Sentences with phrase «ice prediction skill»

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In online science discussions, the fate of this years summer sea ice has been the focus of a significant betting pool, a test of expert prediction skills, and a week - by - week (almost) running commentary.
Yuan et al. (LDEO Columbia University), 5.08 (+ / - 0.51), Statistical The prediction is made by statistical models, which are capable to predict Arctic sea ice concentrations at grid points 3 - month in advance with reasonable skills.
«Contributed to the skill of retrospective decadal sea ice predictions»?.
External radiative forcing contributes to the skill of retrospective decadal sea ice predictions
However, initialized prediction ensembles using CESM can skillfully predict low - frequency modulations in the decadal trends of Arctic sea ice, and the significant skill scores for Atlantic sector sea ice extent, in particular, suggest that CESM DP future forecasts merit serious consideration.
Stroeve et al., «Predicting September Sea Ice — Ensemble Skill of the Search Sea Ice Outlook 2008 — 2013» (GRL 2014) observes that in some years predictions are pretty good and in others they stink.
Cross-validation skill, measured by the correlation between two - month lead predictions and observations of September ice extent, is 0.82, while the RMS error of predictions is 0.72 million square km.
Cross-validation skill, measured by correlation between four - month lead prediction and observation of September ice extent, is 0.77.
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