as you can see both show no death spiral, nor is the arctic going to be
ice free this summer as opined back in 2007 by some of their ilk
Not exact matches
Research has predicted that the Arctic make experience
ice -
free summers as soon
as 2050.
As you're cooling off this
summer, your So Delicious Dairy
Free ice cream purchases can help improve the quality of life of cancer patients and families in need through the Brees Dream Foundation!
The Best Homemade Vegan Cheese and
Ice Cream Recipes by Marie Laforet focuses on this
summer treat,
as well
as cheese, which can totally be dairy -
free and delicious.
As the
summer days heat up, so is the market for frozen desserts, including dairy - and nut - free options, high - protein ice creams, ice cream sandwiches, ice pops and indulgent flavors specially designed for adults — all of which showcased at the Summer Fancy Food Show in New York
summer days heat up, so is the market for frozen desserts, including dairy - and nut -
free options, high - protein
ice creams,
ice cream sandwiches,
ice pops and indulgent flavors specially designed for adults — all of which showcased at the
Summer Fancy Food Show in New York
Summer Fancy Food Show in New York City.
Overland recently co-authored a study predicting an
ice -
free Arctic
summer in the first half of this century and said he will soon be releasing additional data projecting that an area 100 miles north of Alaska will witness open water five months out of the year by 2030,
as opposed to the current two months.
The data, collected by aerial survey missions flown in the Southern Hemisphere in the
summer of 2014 - 2015, provide detailed topography of the perpetually
ice -
free region, where surprising landscape changes, such
as rapid erosion along some streams, have been observed in recent years.
Related Content
As Sea
Ice Declines, Winter Shifts in Northern Alaska Record Warmth in Eastern U.S., Temps Tumble in Alaska NOAA to Map Alaska's Increasingly
Ice -
Free Arctic Waters Coverage of 2012
Summer Heat Waves
As life heats up (literally if you consider that in September climate scientists announced that Arctic sea
ice has shrunk to its smallest surface area since 1979, and an
ice -
free summer in the Arctic may now happen within the next few years, not the next centu...
As a certified «Alarmist» I must predict that we will see a substantially sea
ice free Arctic — next
summer.
The Arctic is expected to be largely
free of sea
ice in late
summer within the next few decades, possibly
as early
as the 2030s....
I'm fairly confused
as to where these predictions of «NH
summer free sea
ice» this year are coming from.
Instead, a rather casual article in the Independent showed the latest thickness data and that quoted Mark Serreze
as saying that the area around the North Pole had 50/50 odds of being completely
ice free this
summer, has taken off across the media.
Speed of
ice loss In response to questions from the Chair, Prof. Slingo ruled out an
ice -
free summer by
as early
as 2015.
The argument at its simplest is that since there are individual model runs in the CCSM4 ensemble that are just about
as bad
as our current reality, we can't rule out the chance that reality will return to the CCSM4 ensemble line — i.e. the decline will slow, and the Arctic will be
summer ice -
free in «only» 2040 - 2050 or so.
I guess I'm still struggling to understand why MWP 1A - type speed can be safely discounted in the next 100 years, especially since (
as many posters have pointed out) a sea -
ice free summer is now forecast between 5 - 30 years, not 80 +
as only a few years ago.
RE: In reply to the English Gentleman's (CobblyWorlds) question: «Basically I'd like to know if I am wrong to be concerned that we are likely to see changes in the UK and Europe
as a result of the
ice loss and high latitude warming well before the N. pole is sea -
ice «
free» in the
summer»
As a result, without any additional greenhouse gases, the Arctic soon will be
ice -
free in the
summer.
Basically I'd like to know if I am wrong to be concerned that we are likely to see changes in the UK and Europe
as a result of the
ice loss and high latitude warming well before the N. pole is sea -
ice «
free» in the
summer.
The arctic will be
ice free in
summer within 5 - 6 years, progressing rapidly to all the remaining 9 months of the year
as the arctic ocean continues to warm.
As I understand it, an «
ice -
free»
summer Arctic has a specific definition, which is not 100 % water, but close.
ClimateDialogue.org will kick off with a discussion on the causes of the rapid decline of the Arctic sea
ice as well
as the question when the Arctic sea could be
ice -
free during the
summer months.
Meanwhile, the Arctic
ice sheet is expanding quickly, debunking claims by «scientists» parroted in «news» outlets such
as the government - funded BBC about the Arctic being «
ice -
free» by the
summer of 2013.
Some scientists now think that the Arctic Ocean could be
ice -
free in the
summer as early
as 2030.
No one knows when we'll have the first
ice -
free Arctic
summer — extrapolating into the future can be difficult — but one thing we can bet on is that it'll be a lot sooner than the year 2100
as originally predicted just a few years ago.
