The entire structure loses mechanical strength despite the fact that only a tiny volume of
ice on the surface changes temperature and thus its mechanical properties.
This cycling of CO2 into and out of
ice on the surface changes the atmospheric mass by tens of percent over the course of a Martian year.»
Not exact matches
Polar bears, the poster - child for climate
change, are among the animals most affected by the seasonal and year - to - year
changes in Arctic sea
ice, because they rely
on this
surface for essential activities such as hunting, traveling and breeding.
By tracking
changes in crevasses
on the glaciers»
surfaces, they calculated the speed at which the
ice slabs were moving.
A working group known as PALSEA2 (Paleo constraints
on sea level rise) used past records of local
change in sea level and converted them to a global mean sea level by predicting how the
surface of the Earth deforms due to
changes in
ice - ocean loading of the crust, along with
changes in gravitational attraction
on the ocean
surface.
Most of the images from Rosetta have been in black & white, so these colour ones are a nice
change and show incredible detail, including patches of water
ice on the rocky
surface.
To that end, they will observe the weather
on these
ice shelves, measure the amount of
surface melt from the ground and from satellites, and analyse how snow characteristics
change in response to melt.
The redistribution of
ice - water
on the
surface of the Earth and the flow of mantle rocks causes the gravitational field and the moment of inertia of the Earth to
change.
The comet appears to have undergone visible
changes, including the
changes in the size and number of
surface features such as smooth patches, pits, and craters, and the loss of
ice vaporized by the Sun or blasted off its
surface by the Solar Wind into its tail as well as failing back
on the object like snow, so that it appears to shrink,
on average, by 25 to 50 centimeters (9.2 to 19.7 inches) with each orbit around the Sun.
The higher - frequency «solar photons», if reflected by something
on the
surface (be it an
ice - sheet, a body of water, or someone's windshield) will happily
change course and zip right out of the atmosphere again, completely unaffected by GHGs (though not by cloud, of course.)
... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland
Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small increases in CO2 concentration and global mean temperature... Polar amplification occurs if the magnitude of zonally averaged
surface temperature
change at high latitudes exceeds the globally averaged temperature
change, in response to climate forcings and
on time scales greater than the annual cycle.
Other factors would include: — albedo shifts (both from
ice > water, and from increased biological activity, and from edge melt revealing more land, and from more old dust coming to the
surface...); — direct effect of CO2
on ice (the former weakens the latter); — increasing, and increasingly warm, rain fall
on ice; — «stuck» weather systems bringing more and more warm tropical air ever further toward the poles; — melting of sea
ice shelf increasing mobility of glaciers; — sea water getting under parts of the
ice sheets where the base is below sea level; — melt water lubricating the
ice sheet base; —
changes in ocean currents -LRB-?)
Based
on the comparison between reconstructions and simulations, there is high confidence that not only external orbital, solar and volcanic forcing, but also internal variability, contributed substantially to the spatial pattern and timing of
surface temperature
changes between the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little
Ice Age (1450 to 1850).
15, Maurizio, there has been
changes in dominant winds, but my take
on the greater
ice melt is a flat out warmer atmosphere (causing these winds to
change) which shows itself as a brighter twilight during the long night, especially when there is a cooling
on the
surface.
Because the drains out of the various bathtubs involved in the climate — atmospheric concentrations, the heat balance of the
surface and oceans,
ice sheet accumulations, and thermal expansion of the oceans — are small and slow, the emissions we generate in the next few decades will lead to
changes that,
on any time scale we can contemplate, are irreversible.
Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar
ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of
surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree
on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger precipitation
changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
This result would be strongly dependent
on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland
ice sheet to
surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays global models.Yes human influence
on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document
changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of extreme events.
Is it not the case that at the end of the last
ice age, there was increased seismic activity due to
changes in the weight of
ice on the earth's
surface?
Peer - reviewed literature about the effects of climate
change are in broad agreement that air and
surface water temperatures are rising and will continue to do so, that
ice cover is declining steadily, and that precipitation and extreme events are
on the rise.
Based
on evidence from Earth's history, we suggest here that the relevant form of climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene (e.g. from which to base future greenhouse gas (GHG) stabilization targets) is the Earth system sensitivity including fast feedbacks from
changes in water vapour, natural aerosols, clouds and sea
ice, slower
surface albedo feedbacks from
changes in continental
ice sheets and vegetation, and climate — GHG feedbacks from
changes in natural (land and ocean) carbon sinks.
As other posters have indicated with the point about how
ice lost from
ice - caps
changes the angular momentum, the movement of water and atmosphere over the
surface has an impact
on the angular momentum and therefore a major ENSO event will show up in a LOD fluctuation.
To assure the model was realistic, the scientists drew
on observations of
changes in the altitude of the
ice sheet
surface made by NASA's IceSat satellite and airborne Operation IceBridge campaign.
Pokrovsky predicts a further acceleration of melting of the thin
ice and in general greater
ice loss compared to his June prediction; this
change is based
on the increase in the sea
surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Atlantic and the presence of hot air masses over Siberia and the Russian Arctic.
AGW climate scientists seem to ignore that while the earth's
surface may be warming, our atmosphere above 10,000 ft. above MSL is a refrigerator that can take water vapor scavenged from the vast oceans
on earth (which are also a formidable heat sink), lift it to cold zones in the atmosphere by convective physical processes, chill it (removing vast amounts of heat from the atmosphere) or freeze it, (removing even more vast amounts of heat from the atmosphere) drop it
on land and oceans as rain, sleet or snow, moisturizing and cooling the soil, cooling the oceans and building polar
ice caps and even more importantly, increasing the albedo of the earth, with a critical negative feedback determining how much of the sun's energy is reflected back into space,
changing the moment of inertia of the earth by removing water mass from equatorial latitudes and transporting this water vapor mass to the poles, reducing the earth's spin axis moment of inertia and speeding up its spin rate, etc..
