The models that investigated whether ozone depletion could be causing sea
ice increase predict a cooling interior — that's how they drive the SAM.
Not exact matches
There has been a huge
increase in the amount of sea
ice melting each summer, and some are now
predicting that as early as 2030 there will be no summer
ice in the Arctic at all.
Contrary to what you might expect, the third IPPC report
predicted that global warming would most likely lead to a thickening of the
ice sheet over the next century, with
increased snowfall compensating for any melting cause by warming.
Researchers have been working to improve models to better reproduce the observed
increase in sea
ice there and
predict what the future may bring.
Models actually
predict that the interior of the
ice sheets should gain mass because of the
increased snowfall that goes along with warmer temperatures, and recent observations actually agree with those predictions.
It's a short (10 question) poll, covering topics like the rate of CO2
increase,
predicted future temperatures, sea
ice and sea level states, and hurricane frequencies.
Re # 29, the Arctic losing it s
ice faster than models
predict might be down to natural variability as much as
increased feedbacks due to global warming I have read.
For all that I admire about realclimate, it remains quire sedate, and respectable; even when the
ice is melting much faster than the models
predicted; even when global CO2 emissions are
increasing faster than the models assumed.
As to the melting of sea
ice, the theory has
predicted summer melt would
increase on average over time.
Greenland as an high altitude inlandsis seems to be very special compared to these regions, and probably has more inertia towards meting, as the center isolated from sea influence and accumulate
ice form
increasing precipitations.I don't really remenber what models
predict in Greenland, but it doesn't confuse me if the response is not temporally and geographically the same as other regions.
It is claimed that AGW «science»
predicted that Southern Hemsiphere sea
ice extent would
increase as arctic sea
ice would decrease.
AGW «science»
predicted that Antarctic continental
ice would
increase because of more precipitaion due to global warming, not sea
ice extent.
Global climate models have successfully
predicted the rise in temperature as greenhouse gases
increased, the cooling of the stratosphere as the troposphere warmed, polar amplification due the
ice - albedo effect and other effects, greater
increase in nighttime than in daytime temperatures, and the magnitude and duration of the cooling from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
I have
predicted that artic sea
ice extent this summer will
increase greatly because sea
ice extent is greatly affected by past land temperatures, which have been unusally low since November (My 279, and responses 279 & 280).
They actually
predicted that both poles would warm however the Antarctic cooled and
increased sea
ice extent utterly contrary to expectations.
No all the models
predict lowering Arctic pressure and
increasing positive AO / NAO conditions, which cools the Arctic and
increases ice extent.
In fact, although climate models
predict that Arctic sea
ice will decline in response to greenhouse gas
increases, the current pace of retreat at the end of the melt season is exceeding the models» forecasts by around a factor of 3 (Stroeve 2007).
Of the 68 papers, the results showed that a large majority 42 scientific research papers, or 62 %,
predicted the Earth would warm as a consequence of humans
increasing carbon dioxide in our atmosphere, 19 papers or 28 % were neutral or took no stance, and only 7 papers or about 10 %
predicted that the earth was cooling or going into an
ice age.
Global warming alarmists (many of them the same who
predicted a New
Ice Age in the 1970s) ignore, or evade, such awkward facts as the greatly
increased CO2 production worldwide for 30 years after 1941, when heavy industry
increased immensely for armaments in WWII, and for rebuilding and consumer goods like cars in the postwar boom in the Americas, Europe and Asia — while global temperatures simultaneously fell.
That
increase in
ice translates to about a quarter of a millimeter per year less sea level rise than was previously
predicted, says lead author Jay Zwally, chief cryospheric scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland.
Pokrovsky
predicts a further acceleration of melting of the thin
ice and in general greater
ice loss compared to his June prediction; this change is based on the
increase in the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Atlantic and the presence of hot air masses over Siberia and the Russian Arctic.
The IPCC 2007 Fourth Assessment of climate change science concluded that large reductions in the emissions of greenhouse gases, principally CO2, are needed soon to slow the
increase of atmospheric concentrations, and avoid reaching unacceptable levels.However, climate change is happening even faster than previously estimated; global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions, Arctic sea
ice has been melting at rates much faster than
predicted, and the rise in the sea level has become more rapid.
Early models (TAR I think),
predicted Antarctic land
ice would
increase as warming seas resulted in more moisture being blown over Antarctica and falling as snow.
