The HadGEM3 family of climate models represents the third generation of HadGEM configurations and includes the NEMO ocean model and CICE sea -
ice model components.
This tells you something about the sea
ice model component of GCMs.
Not exact matches
Computational
models that simulate the climate such as CAM5, which is the atmosphere
component of the Community Earth System
Model used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5th Assessment, are used to predict future climate changes, such as the Arctic sea
ice loss.
development of a regional scale earth system
model that includes coupling WRF with other earth system
components such as ocean, sea
ice, land surface hydrology, ecosystem, and chemistry; and
Briegleb, B.P., et al., 2004: Scientific Description of the Sea
Ice Component in the Community Climate System
Model, Version Three.
O'Farrell, S.P., 1998: Investigation of the dynamic sea
ice component of a coupled atmosphere sea -
ice general circulation
model.
Scientific knowledge input into process based
models has much improved, reducing uncertainty of known science for some
components of sea - level rise (e.g. steric changes), but when considering other
components (e.g.
ice melt from
ice sheets, terrestrial water contribution) science is still emerging, and uncertainties remain high.
It belongs to the class of
ice - ocean
models that have
components for the sea
ice and the ocean, but no interactive atmosphere.
The time available to reduce the human - made forcing is uncertain, because
models of the global system and critical
components such as
ice sheets are inadequate.
... A new sea -
ice albedo parameterization scheme has been developed and implemented in ECHAM5 general circulation
model, and includes important
components like albedo decay due to snow aging,
ice thickness dependency and an explicit treatment of melt pond albedo.
Climate
models are like weather
models for the atmosphere and land, except they have to additionally predict the ocean currents, sea -
ice changes, include seasonal vegetation effects, possibly even predict vegetation changes, include aerosols and possibly atmospheric chemistry, so they are not like weather
models after all, except for the atmospheric dynamics, land surface, and cloud / precipitation
component.
We also make use of two lengthy control simulations conducted with CESM1 under constant 1850 radiative conditions: a 2200 - year control run using the fully - coupled configuration (hereafter termed the «coupled control run»), and a 2600 - year control run using only the atmospheric
model component coupled to the land
model component from CESM1 with a specified repeating seasonal cycle of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and sea
ice conditions taken from the long - term climatology of the fully - coupled control run (hereafter termed the «atmospheric control run»).
Sea level rise (due to thermal expansion only — the
ice sheet
component of the
model isn't yet fully implemented) is directly related to temperature, but changes extremely slowly.
Among the dynamic
models, 9 are fully - coupled (with sea
ice, ocean and atmosphere
components) and 5 are
ice - ocean only.
The
models contributing to the seasonal forecasts have sea
ice components (indeed many of these
models also contribute a sea
ice Outlook).
Following the trend in global
modelling, RCMs are increasingly coupled interactively with other
components of the climate system, such as regional ocean and sea
ice (e.g., Bailey and Lynch 2000; Döscher et al., 2002; Rinke et al., 2003; Bailey et al., 2004; Meier et al., 2004; Sasaki et al., 2006a), hydrology, and with interactive vegetation (Gao and Yu, 1998; Xue et al., 2000).
The 60 level ocean
model is coupled with the sea -
ice component and uses a horizontal resolution of approximately 3 ° with a displaced North Pole.
Earth System
Models are mathematical descriptions of the real world at the cutting edge of understanding how our planet works and the links between the main
components of the oceans, vegetation,
ice and desert, gases in the atmosphere, and the carbon cycle, as well as numerous other
components.
Heil, P. and W. D. Hibler III, 2002,
Modeling the high - frequency
component of Arctic sea
ice drift and deformation, J. Phys.
A mismatch between them can arise from a mis - specification of any of these
components and climate science is full of examples where reported mismatches ended up being due to problems in the observations or forcing functions rather than the
models (
ice age tropical ocean temperatures, the MSU records etc.).
RealClimate is wonderful, and an excellent source of reliable information.As I've said before, methane is an extremely dangerous
component to global warming.Comment # 20 is correct.There is a sharp melting point to frozen methane.A huge increase in the release of methane could happen within the next 50 years.At what point in the Earth's temperature rise and the rise of co2 would a huge methane melt occur?No one has answered that definitive issue.If I ask you all at what point would huge amounts of extra methane start melting, i.e at what temperature rise of the ocean near the Artic methane
ice deposits would the methane melt, or at what point in the rise of co2 concentrations in the atmosphere would the methane melt, I believe that no one could currently tell me the actual answer as to where the sharp melting point exists.Of course, once that tipping point has been reached, and billions of tons of methane outgass from what had been locked stores of methane, locked away for an eternity, it is exactly the same as the burning of stored fossil fuels which have been stored for an eternity as well.And even though methane does not have as long a life as co2, while it is around in the air it can cause other tipping points, i.e. permafrost melting, to arrive much sooner.I will reiterate what I've said before on this and other sites.Methane is a hugely underreported, underestimated risk.How about RealClimate attempts to
model exactly what would happen to other tipping points, such as the melting permafrost, if indeed a huge increase in the melting of the methal hydrate
ice WERE to occur within the next 50 years.My amateur guess is that the huge, albeit temporary, increase in methane over even three or four decades might push other relevent tipping points to arrive much, much, sooner than they normally would, thereby vastly incresing negative feedback mechanisms.We KNOW that quick, huge, changes occured in the Earth's climate in the past.See other relevent posts in the past from Realclimate.Climate often does not change slowly, but undergoes huge, quick, changes periodically, due to negative feedbacks accumulating, and tipping the climate to a quick change.Why should the danger from huge potential methane releases be vievwed with any less trepidation?
Called ModelE, it provides the ability to simulate many different configurations of Earth System
Models — including interactive atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, carbon cycle and other tracers, as well as the standard atmosphere, ocean, sea
ice and land surface
components.
The term Earth System
Model is a little ambiguous with some people reserving that for
models that include a carbon cycle, and others (including me) using it more generally to denote
models with more interactive
components than used in more standard (AR4 - style) GCMs (i.e. atmospheric chemistry, aerosols,
ice sheets, dynamic vegetation etc.).
Use the calculated fluxes to force the surface
component of a climate
model (without the atmosphere), including the ocean, sea
ice, and land subsystem
models, for the baseline (preindustrial) and the doubled CO2 forcing.
The Earth — with its myriad shifting atmospheric, oceanic, land and
ice components — presents an extraordinarily complex system to simulate using computer
models.