,
ice free summers by 2013?
Not exact matches
The Best Homemade Vegan Cheese and
Ice Cream Recipes
by Marie Laforet focuses on this
summer treat, as well as cheese, which can totally be dairy -
free and delicious.
Light, delicate and simple, these gluten
free oatmeal lace cookies are the perfect cookie to enjoy with a tall glass of
iced tea on a hot
summer day or a warm cup of cocoa
by the fire.
Overland recently co-authored a study predicting an
ice -
free Arctic
summer in the first half of this century and said he will soon be releasing additional data projecting that an area 100 miles north of Alaska will witness open water five months out of the year
by 2030, as opposed to the current two months.
The data, collected
by aerial survey missions flown in the Southern Hemisphere in the
summer of 2014 - 2015, provide detailed topography of the perpetually
ice -
free region, where surprising landscape changes, such as rapid erosion along some streams, have been observed in recent years.
Satellite data show that, between 1979 and 2013, the
summer ice -
free season expanded
by an average of 5 to 10 weeks in 12 Arctic regions, with sea
ice forming later in the fall and melting earlier in the spring.
Scientific observations show that in the Arctic, warming temperatures have led to a 75 % loss in sea
ice volume since the 1980s, and recent reports suggest the Arctic Ocean will be nearly
free of
summer sea
ice by 2050, said Sullivan.
The findings, which were published today in the journal Nature Climate Change, show that limiting warming to 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit (1.5 degrees Celsius) would reduce the likelihood of an
ice -
free Arctic
summer to 30 percent
by the year 2100, whereas warming
by 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) would make at least one
ice -
free summer certain.
«Under the 4 - degree Celsius scenario, we would have a high probability of a three - month
ice free period in the
summer months
by 2050.
But, Jahn continued, if warming stays at 1.5 degrees Celsius, the probability of
ice -
free summers would drop
by 70 percent, delaying or potentially even avoiding such occurrence altogether.
The scenarios projected
by climate modellers vary greatly, and it remains unclear when we can expect to see the Arctic Ocean
free of
ice in the
summer.
Computer models previously forecast that the Arctic would be
free of
ice in the
summer by 2050.
Long - term predictions of
summer Arctic extent made
by global climate models (GCMs) suggest that the downward trend will likely lead to an
ice -
free Arctic
summer in the middle of the century.
By the end of the present century, the Arctic Ocean seems likely to be completely
free of sea
ice, especially in
summer.
«Facing a future shaped
by sea -
ice - free summers and a melting Greenland Ice Sheet, such transitions represent highly relevant past analogues,» says van der Bi
ice -
free summers and a melting Greenland
Ice Sheet, such transitions represent highly relevant past analogues,» says van der Bi
Ice Sheet, such transitions represent highly relevant past analogues,» says van der Bilt.
Virtually
ice -
free summers in the arctic sea could well arrive
by 2030, with troubling implications for accelerated albedo feedback and possibly disruptive changes in the jet stream.
If emissions aren't brought under control and temperatures continue to rise, the Arctic could become
ice -
free during
summer by the middle of the century.
[Response: Many of the IPCC AR4 runs produce
ice free (in the
summer) conditions
by 2100 (depending on the scenarios) so there is nothing intrinsic to the GCMs that do not allow this.
I think what Alastair is alluding to is the fact that, say
by 2050 when the arctic ocean will conceivably be
ice -
free in the
summer, the atmosphere will have a much higher relative humidity than it has currently because of the open air = water interface, so this will have a magnifying effect beyond just the feedback from increased CO2.
If so, the Arctic might be almost sea
ice free by next
summer, or the
summer after that.
Speed of
ice loss In response to questions from the Chair, Prof. Slingo ruled out an
ice -
free summer by as early as 2015.
Were the claims an Arctic
summer ice free by 2013/14/15 / 16/17 «extreme»?
Scientists who once thought that the Arctic Ocean could be
free of
ice during the
summer by 2100 now see it occurring
by 2030.
He repeatedly predicted that the Arctic would be «
ice -
free»
by last
summer,
by which he meant it would have less than one million sq km of
ice.
Arctic
summers ice -
free «
by 2013»
The Arctic
ice free summer globally headlined to occur
by 2013/14/15 / 16/17 never happened.
The fact is that multiple groups of scientists published papers and predictions of an
ice free Arctic
summer by 2013 / 1415/16 / 17..
Were the claims of a likely
ice free Arctic
summer by 2013/14/15 / 16/17 published
by several scientific groups «extreme»?