Some climate models
predict that the
increased rainfall may weaken, or perhaps even stop, the Atlantic currents that carry warm water northward from the tropics and may plunge Europe into a new
ice age.
New paper finds East Antarctic
ice sheet will have negative contribution to sea levels over next 200 years — Published The Cryosphere — Paper «studies one of the largest
ice shelves in East Antarctica and
predicts increased accumulation of
ice on the surface of the
ice shelf will have a net contribution of decreasing sea levels over the 21st and 22nd centuries.
report that ocean sediment cores containing an «undisturbed history of the past» have been analyzed for variations in PP over timescales that include the Little
Ice Age... they determined that during the LIA the ocean off Peru had «low PP, diatoms and fish,» but that «at the end of the LIA, this condition changed abruptly to the low subsurface oxygen, eutrophic upwelling ecosystem that today produces more fish than any region of the world's oceans... write that «in coastal environments, PP, diatoms and fish and their associated predators are
predicted to decrease and the microbial food web to
increase under global warming scenarios,» citing Ito et al..
«a slowdown in the MOC is
predicted by our model (and others) for a future world, partly as a function of ocean warming and partly as a function of
increased freshening from
ice melt and
increased rainfall.
I
predict that we we will soon see denialist arguments of the form «yeah sure global temperatures are again rising sharply, but that is due to decreased albedo due to decreased arctic sea
ice, not because
increased CO2 causes global warming».
There is more Antarctic
ice than ever there was (NOT TRUE: RESEARCHERS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL REPORTED THIS YEAR THAT OVERALL
ICE LOSS IN ANTARCTICA HAS
INCREASED ABOUT 75 PER CENT OVER THE 10 YEAR PERIOD FROM 1996 - 2006 AND THAT MODELS
PREDICTING AN
INCREASE IN
ICE MASS ARE NOT BEARING OUT: IT»S DECLINING EVERYWHERE.)
Well they are
predicting 2C tonight in Central South America (Tropics - subtropics) as I have said many times on this site, I believe that the highly significant constant
increase in antarctica
ice extent and thickness may begin to affect the reach of polar air into the southern latitudes if it happens to be directed in the right direction making it go farther north than usual.
Reynolds (Public), 4.06 (3.49 - 4.63), Statistical / Heuristic Because the decline in extent is due to
increasing ease with which open water can be revealed by declining volume, a simple method is used to
predict September sea
ice extent based on May sea
ice volume for the Arctic Ocean from the PIOMAS model.
RE: 4th Error -RCB- Poses an objection to the non-scientific term catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from
predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — &
increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions of the total melting of the Himalayan
Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to
Ice caps by 2050, near total melting of Greenland's
ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to
ice sheet & partial melting of Antarctica's
ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to
ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to ME!
The roughly factor of two
increase in speed shown is partly due to decreases in
ice thickness and strength, but it is safe to
predict that if cyclonic storm events like this one ending 2015 continue penetrating the eastern Arctic Ocean, they will
increase ice export and reduce summer 2016
ice extent.
The summer arctic sea
ice extent, in contrast, has been significantly under
predicted by the models, while the summer Antarctic sea
ice extent
increase has been missed by the models.
and now they want to tweak them to show «huge
increases in sea
ice are
predicted by man mad CO2 theories....»
The researchers
predict that the Zachariae glacier will go on retreating for another 20 to 30 years, while continuing to
increase its discharge of
ice.
«Whatever the true cause or causes, one thing is certain, all of the climate models have failed to
predict the observed
increase in Southern Hemisphere sea
ice extent.
But wait, skeptics will say, what about that Science article that
predicted the possibility of a future
ice age triggered by a fourfold
increase in aerosols?
Does anybody know what Antarctic
ice is really doing (expanse seems to have
increased recently) and what is really
predicted according to AGW?
The worst - case scenario
predicts a huge temperature
increase a century from now, comparable to the temperature rise since the last
Ice Age, and there may also be dire consequences if the warming takes a middle course.
There has been a huge
increase in the amount of sea
ice melting each summer, and some are now
predicting that as early as 2030 there will be no summer
ice in the Arctic at all.
In Congressional testimony he mentions «the huge potential costs if the impacts turn out to be even greater than
predicted, something that appears to be the case now with the potential rapid collapse of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet and the
increased sea level rise that will come with it.»