My earliest research was
on orbital - scale
changes in North Atlantic sediments to reconstruct past sea -
surface temperatures and to quantify the deposition of
ice - rafted debris.
Land comprises only about 30 % of the Earth's
surface, but it can have the largest effects
on the reflection of global solar radiation in conjunction with
changes in
ice and snow cover, and the shading of the latter by vegetation.
280 Though I can not find any literature
on equatorial warming triggering reorganization for the D - O events, there are reports, for the glacial - interglacial transition, that Pacific sea
surface temperatures warmed 3,000 years before
changes in
ice volumes.
As the Antarctic sea
ice reached record levels, scientists floated several hypotheses, including possible
changes in the ozone hole over Antarctica, or increased amounts of fresh water — which freezes more easily —
on the
surface of the ocean around Antarctica.
Surface air temperature
change relative to 1880 - 1920 in 2055 - 2060 based
on climate simulations assuming
ice melt increases with a 10 - year doubling time.
In 1941, Milutin Milankovitch suggested that wobbles in the Earth's orbit
changed the distribution of solar energy
on the planet's
surface, driving the
ice age cycles.
Since the scaling factor used is based purely
on simulations by CMIP5 models, rather than
on observations, the estimate is only valid if those simulations realistically reproduce the spatiotemporal pattern of actual warming for both SST and near -
surface air temperature (tas), and
changes in sea -
ice cover.
Also, regarding subsea volacanic eruptions — a volcanic eruption involves release of magma at several thousand degrees C plus superheated gases — when that hits cold sea water you are going to have a very violent and explosive
change of form from lquid water to steam combined with the release of dissolved gases (mostly CO2)-- I am not sure what laws of Chemistry and Physics you are looking at, but I would suggest that that those bubbles and heated gases and water will rise to to the
surface very quickly and have a major local effect
on any nearby
ice.
b) volumetric effects —
change in the volume of water contained in the oceans and the geometry and areal extent of the ocean basins c) gravitational effects —
change in the gravitational attraction of the earth (induced by deformation), by the
change in distribution of
ice and by the
change in self - attraction of the water d) rotational effects —
change in the moment of inertia caused by a
change in the distribution of mass within the earth and
on its
surface.
Other data sets such as ocean heat content, sea
ice extent, whatever, are not sufficiently mature or long - range... Further, the
surface temperature is most relevant to climate
change impacts, since humans and land ecosystems live
on the
surface.»
Based
on the understanding of both the physical processes that control key climate feedbacks (see Section 8.6.3), and also the origin of inter-model differences in the simulation of feedbacks (see Section 8.6.2), the following climate characteristics appear to be particularly important: (i) for the water vapour and lapse rate feedbacks, the response of upper - tropospheric RH and lapse rate to interannual or decadal
changes in climate; (ii) for cloud feedbacks, the response of boundary - layer clouds and anvil clouds to a
change in
surface or atmospheric conditions and the
change in cloud radiative properties associated with a
change in extratropical synoptic weather systems; (iii) for snow albedo feedbacks, the relationship between
surface air temperature and snow melt over northern land areas during spring and (iv) for sea
ice feedbacks, the simulation of sea
ice thickness.
Apologies if this has already been stated, but my view
on decreased Arctic
ice cover is: - 1, as Judith pointed out, when
ice is at a minimum the sun is already so low in the sky that there is no noticeable
change to albedo, 2 when there is
ice cover warm water is kept at depth by differences in salinity, When there is open water, storms mix the haline layers bringing warm water to the
surface where it can more readily radiate it's energy into outer space.
Read more: Stanford University Aerosols Also Implicated in Glacier Melting,
Changing Weather Patterns Other research examining the effects of soot on melting glaciers and changing weather pattens in South Asia has reached similar conclusions: Beyond increasing atmospheric warming, because the soot coats the surface of the snow and ice it changes the albedo of the surface, allowing it to absorb more sunlight and thereby accelerating
Changing Weather Patterns Other research examining the effects of soot
on melting glaciers and
changing weather pattens in South Asia has reached similar conclusions: Beyond increasing atmospheric warming, because the soot coats the surface of the snow and ice it changes the albedo of the surface, allowing it to absorb more sunlight and thereby accelerating
changing weather pattens in South Asia has reached similar conclusions: Beyond increasing atmospheric warming, because the soot coats the
surface of the snow and
ice it
changes the albedo of the
surface, allowing it to absorb more sunlight and thereby accelerating melting.
With regard to proxy studies, same basic questions, are these direct or passive correlations, what evidence that tree ring core thickness depends only
on temperature (what about precipitation, cloud cover, volcanic activity, sea
surface temperatue
changes, sea current
changes, solar irradiance
changes, cloud cover, etc.) How are these variables accounted for when analysis of
ice cores is completed, or for that matter when computer models, and / or proxy studies are completed.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate
Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which,
on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little
Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent
surface «global warming»
on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.
To quote from AR5 WG1: «While
surface melting will remain small, an increase in snowfall
on the Antarctic
ice sheet is expected (medium confidence), resulting in a negative contribution to future sea level from
changes in
surface mass balance.»
This sea
ice retreat has significant effects
on high - latitude ecosystems and
on the evolution of climate
change itself, through the
change of Earth
surface's reflectivity.
Slip and fall injuries can result from such problems as water, rain,
ice, snow, grease or other slippery substance
on a walking
surface, as well as abrupt
changes in flooring, poor lighting, or a hidden hazard, such as a gap or a hard - to - see hole in the ground.