Meanwhile, the Arctic
ice sheet is expanding quickly, debunking claims
by «scientists» parroted in «news» outlets such as the government - funded BBC about the Arctic being «
ice -
free»
by the
summer of 2013.
For example Professor Wieslaw Maslowski made a rather bold prediction when he stated according to his model the Arctic will be
ice free by the
summer of 2013 (see link below)
Citing «climate» experts, the government - funded BBC hyped the mass hysteria, running a now - embarrassing article under the headline: «Arctic
summers ice -
free «
by 2013».»
as you can see both show no death spiral, nor is the arctic going to be
ice free this
summer as opined back in 2007
by some of their ilk
(08/31/2009) If current melting trends continue, the Arctic Ocean is likely to be
free of
summer sea
ice by 2015, according to research presented at a conference organized
by the National Space Institute at Technical University of Denmark, the Danish Meteorological Institute and the Greenland Climate Center.
«We have to be cautious until our data has been properly analysed as part of a climate model, but this does suggest that the Arctic might be
ice -
free in
summer for a day at least
by the end of the decade,» Laxon told BBC News.
Last month, two separate papers published in Nature Climate Changefound that failing to meet the Paris climate agreement's most stringent climate targets could result in
ice -
free summers by the end of the century (Climatewire, April 3).
Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, told the Guardianlast year: «The extent is going down, but it is also thinning... There will be ups and downs, but we are on track to see an ice - free summer by 2030.&raq
Ice Data Center, told the Guardianlast year: «The extent is going down, but it is also thinning... There will be ups and downs, but we are on track to see an
ice - free summer by 2030.&raq
ice -
free summer by 2030.»
A new paper that combines paleoclimatology data for the last 56 million years with molecular genetic evidence concludes there were no biological extinctions [of Arctic marine animals] over the last 1.5 M years despite profound Arctic sea
ice changes that included
ice -
free summers: polar bears, seals, walrus and other species successfully adapted to habitat changes that exceeded those predicted
by USGS and US Fish and Wildlife polar bear biologists over the next 100 years.
David Spratt and Philip Sutton, Climate Code Red (Fitzroy, Australia: Friends of the Earth, 2008), http://www.climatecodered.net, 4; Brown, Plan B 3.0, 3; James Hansen, et al., «Climate Change and Trace Gases,» Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society 365 (2007), 1925 — 54; James Lovelock, The Revenge of Gaia (New York: Basic Books, 2006), 34; Minqi Li, «Climate Change, Limits to Growth, and the Imperative for Socialism,» this issue; «Arctic
Summers Ice -
Free «
by 2013,»» BBC News, December 12, 2007.
Jonathan Amos, «Arctic
summers ice -
free «
by 2013,»» BBC News, Dec. 12, 2007, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7139797.stm 6.
As the rate of sea
ice decline speeds up it is starting to exceed the predictions of climate computer models which had previously suggested that
by 2100 the Arctic will be
ice free in
summer.
«Arctic
Summers Ice -
Free «
by 2013» --»... you can argue that maybe our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.»»
Experts believe that the North Pole will be completely
ice -
free in the
summer months
by as early as 2030, while others say that this won't happen until 2050 or 2080.
The Arctic Ocean could be
ice free in
summer by 2050.
In 2013, US Navy researchers predicted
ice -
free summer Arctic waters
by 2016 and it looks as if that prediction might come true.
Results show that the globally and annually averaged radiative forcing caused
by the observed loss of sea
ice in the Arctic between 1979 and 2007 is approximately 0.1 W m − 2; a complete removal of Arctic sea
ice results in a forcing of about 0.7 W m − 2, while a more realistic
ice -
free -
summer scenario (no
ice for one month, decreased
ice at all other times of the year) results in a forcing of about 0.3 W m − 2, similar to present - day anthropogenic forcing caused
by halocarbons.
«Though most of the CMIP5 models project a nearly
ice -
free Arctic (sea
ice extent less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of
summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5 scenario...»
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7139797.stm Arctic
summers ice -
free «
by 2013», Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea
ice.
And, if the world were to warm
by 3C, the Arctic could experience an
ice -
free summer more often than every other year
by the end of the century.
Though most of the CMIP5 models project a nearly
ice -
free Arctic (sea
ice extent less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of
summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5 scenario (see Section 12.4.6.1), some show large changes in the near term as well.
«CMIP5 models project a nearly
ice -
free Arctic (sea
ice extent less than 1 × 10 ^ 6 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of
summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5 scenario... «Assume a 15 km2 million max and 3 km2 million min.