Most of the studies on the Arctic climate and
ice trends cited to support the proposed listing assumed that the buildup of heat - trapping gases was probably contributing to the loss of sea
ice, or that the continued buildup of these gases, left unchecked, could create
ice -
free Arctic
summers later this century, and possibly in
as little
as three decades.
For
as long
as climatologists have studied it, the Southern Ocean has been almost
ice -
free in
summer, the time of year when it would receive enough heat from the Sun to have a large effect.
(Not least because I expect to see
ice -
free Arctic
summers within that span — «
ice -
free» defined
as sub-1 million km2 extent — and I expect that there will be a warming feedback from that event.
«We have to be cautious until our data has been properly analysed
as part of a climate model, but this does suggest that the Arctic might be
ice -
free in
summer for a day at least by the end of the decade,» Laxon told BBC News.
Some scientists have said that the Arctic Ocean could be
ice -
free in the
summer in
as little
as 30 years.
As the rate of sea
ice decline speeds up it is starting to exceed the predictions of climate computer models which had previously suggested that by 2100 the Arctic will be
ice free in
summer.
«Whether it's a record this year or the year before isn't maybe
as newsworthy
as just the fact that we're on this long - term decline, and we're going to see an Arctic Ocean that's
ice -
free in
summers in the near future.»
I can't help but wonder whether, years from now, I'll still be writing pieces with titles like «Destroying What Remains,»
as the Navy continues its war - gaming in an
ice -
free summer Arctic amid a sea of offshore oil drilling platforms.
Experts believe that the North Pole will be completely
ice -
free in the
summer months by
as early
as 2030, while others say that this won't happen until 2050 or 2080.
In 2013, US Navy researchers predicted
ice -
free summer Arctic waters by 2016 and it looks
as if that prediction might come true.
Then they defined «nearly
ice free»
as > 10 ^ 6 km ^ 2 for five consecutive years in
summer.
Howell and Agnew make the point that the
ice in the NWP and the surrounding regions is mobile during the
summer, and
as a result the spatial distribution of multi-year
ice at the beginning of the season can be used to predict whether or not the NWP could be
ice -
free in September.
This year,
as every year, there has been much excitement in the media about «catastrophic» melting of Arctic sea -
ice, run - away melting, tipping points, death spirals and «
ice -
free»
summers.
With this trend expected to continue
as global temperatures rise further, scientists have turned their attention to when Arctic
summers could become «
ice free».
Ice -
free summers could cause trouble for a range of wildlife,
as well
as people living and work in the Arctic region, Sigmond says:
Though most of the CMIP5 models project a nearly
ice -
free Arctic (sea
ice extent less than 1 × 106 km2 for at least 5 consecutive years) at the end of
summer by 2100 in the RCP8.5 scenario (see Section 12.4.6.1), some show large changes in the near term
as well.
The probability of an
ice -
free Arctic
summer from 2020 - 2100 under a range of future scenarios including 1.5 C (black), 1.5 C with temperature overshoot (orange), 2C (red), moderate emissions (RCP4.5; purple) and «business
as usual» emissions (RCP8.5; blue).
Some previous models project an
ice -
free summer period in the Arctic Ocean by 2040 (Holland et al., 2006), and even
as early
as the late 2030s using a criterion of 80 % sea
ice area loss (e.g., Zhang, 2010).
Accordingly, they must be challenged to provide a reasoned argument
as to why leaving the Arctic Ocean
free of
ice in
summer is safe.
All of this will be over by 2015, when the records of 2010 and 1998 will have been obliterated by increased solar activity, ENSO and decreased albedo
as we go into virtually
ice free arctic
summers, oh and increased GHG concentrations of course.
Indeed, Wieslaw Maslowski, an oceanographer from the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California, who was not on the Amundsen, has predicted that the Arctic could be completely
ice -
free in the
summer as early
as 2013.
«We could be seeing a
summer say, late August early September, essentially
free of sea
ice as early
as 2030.
The problem is that
ice in this region has been largely absent most
summers since 2006, even though overall
ice extent has been much more extensive than expected for a «nearly
ice -
free»
summer,
as I show below.
The rhetoric and predictions of global warming acolytes have been every bit
as confusing in the United States, with former vice president and carbon - credit entrepreneur Al Gore telling an audience in a 2009 speech that «the entire north polar
ice cap during some of the
summer months could be completely
ice -
free within the next five to seven years.»
As sea
ice declines, it becomes thinner, with less
ice build - up over multiple years, and therefore more vulnerable to further melting.15 Models that best match historical trends project northern waters that are virtually
ice -
free by late
summer by the 2030s.25, 26,12 Within the general downward trend in sea
ice, there will be time periods with both rapid
ice loss and temporary recovery, 27 making it challenging to predict short - term changes in
ice conditions.