As a consequence, any sea ice coverage ensemble forecast that uses the 2007 temperature and specific humidity fields as part of the input surface BCs will approximately have the 2007 sea
ice minimum as the lower end estimate of the ensemble.
Not exact matches
«The autumn volume of the sea
ice (
as opposed to the extent) is still close to its
minimum record,» Robert Meisner, spokesman for European Space Agency, said yesterday.
Fishermen call them keepers: the mature fish above the legal
minimum length that end up in the
ice chest,
as opposed to the small fry that get tossed back.
There is
as yet no definition of the
minimum size an object has to attain to be classified
as a moon, so if you are happy to give the label «moon» to any piece of solid matter orbiting a planet — including every
ice crystal in the rings of Saturn — then the number could run into quadrillions.
AWI researchers observed a considerable decrease in the thickness of the sea
ice as early
as the late summer of 2015, even though the overall
ice covered area of the September
minimum ultimately exceeded the record low of 2012 by approximately one million square kilometres.
But,
as scientists including National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Administrator Jane Lubchenco said today at a press conference at the American Geophysical Union's fall meeting, record - setting melting happened anyway: record snow melt, record sea
ice minimum, melting even at the top of the Greenland
ice sheet (in what was once called the «dry snow zone»), and widespread warming of permafrost.
The supply ship arrives at the end of the scientific season, in late January or early February, when there is a
minimum of
ice, so there is currently plenty of fuel on hand at the station for operations to continue
as normal for the 2012 - 13 season.
Scientists consider Arctic sea
ice as a sensitive climate indicator and track this
minimum extent every year to see if any trends emerge.
As the Arctic sea -
ice reaches its summer
minimum extent, it is clear that it has yet again shrunk to one of the smallest areas in recent decades, 10 % above the record
minimum set last year.
NSIDC scientists said there was a lot of thin
ice at the beginning of the melt season, because thinner
ice does not take
as much energy to melt away, this may have also contributed to this year's low
minimum extent.
But «while the Arctic maximum is not
as important
as the seasonal
minimum, the long - term decline is a clear indicator of climate change,» Walt Meier, a sea
ice researcher at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, said in a statement.
The record - low winter maximum doesn't necessarily herald a record low end - of - summer
minimum come September,
as summer weather patterns have a large effect on sea
ice area.
Satellites show the extent of Arctic sea
ice on Sept. 16, 2012
as compared to the average
minimum from the past 30 years (yellow line).
The record low maximum doesn't necessarily guarantee a record - low summer sea
ice minimum, though,
as ice melt depends heavily on Arctic weather patterns through the spring and summer months.
On September 10, Arctic sea
ice reached its annual minimum extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007 as the second smallest extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice reached its annual
minimum extent at 1.60 million square miles, statistically tying 2007
as the second smallest extent in the 1979 — 2016 satellite record, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
For example, austral summer
minimum ice extents have varied by
as much
as 25 % over the 1979 to 2014 modern satellite record.
Indeed, one such episode known
as the Maunder
minimum may have triggered the Little
Ice Age from 1645 to 1715 CE, when crops failed in Northern Europe and London's Thames River stayed frozen in June.
It has long been suspected that the low solar activity during the Maunder
Minimum was one of the causes of the Little
Ice Age, although other factors like a small drop in greenhouse gas concentrations around 1600 and strong volcanic eruptions during that time likely played a role
as well.
It will not be a new record
minimum by the looks of things, but there is a very interesting development, a really long reduced
ice zone (not sure what term to use
as it is such a large feature), stretching like a finger more or less towards the north pole.
This marks the beginning of the ritual of the annual sea
ice watch that includes predictions of the extent and rank of this year's sea
ice minimum,
as well
as discussion about the timing of its eventual demise.
The last time this happened was 400 years ago — and it signaled a solar event known
as a «Maunder
Minimum,» along with the start of what we now call the «Little
Ice Age.»
Global mean temperature since the last
ice age has oscillated quasi-periodically between about + / - 1 % of its mean; over that time, the mean has slightly declined,
as have the maxima and
minima of the excursions.
We find that the available observations are sufficient to virtually exclude internal variability and self - acceleration
as an explanation for the observed long - term trend, clustering, and magnitude of recent sea -
ice minima.
As a result, the sea
ice volume at its annual
minimum has declined 75 % over the past three decades.
We seem to have a new record
Ice Extent
minimum as of yesterday.
I don't think winds will be
as important a factor
as in years past since it looks like all that would have to be done to achieve a record
minimum is melt the first year
ice.
The
ice, which is now expanding again
as the sun dips toward the horizon for the winter, hit a
minimum extent of about 1.74 million square miles on Sept. 12, said Walter Meier, a research scientist at the center; in 2007, he said, the
minimum extent was 1.59 million square miles.
