The increase was due almost completely to increased
ice loss rates in southern Greenland (Velicogna and Wahr 2006a).
Not exact matches
«West Greenland
Ice Sheet melting at the fastest rate in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic ice loss.&raq
Ice Sheet melting at the fastest
rate in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic
ice loss.&raq
ice loss.»
Based on what we know, we can expect the rapid
ice loss to continue for a long time yet, especially if ocean - driven melting of the
ice shelf
in front of Pine Island Glacier continues at current
rates,»
They then used the satellite record of Arctic sea
ice extent to calculate the
rates of sea
ice loss and then projected those
rates into the future, to estimate how much more the sea
ice cover may shrink
in approximately three polar bear generations, or 35 years.
By lubricating the bedrock, it will speed the flow of the overlying
ice, perhaps increasing the
rate of
ice - mass
loss in West Antarctica.
Glaciologists worldwide use these and other maps
in modeling the
rate of
ice loss in Greenland and projecting future
losses.
In 2008 a satellite study based on rates of snowfall and ice movement estimated a loss of 210 cubic kilometers of ice per year — a 59 percent increase in the past decad
In 2008 a satellite study based on
rates of snowfall and
ice movement estimated a
loss of 210 cubic kilometers of
ice per year — a 59 percent increase
in the past decad
in the past decade.
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt
rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative
loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding
in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed
rate of sea level rise to the observed warming.
[7] The IceCon project aims to gain a better understanding of the
rate of the
loss of
ice — now and
in the past - from the Antarctic
ice sheet
in the Dronning Maud Land area, and includes six partners: Université Libre de Bruxelles, Royal Observatory of Belgium, University of Luxembourg, Norwegian Polar Institute, and Aberystwyth University.
Since 1979, winter sea
ice extent has decreased 3.2 percent per decade (the
loss is much more pronounced
in summer at a
rate of 13.4 percent per decade).
The
rate of release from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting
in sustained decadal doubling of
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
This kind of significant change could increase the
rate of warming already
in progress, affect further sea
ice loss in the Arctic and alter shipping access to the Arctic Ocean.
Rates of sea - level rise calculated from tide gauge data tend to exceed bottom - up estimates derived from summing
loss of
ice mass, thermal expansion and changes
in land storage.
IceCon aims to gain a better understanding of the
rate of the
loss of
ice — now and
in the past - from the Antarctic
ice sheet
in the Dronning...
And since you have missed this acceleration you have assumed that the
rate will remain at 3.3 mm / year for the rest of this century, despite ongoing observations of increases
in ice mass
loss in Greenland and parts of Antarctica.
For three particular mismatches — sea
ice loss rates being much too low
in CMIP3, tropical MSU - TMT rising too fast
in CMIP5, or the ensemble mean global mean temperatures diverging from HadCRUT4 — it is likely that there are multiple sources of these mismatches across all three categories described above.
Our modelled values are consistent with current
rates of Antarctic
ice loss and sea - level rise, and imply that accelerated mass
loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic
ice sheets may ensue when an increase
in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
Our experiments show a clear threshold
in the relationship between the
rate of sea - level rise, and the
rate of (sea - level contributing)
ice - sheet mass
loss.
Now, this is why you are not thinking — let's assume that at any particular level of regional temperature, we can expect a certain
loss rate — this is reasonable because, as you say, there is a lot of
ice in Greenland.
From recent instrumental observations alone we are therefore unable to predict whether mass
loss from these
ice sheets will vary linearly with changes
in the
rate of sea - level rise, or if a non-linear response is more likely.
Nevertheless, some caution is
in order
in interpreting this to mean that current
rates of rapid
ice loss from West Antarctica represent a long term trend.
The sea
ice loss rate seems to be very sensitive to model resolution and has improved
in CMIP5 — implicating aspects of the model structure as the main source of the problem.
If you were to take the current
rate of
ice loss as a starting point, and assume a constant
rate of acceleration, then by the end of the century, the annual
loss rate would need to reach nearly 6,200 km ³ / yr, or nearly 23 times the current
rate, to result
in a cumulative 10 %
loss.
For Greenland to lose 285,000 km ³ of
ice in 89 years, the AVERAGE
rate of
loss would have to be more than 3,200 km ³ / yr, or nearly 12 times faster than the current
loss rate (273 km ³ / yr).
Currently they are reporting on record
ice losses in August, when the
rate of decline typically decreases (but this year it kept right on melting as if it was July).
8) Accelerated mass
loss in Greenland and / or Antarctica, perhaps with another huge
ice shelf breaking off, but
in any case coupled with another measurable rise
in the
rate of sea level rise, 9) The Fifth Assessment Report (2012 - 2013) really spelling out what we face with no punches pulled.
Chris,
in my amateurish way, I have wondered whether there may be a bit of a slowdown
in the
rate of
ice loss as the oldest
ice melts.
IIRC, the limit on mass
loss was attributed to the narrowness of passes
in the mountains, but if the
ice loss is behind the mountains as the ocean reaches beyond them, and mixes salt into the system with tides, then only the flushing of salt and icebergs via meltwater would limit the
rate of melt
in the (brand new) Greenland Sea.
In 1996, the
rate of
ice mass
loss had increased to 97 gigatonnes per year.
jetfuel, setting aside the different effects of
ice in different locations outlined by scaddenp... you are also comparing the antarctic annual volume
loss rate to (vague generalizations of) the Canadian annual volume maximum.
The reasonable agreement
in recent years between the observed
rate of sea level rise and the sum of thermal expansion and
loss of land
ice suggests an upper limit for the magnitude of change
in land - based water storage, which is relatively poorly known.
However, despite near normal
rates of
ice loss during the month, June 2015 was a relatively warm month (Figure 7) with 925 hPa air temperatures up to 2.5 C higher than average near the North Pole and East Siberian Sea, with even warmer air temperatures
in the Kara Sea (up to 4.5 C).
In outline, the model supposes that the
rate of change of
ice extent has two terms - accumulation proportional to its length, and
loss at the grounding line which is proportional to the cross-section area there, which because a constant width is assumed is proportional to the depth of the
ice.
But around 2009 there was «a remarkable
rate of acceleration»
in ice loss, the study says.
Yet the
rate of
ice loss from these two polar realms, as identified by satellite measurements of the change
in gravity of the
ice masses, has more than doubled over the last decade.
Ice mass
loss is occuring at an accelerated
rate in Greenland, Antarctica and globally from inland glaciers.
The
rate of release from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting
in sustained decadal doubling of
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
In other words — at the estimated current
rate of
ice loss from the Greenland
ice cap it would take 14 000 years for the
ice sheet to melt.
Polyak et al. (2010) looked at Arctic sea
ice changes throughout geologic history and noted that the current
rate of
loss appears to be more rapid than natural variability can account for
in the historical record.
A new study published
in the journal Science revealed that CO2 emissions are accelerating the
rate of sea
ice loss in the arctic.
The
rate of
ice mass
loss in the Russian Arctic has nearly doubled over the last decade when compared to records from the previous 60 years, a new study shows.
The resulting enhanced
loss of summer and winter sea
ice resulted
in feedbacks, associated with Arctic Amplification, which has raised Arctic air temperatures at a
rate twice the global average.
We are seeing an increase
in the recent speed of
ice loss, when compared to the long - term
ice -
loss rate,» says lead researcher Whyjay Zheng, a doctoral student
in geophysics at Cornell University.
As reported
in Remote Sensing of Environment, from 1953 to 2010, the average
rate of
ice surface
loss was 18 centimeters (7.1 inches) per year.
«It is very likely that the
rate of global mean sea level rise during the 21st century will exceed the
rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios due to increases
in ocean warming and
loss of mass from glaciers and
ice sheets.
Sea
ice minimum levels are falling at the
rate of 14 % a decade
in the Arctic, and polar bears have been feeling the
loss.
This has likely delayed further
ice loss in these areas, which together with the low SLP over the central Arctic Ocean, accounts
in part for the recent decrease
in the
rate of
ice loss seen
in Figure 2.
The drop
in estimate values between the two first Outlooks reflected
in part record
ice loss rates observed
in June.
Considered
in isolation, the reduction
in ocean heat transport implies a possible moderation
in the
rate of Arctic sea
ice loss in the coming decade.
However, this is balanced by substantial
ice sheet
losses on margins especially
in West Antarctica as calving
rates accelerate.