The consolidated database shows that there is no precedent
as far back
as 1850 for the 21st century's
minimum ice extent of sea
ice on the pan-Arctic scale....
From the middle of the 17th century to the early 18th, a period known
as the Maunder
Minimum, sunspots were extremely rare, and the reduced activity coincided with lower temperatures in what is known
as the Little
Ice Age.
I view the question of whether the
minimum sea
ice extent sets a new record this year
as secondary.
Given that this summer's
minimum has fallen below last year's and will settle in at the 2nd or 3rd lowest on record, last summer's
minimum now appears more
as a bump in the road toward continuing lower Arctic sea
ice coverage.
The argument really ought to be phrased
as «What caused the Little
Ice Age cold period to be coincident with the Maunder
Minimum / Dalton
Minimum if anything?»
For example, freezing rain, which results in
ice storms, is not represented in climate models, but frequencies of daily
minimum temperatures on wet days might serve
as useful surrogate variables (Konrad, 1998).
Jin (IARC), 5.06, Modeling (same
as June) A coupled
ice - ocean model forecast of the September sea
ice extent
minimum.
Scientists use the summer
minimum as one measure of the extent of Arctic sea
ice for that year.
Now it's official:
as of September 16, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, the sea ice covering the Arctic Ocean reached a record low minimum exte
Ice Data Center, the sea
ice covering the Arctic Ocean reached a record low minimum exte
ice covering the Arctic Ocean reached a record low
minimum extent.
(Right) Extents and thicknesses of the Greenland
Ice Sheet and western Canadian and Iceland glaciers at their minimum extent during the last interglacial, shown as a multi-model average from three ice mode
Ice Sheet and western Canadian and Iceland glaciers at their
minimum extent during the last interglacial, shown
as a multi-model average from three
ice mode
ice models.
«Our projection of 2013 for the removal of
ice in summer is not accounting for the last two
minima, in 2005 and 2007,» claimed Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, described
as researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School who was working with co-workers at NASA to come up with the now - thoroughly discredited forecasts about polar
ice.
It also works in hindsight, explaining the temperature decline associated with the Dalton
Minimum,
as well
as the Maunder
Minimum and Little
Ice Age.
If one looks at the
minima of the historical CO2 ranges in each year, these encompass the
ice core levels, and the
minima are (
as in modern times) found at higher wind speeds.
The range of ocean remaining frozen over the northern polar region reached its
minimum extent for 2009 on September 12, when it covered 1.97 million square miles (5.1 million square km), and now appears to be growing again
as the Arctic starts its annual cool - down, the National Snow and
Ice Data Center reported.
But you fail to mention that they all point to 2007
as the year with
minimum ice extent, consistent with a warming trend and only four years back.
NASA satellite data reveals how this year's
minimum sea
ice extent, reached on Sept. 9
as depicted here, declined to a level far smaller than the 30 - year average (in yellow) and opened up Northwest Passage shipping lanes (in red).
Carrington's self - serving and unnecessary lyricism aside —
as well
as the poetic license often taken by the likes of Vidal and Monbiot — this year's sea -
ice minimum represents the second lowest on record.
Liu, J., M. Song, R. Horton, and Y. Hu, 2015: Revisiting the potential of melt pond fraction
as a predictor for the seasonal Arctic sea
ice extent
minimum.
Ethon revs up the transport module
As you may recall, Eli has a bet with Stoat on 2008 setting a new record for
minimum Arctic sea
ice.
Polar bear numbers,
as confirmed by the latest estimates in the 2015 IUCN Red List assessment, are higher now than they have been since the 1960s, despite almost 10 years of summer sea
ice minimums below 5.0 mk2.
In the summer of 2012, Arctic sea
ice has broken the previous record for
minimum extent (set in 2007), fallen below 4 million square kilometers, and,
as of September 17, dropped below 3.5 million square kilometers in extent.
«the available observations are sufficient to virtually exclude internal variability and self - acceleration
as an explanation for the observed long - term trend, clustering, and magnitude of recent sea -
ice minima.
As Planet Earth enters upon a 70 - year «dead sun» Maunder Minimum similar to that of 1645 — 1715, likely the precursor to a cyclical resurgence of Ice Time, warmists» murderous sabotage of global energy economies accords with totalitarian fantasists such as Keith Farnish, Kentti Linkola, Hans Joachim Schellnhube
As Planet Earth enters upon a 70 - year «dead sun» Maunder
Minimum similar to that of 1645 — 1715, likely the precursor to a cyclical resurgence of
Ice Time, warmists» murderous sabotage of global energy economies accords with totalitarian fantasists such
as Keith Farnish, Kentti Linkola, Hans Joachim Schellnhube
as Keith Farnish, Kentti Linkola, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber.